This article is part of our Farm Futures series.
We have had minor-league hard-hit data up on the site for six weeks now, and I hope it has been a valuable tool for our subscribers – I know it has been valuable for me when updating the top 400 prospect rankings. We are still working on getting the data feeds for certain players, but the vast majority of notable full-season hitters are accounted for. Before getting into some players whose stock is bolstered by their hard-hit rates and some prospects who have produced concerning data in this realm, I want to touch on a couple things that we should keep in mind when using this data.
First, we need to keep in mind where certain prospects are at in their development. An example here is Luis Garcia of the Nationals. He is by far the youngest hitter at Double-A, so while it would be awesome if he were consistently hitting the ball hard, I don't think we should penalize him too harshly for the fact that he is not. Garcia is at least a couple years away from being a power threat, that much is clear, and the fact he has a 14.6 Hard% this season does not mean all is lost.
Secondly, we need to think about what a hitter is trying to do at the plate. Two examples here would be Xavier Edwards and Brice Turang. Both of these shortstop prospects have excellent bat-to-ball skills and at least plus speed. They are putting those skills