MLB DFS: Saturday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Saturday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Saturday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Lance LynnNathan EovaldiRed Sox11411278109105991:05 PM
    Miles MikolasCole HamelsCubs989988981141001:05 PM
    Justin VerlanderDylan BundyOrioles106103114101121948.52054:05 PM
    Clayton KershawDereck RodriguezGiants90975310074997.0225
    Here's a quick glance at Saturday's slate(s).

    Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Lance LynnNathan EovaldiRed Sox11411278109105991:05 PM
    Miles MikolasCole HamelsCubs989988981141001:05 PM
    Justin VerlanderDylan BundyOrioles106103114101121948.52054:05 PM
    Clayton KershawDereck RodriguezGiants90975310074997.02254:05 PM
    Jameson TaillonMichael LorenzenReds104100119981081068.51204:10 PM
    Ryan BoruckiBlake SnellRays92959794901107.0-2556:10 PM
    Anibal SanchezAaron NolaPhillies9895120971241097.5-1707:05 PM
    Daniel NorrisWade MileyBrewers105103131961081038.5-2707:10 PM
    Carlos RodonKyle GibsonTwins10510395105113938.0-1407:10 PM
    Trevor RichardsSteven MatzMets909310190921067.5-1857:10 PM
    Corey KluberJakob JunisRoyals1031028510276948.01957:15 PM
    Dallas KeuchelYefry RamirezOrioles106103114101121947:35 PM
    Stephen StrasburgJon GrayRockies138121117116118879.5-1308:10 PM
    Zack GodleyJacob NixPadres92978597971038.01158:40 PM
    Trevor CahillTyler SkaggsAngels919691961021099:07 PM
    Adrian SampsonJames PaxtonMariners919610594971048.0-2509:10 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Ryan Borucki (L)at TB 91.016.57.78.80.493.761.31$5,000$7,80010524.4
    Dylan Bundy (R)v HOU335.323.17.315.81.744.861.31$5,200$6,60010518.8
    Trevor Cahill (R)at LAA190.022.710.412.31.144.361.39$6,800$5,90011120.9
    Nathan Eovaldi (R)v NYY109.021.74.517.21.163.881.14$6,600$7,10010722.1
    Kyle Gibson (R)v CWS348.719.69.110.51.214.311.41$8,100$7,5009525.8
    Zack Godley (R)at SD 327.324.89.515.30.854.101.31$6,200$7,2008925.1
    Jon Gray (R)v WAS280.724.76.917.81.154.431.31$8,400$6,80010319.8
    Cole Hamels (L)v STL331.720.58.312.11.284.021.25$8,800$8,70010522.5
    Jakob Junis (R)v CLE269.320.65.814.81.574.381.27$7,200$7,90010918.8
    Clayton Kershaw (L)at SF 331.327.04.522.51.092.420.98$9,200$11,2007423.0
    Dallas Keuchel (L)at BAL347.319.17.211.90.863.391.23$8,000$8,3007025.4
    Corey Kluber (R)at KC 413.730.24.325.91.002.550.92$11,000$12,2009222.0
    Michael Lorenzen (R)v PIT158.319.49.79.70.853.921.37$4,500$5,5009919.2
    Lance Lynn (R)at BOS340.021.210.510.71.094.051.37$6,000$6,90011618.5
    Steven Matz (L)v MIA214.720.68.212.51.554.741.35$6,700$7,7008022.4
    Miles Mikolas (R)at CHC192.717.93.714.20.752.941.09$9,100$8,50010121.2
    Wade Miley (L)v DET235.018.111.36.81.074.521.55$6,000$6,4009820.2
    Jacob Nix (R)v ARI38.312.35.86.41.646.811.49$4,200$6,0008623.6
    Aaron Nola (R)v ATL373.326.76.919.80.842.941.08$10,500$10,2009821.1
    Daniel Norris (L)at MIL141.320.29.610.71.215.291.56$5,300$6,3009220.3
    James Paxton (L)v TEX290.330.26.723.50.993.441.10$10,000$8,9009022.7
    Yefry Ramirez (R)v HOU59.321.612.39.31.376.071.55$4,800$5,90010518.8
    Trevor Richards (R)at NYM119.723.510.013.51.134.661.40$7,700$6,7009722.5
    Carlos Rodon (L)at MIN189.020.610.310.31.293.811.25$7,000$7,3008522.9
    Dereck Rodriguez (R)v LAD115.318.77.011.70.552.501.08$6,200$8,10011922.2
    Adrian Sampson (R)at SEA16.315.95.810.13.314.961.29$5,000$5,70010319.9
    Anibal Sanchez (R)at PHI236.022.96.716.21.564.501.31$8,300$8,2009924.4
    Tyler Skaggs (L)v OAK207.022.97.515.41.134.171.35$6,400$6,20010622.8
    Blake Snell (L)v TOR305.026.99.717.20.912.801.12$10,500$12,0008721.5
    Stephen Strasburg (R)at COL299.328.96.822.10.873.041.09$8,900$9,5008023.5
    Jameson Taillon (R)at CIN318.722.06.815.20.853.701.31$8,800$9,8009821.0
    Justin Verlander (R)at BAL414.030.06.523.51.202.981.04$11,900$12,4008524.8

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Ryan Borucki (L)at TB 16.33.812.50.470.28915.78.27.50.550.312
    Dylan Bundy (R)v HOU17.77.99.91.590.35527.87.320.41.740.314
    Trevor Cahill (R)at LAA22.312.110.20.800.30723.010.312.71.290.321
    Nathan Eovaldi (R)v NYY18.68.99.81.660.35519.94.015.91.290.287
    Kyle Gibson (R)v CWS16.59.17.41.010.35020.68.612.01.400.326
    Zack Godley (R)at SD 22.610.412.20.810.32224.37.716.51.160.312
    Jon Gray (R)v WAS24.87.816.91.240.32125.66.818.80.900.313
    Cole Hamels (L)v STL20.09.210.80.690.26722.08.513.51.320.326
    Jakob Junis (R)v CLE18.46.911.51.400.33723.04.818.21.810.329
    Clayton Kershaw (L)at SF 29.32.926.41.080.24928.24.024.10.840.245
    Dallas Keuchel (L)at BAL24.24.220.00.670.26118.47.710.70.980.309
    Corey Kluber (R)at KC 27.36.021.31.080.27830.04.325.70.900.250
    Michael Lorenzen (R)v PIT19.011.87.30.980.31422.56.516.00.720.282
    Lance Lynn (R)at BOS15.513.71.81.440.35626.27.618.50.850.283
    Steven Matz (L)v MIA17.87.710.10.470.31022.87.015.91.540.324
    Miles Mikolas (R)at CHC16.13.612.51.020.32519.14.115.00.400.231
    Wade Miley (L)v DET17.911.26.60.440.29618.99.29.71.400.352
    Jacob Nix (R)v ARI14.05.88.11.930.3829.97.02.80.520.329
    Aaron Nola (R)v ATL24.68.815.80.910.29127.94.723.20.760.272
    Daniel Norris (L)at MIL25.69.416.11.610.34220.18.611.51.100.343
    James Paxton (L)v TEX24.56.518.00.570.31028.76.122.60.920.281
    Yefry Ramirez (R)v HOU22.820.62.21.350.40320.53.816.71.380.299
    Trevor Richards (R)at NYM23.111.511.50.490.29722.69.213.41.880.379
    Carlos Rodon (L)at MIN24.67.916.71.110.29621.49.412.01.290.321
    Dereck Rodriguez (R)v LAD19.56.013.50.520.29419.08.210.80.470.257
    Adrian Sampson (R)at SEA12.56.36.33.860.4148.82.95.92.080.395
    Anibal Sanchez (R)at PHI23.48.914.51.260.31920.75.615.02.030.361
    Tyler Skaggs (L)v OAK23.15.217.90.730.30623.29.014.21.170.330
    Blake Snell (L)v TOR28.99.919.00.240.23525.410.614.80.980.301
    Stephen Strasburg (R)at COL28.38.120.20.940.27530.75.625.20.850.277
    Jameson Taillon (R)at CIN17.98.29.70.870.33225.54.021.50.940.290
    Justin Verlander (R)at BAL32.97.925.01.330.27625.75.220.51.090.275

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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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