Collette Calls: What Lies Ahead for These Hitters
Collette Calls: What Lies Ahead for These Hitters

This article is part of our Collette Calls series.

Last week, I looked at some pitchers who should have better days ahead than their current numbers showed. Most made me look immediately smart, including Eduardo Rodriguez, CC Sabathia, Rich Hill and Freddy Peralta. Martin Perez; not so much. 

This week, I want to look at hitters whose results are outpacing their expected results, why that is happening and what that means for the the coming months.

PlayerPABIP BAxBADIFFSLGxSLGDIFFwOBAxwOBADIFF
Fernando Tatis Jr.161102.329.238.091.603.451.152.416.333.083
Daniel Murphy181140.273.222.051.455.325.130.332.266.066
Charlie Blackmon270204.341.292.049.655.534.121.437.374.063
Eduardo Escobar319226.288.237.051.559.432.127.379.317.062
Bryan Reynolds190133.353.302.051.549.437.112.411.350.061
David Peralta265183.290.248.042.502.379.123.361.301.060

Fernando Tatis Jr. has an impressive .329 average and a .603 slugging percentage, but there are huge differences between those actual numbers and expected numbers. His rankings in the expected categories are not that great:

MetricPercentile
Exit Velo      53rd
Sprint Speed      96th
Hard Hit %      67th
xwOBA      53rd
xBA      26th
xSLG      56th

He has just six infield hits, which was fewer than I expected given his sprint speed, but

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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Jason Collette
Jason has been helping fantasy owners since 1999 at RotoJunkie, Fanball, Baseball Prospectus and now here at RotoWire. He covers the Tampa Bay Rays at theprocessreport.net. You can hear Jason weekly on many of the Sirius/XM Fantasy channel offerings throughout the season as well as on the Sleeper and the Bust podcast on iTunes. An eight-time FSWA finalist, Jason won the FSWA's Fantasy Baseball Writer of the Year award in 2013 and the Baseball Series of the Year award in 2018 for Collette Calls.
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