MLB DFS: Sunday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Sunday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Sunday's slate(s).

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    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Sonny GrayRick PorcelloRed Sox11411278109105993:05 PM
    Charlie MortonJimmy YacabonisOrioles106103114101121943:05 PM
    Walker BuehlerAndrew SuarezGiants90975310074993:05 PM
    Kevin GausmanRanger SuarezPhillies9895120971241098.51203:05 PM
    Here's a quick glance at Sunday's slate(s).

    Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Sonny GrayRick PorcelloRed Sox11411278109105993:05 PM
    Charlie MortonJimmy YacabonisOrioles106103114101121943:05 PM
    Walker BuehlerAndrew SuarezGiants90975310074993:05 PM
    Kevin GausmanRanger SuarezPhillies9895120971241098.51203:05 PM
    Brett AndersonMatt ShoemakerAngels919691961021093:07 PM
    Sam GaviglioRyan YarbroughRays92959794901103:10 PM
    Clay HolmesSal RomanoReds104100119981081063:10 PM
    Erick FeddeTyler AndersonRockies138121117116118873:10 PM
    Yovani GallardoRoenis EliasMariners919610594971048.5-1703:10 PM
    Spencer TurnbullGio GonzalezBrewers105103131961081033:10 PM
    Robbie RayJoey LucchesiPadres92978597971037.51053:10 PM
    Dylan CoveyZack LittellTwins10510395105113939.0-1453:10 PM
    Sandy AlcantaraNoah SyndergaardMets909310190921067.0-2503:10 PM
    Carlos CarrascoEric SkoglundRoyals1031028510276948.51803:15 PM
    Jack FlahertyMike MontgomeryCubs989988981141003:20 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Sandy Alcantara (R)at NYM35.318.917.01.91.274.081.61$6,100$6,3009722.5
    Brett Anderson (L)at LAA132.714.06.08.10.955.221.45$6,500$7,2008920.6
    Tyler Anderson (L)v WAS254.322.47.614.71.634.781.30$6,500$6,40010222.4
    Walker Buehler (R)at SF 140.028.57.521.00.903.091.05$11,200$10,0008424.0
    Carlos Carrasco (R)at KC 387.028.95.623.30.983.351.11$11,900$11,0009222.0
    Dylan Covey (R)at MIN185.715.610.25.51.506.061.56$6,200$6,5009521.7
    Roenis Elias (L)v TEX46.315.78.67.10.192.911.34$6,000$5,5009022.7
    Erick Fedde (R)at COL61.721.110.510.51.616.281.69$5,200$6,5008023.5
    Jack Flaherty (R)at CHC169.728.69.519.11.273.551.14$9,300$8,20010121.2
    Yovani Gallardo (R)at SEA220.715.210.84.41.556.001.56$5,200$5,70010319.8
    Kevin Gausman (R)at PHI365.320.57.512.91.334.311.40$8,400$7,8009924.4
    Sam Gaviglio (R)at TB 192.318.17.310.81.734.871.41$5,800$6,00010822.2
    Gio Gonzalez (L)v DET367.021.510.211.30.933.581.31$7,800$7,7009820.1
    Sonny Gray (R)at BOS292.721.99.012.91.014.151.34$7,800$6,70011618.5
    Clay Holmes (R)at CIN22.316.117.0-0.90.407.252.06$4,000$5,5009821.0
    Zack Littell (R)v CWS16.312.010.81.21.656.611.90$6,300$5,6009425.8
    Joey Lucchesi (L)v ARI124.025.98.117.81.524.141.32$7,900$7,1009522.3
    Mike Montgomery (L)v STL252.317.48.98.60.713.671.28$6,400$6,80010522.4
    Charlie Morton (R)at BAL310.727.68.719.00.933.391.18$9,700$7,9008524.8
    Rick Porcello (R)v NYY392.721.95.616.31.494.491.29$8,600$8,00010722.1
    Robbie Ray (L)at SD 281.732.111.720.31.313.321.22$9,900$9,1009423.7
    Sal Romano (R)v PIT227.717.58.88.71.275.021.46$5,400$5,5009919.2
    Matt Shoemaker (R)v OAK105.722.38.114.21.454.601.29$8,100$7,40011421.5
    Eric Skoglund (L)v CLE83.016.47.98.51.416.291.47$5,700$5,9009819.7
    Andrew Suarez (L)v LAD158.020.06.613.41.314.221.27$7,800$7,30010521.7
    Ranger Suarez (L)v ATL12.010.57.03.52.256.002.00$5,300$5,70010820.8
    Noah Syndergaard (R)v MIA175.724.85.719.10.463.181.22$10,400$10,2008122.9
    Spencer Turnbull (R)at MIL11.017.44.313.00.005.731.27$5,100$5,80010323.4
    Jimmy Yacabonis (R)v HOU56.715.811.94.01.595.401.54$4,400$5,80010518.8
    Ryan Yarbrough (L)v TOR144.320.58.012.51.123.931.28$4,800$5,8008721.4

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Sandy Alcantara (R)at NYM14.116.9-2.80.000.27926.615.610.91.840.355
    Brett Anderson (L)at LAA11.37.53.80.330.40213.85.88.01.180.345
    Tyler Anderson (L)v WAS22.56.516.01.240.31921.77.314.41.470.334
    Walker Buehler (R)at SF 32.07.424.60.820.24925.87.418.41.050.278
    Carlos Carrasco (R)at KC 27.26.320.91.320.30928.24.723.50.860.281
    Dylan Covey (R)at MIN17.511.36.31.600.35012.79.43.41.490.362
    Roenis Elias (L)v TEX16.711.55.10.000.37812.98.24.80.510.302
    Erick Fedde (R)at COL21.59.112.41.210.34722.110.311.82.200.408
    Jack Flaherty (R)at CHC24.212.112.11.220.29333.56.926.61.300.284
    Yovani Gallardo (R)at SEA17.313.04.21.310.34514.29.34.91.590.370
    Kevin Gausman (R)at PHI21.38.412.91.230.31521.36.015.31.460.344
    Sam Gaviglio (R)at TB 15.28.26.91.690.35620.96.414.51.760.350
    Gio Gonzalez (L)v DET21.96.815.20.380.25821.810.011.81.090.320
    Sonny Gray (R)at BOS20.98.812.10.890.31020.68.811.71.350.335
    Clay Holmes (R)at CIN14.618.8-4.20.000.34815.817.5-1.80.840.406
    Zack Littell (R)v CWS14.38.65.71.350.48211.611.60.02.080.381
    Joey Lucchesi (L)v ARI27.98.119.80.350.28725.48.217.31.830.345
    Mike Montgomery (L)v STL19.78.511.10.600.27518.59.29.30.740.299
    Charlie Morton (R)at BAL34.09.724.30.940.28721.98.113.80.880.308
    Rick Porcello (R)v NYY22.25.616.61.310.31121.14.316.81.270.309
    Robbie Ray (L)at SD 34.66.028.61.020.26929.312.017.31.360.320
    Sal Romano (R)v PIT16.910.26.71.400.36518.37.610.71.170.317
    Matt Shoemaker (R)v OAK20.14.915.20.930.30723.07.215.81.430.329
    Eric Skoglund (L)v CLE15.87.08.83.000.38216.78.38.31.180.368
    Andrew Suarez (L)v LAD19.53.016.50.200.22620.17.812.31.740.360
    Ranger Suarez (L)v ATL27.30.027.30.000.3215.98.8-2.93.860.554
    Noah Syndergaard (R)v MIA26.17.418.70.480.29328.14.024.10.530.273
    Spencer Turnbull (R)at MIL8.38.30.00.000.31020.00.020.00.000.303
    Jimmy Yacabonis (R)v HOU14.912.82.10.900.36517.110.07.12.160.343
    Ryan Yarbrough (L)v TOR28.710.218.51.190.29517.97.110.81.150.322

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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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