Greg Holland
Greg Holland
33-Year-Old PitcherRP
 Free Agent  
Free Agent
2019 Fantasy Outlook
When the Cardinals gave Holland $15 million on a one-year deal, it was the most recent test of the “there is no such thing as a bad one-year deal” rule. There were enough statistical warning flags that should have scared off most teams, but the Cardinals found themselves backed into a corner and needing the ever-dreaded “proven closer.” The experience went as poorly as statistically predicted. Holland has a 5.23 ERA and 1.52 WHIP since the 2017 All-Star break, and has yet somehow compiled 16 saves. Couple his recent numbers with his decreased velocity and spotty command and you have a recipe for disaster should another team fall for the veteran closer trap in 2018. There are many more relievers with better skills that should get a chance before another team allows this reputation another shot at the closer role. Game over, man. Game over. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a major-league contract with the Nationals in August of 2018.
Secures third save
PWashington Nationals  
September 11, 2018
Holland tossed a scoreless ninth inning to record the save in Game 2 of Tuesday's doubleheader against the Phillies. He struck out one and walked two.
ANALYSIS
Sean Doolittle needed 24 pitches to close out the matinee, so Holland was called upon for the save after Juan Soto's solo homer gave the Nationals a 7-6 lead during the 10th inning. The veteran right-hander lost his command a bit -- only nine of 21 pitches thrown were strikes -- but managed to secure the save nonetheless. Holland also fired a scoreless inning during Game 1 to earn hold. The 32-year-old still has a 5.05 ERA and 1.71 WHIP for the season, but has allowed only one run, six hits and eight walks across 16 innings since joining the Nationals.
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Pitching Stats
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Minor League Game Log
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-29%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-24%
BAA vs LHP
2017
 
 
-32%
BAA vs LHP
2016
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .177 227 67 40 33 8 1 2
Since 2016vs Right .251 220 50 18 50 4 3 7
2018vs Left .205 100 24 21 16 4 1 0
2018vs Right .270 112 23 11 27 1 2 2
2017vs Left .157 127 43 19 17 4 0 2
2017vs Right .232 108 27 7 23 3 1 5
2016vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-42%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-62%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-14%
ERA at Home
2016
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 3.02 1.14 53.2 5 6 18 10.9 4.4 0.5
Since 2016Away 5.22 1.60 49.0 0 2 26 9.4 5.8 1.1
2018Home 2.63 1.08 24.0 2 2 1 9.8 4.9 0.0
2018Away 6.85 2.19 22.1 0 0 2 8.5 7.7 0.8
2017Home 3.34 1.18 29.2 3 4 17 11.8 3.9 0.9
2017Away 3.90 1.12 27.2 0 2 24 10.1 4.2 1.3
2016Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Greg Holland compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
1.47
 
K/9
9.1
 
BB/9
6.2
 
HR/9
0.4
 
Fastball
93.0 mph
 
ERA
4.66
 
WHIP
1.62
 
BABIP
.329
 
GB/FB
1.31
 
Strand %
69.9%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Greg Holland
Regan’s Rumblings: Chasing Categories
September 13th
Dave Regan offers up player suggestions in specific categories in which you might be trying to make up ground at the last second, such as steals, where he’s suggesting Kansas City’s Adalberto Mondesi.
Mound Musings: Targeting 2019 – Building Your Draft Day Value List
September 6th
Looking ahead to next year, Brad Johnson compiles a list of valuable arms that might be available at a discount on draft day 2019. Topping his list is White Sox pitcher Carlos Rodon.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
September 2nd
Jan Levine takes a look at Arodys Vizcaino, who's set for a rehab assignment, and what his role might be for the Braves upon his return. Who else can help fantasy players following September roster expansion?
Mound Musings: See You in September
August 30th
Brad Johnson helps navigate this tricky time of year by highlighting pitchers who are worth keeping an eye on during the season’s final month, like Michael Wacha, who’s September outlook is a bit murky.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
August 19th
Jan Levine highlights Harrison Bader's boost in value and other quality contributors on the late-season NL wire.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
The Rockies took a chance on Holland as a free agent following a 2016 campaign that he lost due to recovery from Tommy John surgery. During the first half, he looked like one of the game's elite closers again, fanning batters at a 33.3 percent clip and posting a 1.64 ERA while holding opposing hitters to a meager .159/.264/.259 line. Holland went through a stretch in August where he was hammered by the opposition, posting a 13.50 ERA in 9.1 innings while his strikeout rate plummeted (16.3 percent) and he had issues with walks (12.5 percent) and home runs (3.86 HR/9). He recovered in September (32.4 percent K%) despite a slight drop in velocity. Holland proved capable of pitching half of his games at Coors Field, carrying a 3.34 ERA at home compared to a 3.90 mark on the road. Overall, his return was a success as he pitched well enough to trigger the vesting option in his contract, but Holland opted for free agency in hopes of landing a multi-year deal this winter.
While Holland has 319.2 innings and 145 saves under his belt, he's an unknown commodity at this time. We haven't seen the 31-year-old in well over a year, since he underwent Tommy John surgery in October of 2015. What we do know second-hand is that Holland was sitting between 88-91 mph with his fastball during a recent showcase -- significantly lower than his 95.5 mph career average -- but most scouts emerged feeling confident about his health. The general expectation is that Holland will be ready for spring training, but after signing with the Rockies on a one-year pact, he'll likely have to settle for a setup role to begin the season. Holland's experience in the ninth inning should lead itself to future save opportunities if he returns to something close to his old self, but until he can supplant Adam Ottavino for save opportunities, he'll make for a risky investment.
After back-to-back All-Star appearances and 45-plus save seasons, Holland had a down year in 2015 by his standards, likely tied to injury issues. His season ended on Sept. 22 when the team shut him down and he eventually decided to have Tommy John surgery in early October. This will likely keep the All-Star closer out for a majority of the 2016 season.
Holland was one of the elite fantasy baseball closers for the second season in a row, as the right-hander collected 46 saves in 2014, which was second to only Fernando Rodney's mark of 48 in the American League. He also provided support in other categories, striking out 90 batters to go along with a 1.44 ERA and 0.91 WHIP. Even though the Royals have several options in their bullpen that would make exceptional closers, Holland is their guy, and there's little reason to think otherwise heading into 2015. He's still on the better side of 30 years old, and his 2014 average fastball velocity of 95.8 mph was an exact match with his career average. Holland also possesses a devastating slider that he deploys frequently, and although he used a split-fingered fastball on just 2.3% of his pitches last season, it remains a weapon in his arsenal that can catch hitters off guard. He's one of the safest ninth-inning options in AL-only formats, and is arguably a top-five closer in mixed leagues.
While Holland looked impressive during the latter half of the 2012 season after finally being handed the closer's job, his 2013 campaign looked even better. The season opened a bit on the rocky side, but after the first few weeks, he settled down and proceeded to dominate hitters in outstanding fashion. His 47 saves ranked second in the majors and his 13.8 K/9 and 103 strikeouts over 70.1 innings each ranked second among qualified relievers. Add in a 5.72 K/BB and you certainly have all the ammunition needed to claim that Holland was indeed the best closer in baseball last year. Armed with a mid-90s fastball and a high-80s slider, Holland will continue to close for the Royals in 2014 and should be one of the first relievers off the board in most drafts.
With Joakim Soria out for the season, Holland was prepared to open the year competing for the team's vacant closer role. After a shaky start, Holland was diagnosed with a rib stress fracture and landed on the DL for a month towards the end of April. His return was impressive as he went on to post a 2.16 ERA with 46 strikeouts over 33.1 innings, earning him the closer job after the July 31 trade deadline. He continued to dominate out of the bullpen and by the end of the year, was 7-4 with 16 saves, a 2.96 ERA and 91 strikeouts over 67 innings. Even more impressive was the uptick in velocity he saw as his fastball was regularly clocked at 96 mph. He will open the 2013 season as the Royals' closer and should prove to be a valuable fantasy asset.
Holland was arguably the best pitcher on the Royals' roster in 2011 and has shown the potential to be a closer at some point down the road. Perhaps most impressive, in his 46 appearances last season, he only had one outing where he allowed two runs or more and even then, he struck out four of the nine batters he faced. A large part of his success is due to his slider, which graded out as the best in the game last season among all relievers by some metrics. With Jonathan Broxton now in the mix, it will be tougher for Holland to factor into late-game situations, but his stuff is good enough to make him relevant no matter what his role in 2012.
The obvious contribution Holland makes is in the strikeout department. He has posted a career 9.6 K/9IP mark in more than 200 career minor league innings and whiffed 11 batters per nine during his brief major league debut last season. Those strikeouts are nice, but a high walk rate does a lot to negate its influence. Look for Holland to see action in low-leverage situations, at least initially, if he makes the Opening Day roster.
More Fantasy News
Works after Doolittle, notches save
PWashington Nationals  
September 9, 2018
Holland was credited with his second save of the season Saturday in the Nationals' 6-5 win over the Cubs in the second game of a doubleheader. He worked a perfect ninth inning, retiring the side in six pitches.
ANALYSIS
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Nabs first save
PWashington Nationals  
August 29, 2018
Holland recorded the final two outs Tuesday to pick up his first save of the season in a 5-4 win over the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Picks up first hold as Nat
PWashington Nationals  
August 27, 2018
Holland walked one and struck out two in a scoreless seventh inning Sunday to record his third hold of the season, and first with the Nationals, in a 15-0 rout of the Mets.
ANALYSIS
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Signs with Nationals
PWashington Nationals  
August 7, 2018
Holland signed a major-league contract with the Nationals on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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To latch on with Nationals
PFree Agent  
August 5, 2018
Holland is expected to sign a contract with Washington, Jon Heyman of FancredSports.com reports.
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