Carlos Hernandez

Carlos Hernandez

27-Year-Old PitcherRP
Kansas City Royals
15-Day IL
Injury Shoulder
Est. Return 4/22/2024
2024 Fantasy Outlook
Hernandez worked as a reliever in 2023, making a career-high 67 appearances while getting plenty of high-leverage looks. The 6-foot-4, 250-pound righty racked up 17 holds and four saves for the Royals, but the quality of his innings was lackluster despite adding velocity to his fastball that he threw 99.1 mph on average. He posted an ERA over 5.00 for the second consecutive year along with a 1.33 WHIP that was a bottom-50 mark among relief pitchers. The 26-year-old particularly struggled down the stretch, with a 12.91 ERA in September and more walks issued (nine) than strikeouts (four). Hernandez's inflated ratios make him hard to trust for fantasy purposes, but he could still be worth a late-round gamble considering his strikeout and walk rates are trending in the right direction. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#601
ADP
$Signed a one-year, $1.01 million contract with the Royals in January of 2024.
Bullpen scheduled Wednesday
PKansas City Royals
Shoulder
April 1, 2024
Hernandez (shoulder) threw a bullpen session over the weekend and is scheduled for another Wednesday, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Hernandez landed on the 15-day injured list Thursday due to a right shoulder impingement that kept him out of spring training. If Wednesday's session goes well, the right-hander could be cleared to start facing hitters next week, and then head out on a minor-league rehab assignment soon thereafter. Hernandez posted a 5.27 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 77:31 K:BB over 70 innings with the Royals last season.
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Pitching Stats
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2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2024 MLB Game Log
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2023 MLB Game Log
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2022 MLB Game Log
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2021 MLB Game Log
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2020 MLB Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-39%
BAA vs LHP
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-31%
BAA vs LHP
2022
 
 
-45%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2022vs Left .200 258 63 31 45 13 2 5
Since 2022vs Right .330 308 49 31 89 20 1 12
2024vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023vs Left .189 145 42 17 24 7 1 2
2023vs Right .273 155 35 14 38 10 1 8
2022vs Left .214 113 21 14 21 6 1 3
2022vs Right .389 153 14 17 51 10 0 4
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2022
 
 
-22%
ERA at Home
2024
No Stats
2023
 
 
-9%
ERA on Road
2022
 
 
-41%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2022Home 5.46 1.61 62.2 1 7 1 7.8 5.2 1.1
Since 2022Away 6.96 1.50 63.1 0 8 3 8.2 3.7 1.3
2024Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2024Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2023Home 5.50 1.47 36.0 1 5 1 9.5 4.3 1.5
2023Away 5.03 1.18 34.0 0 5 3 10.3 3.7 1.1
2022Home 5.40 1.80 26.2 0 2 0 5.4 6.4 0.7
2022Away 9.20 1.88 29.1 0 3 0 5.8 3.7 1.5
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Prospect Rankings History
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Carlos Hernandez See More
Mound Musings: Endgame Odyssey – American League
4 days ago
Brad Johnson reviews some AL bullpens with question marks, beginning in Seattle where Andres Munoz isn't always finishing games.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
8 days ago
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The Z Files: Projecting Pitcher's BABIP
93 days ago
Todd Zola considers a new approach to regressing a pitcher's BABIP, which suggests better days should be ahead for Hunter Greene.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
204 days ago
Erik Siegrist digs into the available talent in the AL for the final free-agent period of the season, and highlights one last elite prospect in the Rays' Junior Caminero.
Mound Musings: The 2023 Season Pitching Awards Issue
207 days ago
Brad Johnson offers up his annual list of award winners for pitching, starting with the Newcomer Award, given to the Mets Kodai Senga.
Latest Fantasy Rumors
Drawing significant interest
PKansas City Royals
July 28, 2023
Hernandez continues to draw interest as the trade deadline approaches, Mark Feinsand of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Feinsand writes that Scott Barlow is the likelier Royals reliever to be traded because he's under team control for just one additional year, as opposed to Hernandez who won't reach free agency until 2028. It's possible Kansas City could look to sell high on the 26-year-old though, as he's in the midst of a breakout season that has seen him post a 3.78 ERA and 57:13 K:BB over 50 innings.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2023
2022
2021
Typically, a 97 mph fastball would be an encouraging sign, but while Hernandez has velocity, he's yet to do much with it. Hitters tagged his primary pitch for a .366 batting average and .581 slugging percentage in 2022, leading to an ugly 7.39 ERA and 1.84 WHIP across 56 innings. Hernandez started only seven of his 27 appearances last season, posting a 9.10 ERA and 2.16 WHIP in 29.2 innings in the rotation. His time as a reliever was rather unconvincing as well, though he allowed multiple runs in just three of his last 18 appearances. If he can make his pitches more evasive and trim down an ugly 11.7 percent walk rate, there's some upside here as a starter or a high-leverage reliever. It won't do fantasy managers much good if he ends up in a dreaded swingman role or in the minors to begin 2023, though it's a possibility if he doesn't adjust.
Hernandez began the season as a reliever then transitioned to the Royals rotation after the break. He throws four pitches, led by a 97-mph fastball. While it's curious his K% was only 20.7%, Hernandez's swinging strike mark portended a rate a couple ticks higher. That said, unless Hernandez improves his 11.5% BB%, he'll need more than a few additional punch outs to manage his ratios. To that end, his 3.68 ERA was pegged as at least a run lucky by its estimators. He benefited from a fortunate .267 BABIP and 7.3% HR/FB mark along with a 74.7% LOB mark, three points above league average. Hernandez has a live arm worth a speculative investment with a strong chance to win a spot in Kansas City's rotation. Just don't expect last season's ERA, though fewer walks puts a repeat in play.
Despite not having pitched above Low-A prior to last season, the Royals brought Hernandez to their alternate training site and eventually gave him three big-league starts in September. The 23-year-old predictably struggled, but his numbers could have been a lot worse, all things considered. Hernandez has the raw stuff to justify that jump in competition, averaging 96.2 mph with his power sinker last year and having touched triple digits with his four-seamer in the minors. He also features a curveball and changeup that have both flashed plus on occasion. Hernandez has the big, sturdy frame to handle a starting role, but he's had trouble staying healthy, slowing his development, and his career high in innings in any season is only 79.1 The Royals have enough pitching depth that they don't need to throw Hernandez back into the fire right away, but he's put himself in the team's future rotation plans.
More Fantasy News
Lands on 15-day injured list
PKansas City Royals
Shoulder
March 28, 2024
The Royals placed Hernandez on the 15-day injured list Thursday with a right shoulder impingement.
ANALYSIS
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Set for bullpen session
PKansas City Royals
Shoulder
March 22, 2024
Hernandez (shoulder) will throw a bullpen session Friday, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Light bullpen session this weekend
PKansas City Royals
Shoulder
March 12, 2024
Hernandez (shoulder) is scheduled to throw a light bullpen session this weekend, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Begins throwing progression
PKansas City Royals
Shoulder
March 11, 2024
Hernandez (shoulder) played catch over the weekend and will do so again Monday, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Shut down from throwing
PKansas City Royals
Shoulder
February 27, 2024
Hernandez (shoulder) received a cortisone injection Tuesday and has been shut down from throwing, Anne Rogers of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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