Pedro Baez
Pedro Baez
31-Year-Old PitcherRP
Los Angeles Dodgers
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Even as Kenley Jansen battled health issues, Baez still didn't get the chance to record his first big-league save in 2018, though he did manage a 2.88 ERA in 56.1 innings, his lowest mark since his rookie season. After a poor second half in 2017, Baez finished strong this time around, allowing just a single run over his last 18 appearances and giving up just two in 11.1 postseason innings. He's been very consistent over the course of his career, posting an ERA between 2.88 and 3.35 in each of his four full seasons. That consistency is quite valuable for the Dodgers, though it makes his chances of suddenly improving his value quite low. His strikeout rate and ERA aren't at the elite level required to give non-closing relievers much fantasy value, and there's little reason to believe he's about to get an uptick in save chances, even if Jansen continues to miss time. Six other Dodgers recorded saves in 2018, offering little hope that Baez is next in line. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year contract with the Dodgers in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Reaches deal with Dodgers
PLos Angeles Dodgers
January 11, 2019
Baez signed a one-year contract with the Dodgers on Friday, avoiding arbitration, J.P. Hoornstra of the Los Angeles Daily News reports.
Baez figures to remain in a setup role entering the 2019 season after posting a 2.88 ERA and 1.22 WHIP with 62 punchouts over 56.1 innings a year ago. The 30-year-old reliever is just one of seven arbitration-eligible players the Dodgers came to terms with prior to the deadline.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .179 305 67 39 47 9 5 7
Since 2016vs Right .232 507 142 35 107 22 3 17
2018vs Left .164 84 17 15 11 2 2 1
2018vs Right .246 153 45 8 35 8 1 3
2017vs Left .206 115 24 13 21 5 2 3
2017vs Right .238 165 40 16 35 8 2 6
2016vs Left .160 106 26 11 15 2 1 3
2016vs Right .214 189 57 11 37 6 0 8
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
Since 2016Home 1.92 1.01 103.1 8 4 0 9.8 3.0 0.9
Since 2016Away 4.15 1.36 90.0 2 7 0 9.6 4.0 1.4
2018Home 1.52 1.04 29.2 2 2 0 10.6 3.0 0.0
2018Away 4.39 1.43 26.2 2 1 0 9.1 4.4 1.4
2017Home 1.99 1.11 31.2 3 1 0 9.9 3.4 1.1
2017Away 3.90 1.55 32.1 0 5 0 8.1 4.7 1.4
2016Home 2.14 0.90 42.0 3 1 0 9.0 2.6 1.3
2016Away 4.22 1.13 32.0 0 1 0 11.5 2.8 1.4
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Stat Review
How does Pedro Baez compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
96.0 mph
Strand %
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017 was a tale of two halves for Baez, as he turned in a shiny 1.43 ERA across 37.2 innings in the first half of the season before getting knocked around to the tune of a 5.13 ERA in 26.1 second-half frames. While he still finished the season with a 2.95 ERA, all indicators suggest there was quite a bit of luck at play (4.44 FIP, 4.83 xFIP, 4.25 SIERA). Baez saw his strikeout rate drop from 28.4 percent over the prior two seasons to 22.1 percent last year, while his walk rate jumped from 6.6 percent to 10.4 percent over that same stretch. The right-hander did allow just two of his 20 inherited runners to cross home plate, while opponents slashed just .099/.220/.127 against him with runners in scoring position, but Baez will likely be confined to the seventh inning to open 2018.
Baez remained one of the most frustrating players in baseball with his 2016 campaign, especially for believers in his ability to hold down a late-inning role and Dodger fans hoping to get home before midnight. On the surface, a season of 74 innings, a 3.04 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 83 strikeouts is excellent. He had stretches where he was nearly unhittable, easily breezing high-90s fastballs past hitters. But then, the wheels would come off. His game slowed down to the point of registering the slowest pitching pace in baseball (min. 50 innings) and he seemed incapable of throwing quality strikes at times. Things eventually got bad enough that the Dodgers optioned him to Double-A Tulsa, but he turned it around there and posted a scoreless September after returning to the majors. Baez could be next in line to take over at closer if Kenley Jansen is hurt, but he is an extremely volatile asset.
Baez had an up and down 2015, but ultimately finished with a 3.35 ERA and 1.14 WHIP in 51 innings. A fastball that often found its way into the upper-90s allowed Baez to post a 10.6 K/9 to go with excellent control (1.9 BB/9). A 5.79 ERA in September was followed by an outing in the NLDS in which Baez surrendered three runs to the Mets without recording an out. Prior to that, however, Baez had a 2.95 ERA on August 31, so there's something to build on here. He also allowed just one run in his final eight regular-season innings, so it wasn't a complete meltdown. Baez has swing-and-miss stuff as evidenced by a 15 percent swinging-strike rate (league average was 9.9%) and he could develop into a closer in time. Refining his slider and improving his command should top his to-do list this spring, but barring a poor March, he should have a place in the team's bullpen on Opening Day.
Baez started his 2014 season at Double-A, but finished in Los Angeles while serving as a surprising stabilizing presence for Dodgers manager Don Mattingly. The recipe in his debut was a heavy volume of fastballs, as Baez fired the pitch at an 81% clip last season. With plenty of velocity (95.3 mph average), it's understandable that he leans on the offering, but Baez needs to more effectively utilize his slider or changeup in order to generate more strikeouts. Fortunately, he kept his walk rate down -- both at Triple-A and in the big leagues -- but something will have to give in terms of skills growth if he's going to sustain a sub-3.00 ERA with those peripherals. Baez carried an 83.3% LOB% (his range was 70.5-77.1% in the minors) and a .197 BABIP, which suggest an ERA much closer to his 2014 xFIP (3.96) than the 2.63 he delivered in his debut.
Signed out of the Dominican Republic for $200,000 in 2007, Baez has quickly emerged as one of the organization's top prospects. He's only 19 and his .274/.341/.408 line in rookie ball is rather modest, but he's already demonstrated excellent defensive skills and power to all fields. Baez is several years from the majors, but if he can improve his plate discipline and grow into his body, he could be another nice find by the Dodgers.
More Fantasy News
Could be part of closer committee
PLos Angeles Dodgers
August 11, 2018
Manager Dave Roberts said that the club will deploy a closer by committee approach with Kenley Jansen (chest) expected to miss 4-6 weeks.
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Activated from DL
PLos Angeles Dodgers
July 25, 2018
Baez (biceps) was reinstated from the 10-day disabled list Wednesday.
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Return moved up to Wednesday
PLos Angeles Dodgers
July 25, 2018
Baez (biceps) will be activated off the disabled list prior to Wednesday's contest against the Phillies, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
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Set to return Thursday
PLos Angeles Dodgers
July 24, 2018
Baez (biceps) will be activated from the disabled list Thursday, Ken Gurnick of reports.
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Completes another rehab outing
PLos Angeles Dodgers
July 22, 2018
Baez (biceps) tossed a scoreless inning with two strikeouts in his second rehab appearance with Triple-A Oklahoma City on Saturday.
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