Starlin Castro
Starlin Castro
29-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Miami Marlins
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Even though he was just 28 years old, Castro must have felt like a senior citizen in the Marlins' clubhouse after the club’s fire sale last offseason. He returns, another year older, but still toiling for a squad looking at an extended rebuild. Castro didn’t pout, topping 150 games for the third time in four seasons even with taking time off for paternity leave late in the season. His numbers suffered compared to previous seasons, in large part due to moving from Yankee Stadium, one of the most generous hitting venues, to Marlins Park, among the stingiest. Castro’s skills were in sync with career norms, though he did set a personal best with a still-low 7.4 BB%. After posting a 15.5% HR/FB in his two years in the Bronx, Castro’s mark predictably slipped to 8.8% his first season in South Beach. There’s no upside, but if you’re looking for roster stability, Castro offers a solid floor, boosted by volume derived from durability. Read Past Outlooks
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$Signed a seven-year, $60 million contract with the Cubs in August of 2012.
Sets new career high in home runs
2BMiami Marlins
September 29, 2019
Castro went 1-for-2 with a solo home run in a 4-3 victory against the Phillies on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
The 29-year-old ended his 10th MLB season with a strong September, hitting .291/.359/.612 with seven home runs, 15 RBI and 22 runs. Thanks to the homer surge in September, Castro set a new career best with 22 long balls this season. He also finished the season batting .270 with 86 RBI, 68 runs and two steals in 636 at-bats.
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
12
48
46
7
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
8
20
12
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+16%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+29%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+8%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+7%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .833 445 53 13 40 1 .312 .360 .473
Since 2017vs Right .721 1351 157 37 163 9 .271 .308 .413
2019vs Left .881 174 20 9 21 0 .323 .351 .530
2019vs Right .685 502 48 13 65 2 .252 .283 .403
2018vs Left .773 156 19 2 12 1 .293 .359 .414
2018vs Right .715 491 57 10 42 5 .274 .320 .395
2017vs Left .836 115 14 2 7 0 .321 .374 .462
2017vs Right .778 358 52 14 56 2 .294 .327 .451
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+2%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+9%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+2%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+24%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .756 907 109 28 119 6 .280 .324 .432
Since 2017Away .740 889 101 22 84 4 .282 .317 .423
2019Home .703 337 34 11 48 2 .255 .279 .425
2019Away .768 339 34 11 38 0 .286 .322 .447
2018Home .722 336 39 7 31 3 .277 .342 .380
2018Away .735 311 37 5 23 3 .280 .315 .420
2017Home .879 234 36 10 40 1 .323 .363 .516
2017Away .708 239 30 6 23 1 .279 .314 .394
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Stat Review
How does Starlin Castro compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.25
 
BB Rate
4.1%
 
K Rate
16.4%
 
BABIP
.293
 
ISO
.165
 
AVG
.270
 
OBP
.300
 
SLG
.436
 
OPS
.736
 
wOBA
.318
 
Exit Velocity
88.5 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
42.0%
 
Barrels/PA
4.3%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Castro was on his way to a career-best campaign, making the All-Star team with a .313 average, 12 homers, 45 RBI and 52 runs in the first half. However, hamstring issues not only forced to him to miss the Midsummer Classic, but also resulted in a pair of stints on the disabled list, costing Castro a total of just over seven weeks. Still, he finished with 16 homers, the second-highest total of his career, while batting .300 for the first time since his rookie season. With the Yankees, Castro's HR/FB doubled compared to his time with the Cubs, but a low 30 percent flyball rate caps his power to the low 20s. That said, a contact rate consistently hovering near 80 percent offers a solid batting average floor. Despite last season's injury woes, Castro is durable and should be the regular second baseman for the Marlins after coming over in the Giancarlo Stanton trade.
Already a three-time All-Star entering his age-26 season, Castro was shipped away from the Cubs following a disappointing 2015 season and the emergence of young middle infield depth that made him disposable. Playing full time at second base for the first time, he socked a career-best 21 home runs in his first year in the Bronx and hit .270, but it wasn't all good for Castro. He continued to walk at a very low clip and saw his contact rate slip below 80 percent for the first time. Further, the speed element of his game that led to at least 20 steals in two of his first three seasons has all but disappeared, as he only attempted four steals in 2016. Nevertheless, his first season with the Yankees marked an improvement overall and he ultimately raised his OPS over 60 points from the year before to .733.
Just when it looked like Castro might have turned the corner in 2014, he had another disappointing season and found himself giving up shortstop to Addison Russell in the second half. Castro had some big moments in 2015, and when Russell went down with an injury in the postseason, he was ready to step back in at short, but he hasn't shown a lot of growth in his six years in the league. Last year he had a career-low 21 walks and 36 extra-base hits. Empty singles hitters who can't draw walks or steal bases (he has just nine thefts in the last two years) probably shouldn't be starting, but he is fully expected to open 2016 in a starting role after the Yankees made a play to acquire him in the offseason. A bottom-third lineup spot seems likely, although he should qualify at shortstop and second base in most formats.
Castro bounced back from a disastrous 2013 with a career-high .777 OPS and 14 home runs, but he only stole four bases all year - after topping 20 in both 2011 and 2012 - and missed most of September with an ankle injury. In the meantime, the Cubs brought up Javier Baez and Arismendy Alcantara, and also traded for Addison Russell. Any of that talented trio could potentially usurp Castro at short in the next couple of years. Castro isn't exactly playing for his position this year - he's still just 25 - but if he doesn't improve on his batting eye (35:100 BB:K ratio) and the younger alternatives continue to develop, he could be the type of player who gets dealt for help on the mound as the Cubs complete their rebuilding process.
Castro led the National League with 666 at-bats last year, and the rest of his numbers were just as evil. Despite reaching base more than 200 times, he tallied only 59 runs and 44 RBI – abysmal totals relative to the high workload. The 30:129 BB:K ratio is unacceptable for any hitter, but it's even more egregious when you consider that Castro is supposed to be one of the offensive leaders of the team and that he only hit 10 home runs. He turns 24 right before the beginning of the season, so he is still young enough to turn it around – he certainly has the talent to do so – but if he doesn't make huge strides in 2014 it may be time to put the “bust” label on him for good and give his starting job to uber-prospect Javier Baez.
A 29-point BABIP drop was essentially the only difference between Castro's 2011 season and a slightly disappointing 2012. He still hit 14 homers, stole 25 bases and scored 78 runs on a bad offensive team while playing shortstop. Nonetheless, there wasn't a lot of growth from age 21 to 22, either. It's possible this is all he'll ever be - a guy who can hit .300 with some pop, but won't take a walk - and for a shortstop, he'd certainly make a nice living doing that. But it's also possible at age 23 that he takes another step. One area of concern is the low stolen-base success rate - in a sabermetrically-savvy organization like the Theo-Epstein Cubs, that won't fly forever.
The crown jewel of the Cubs organization, Castro led the National League in hits as a 21-year-old. He makes good contact, and has developing power (eight of his 10 homers were in the season's final 69 games). Castro doesn't walk much, but that just makes his batting average even more at-bat heavy. Castro also stole 22 bases, but is still a little raw in that department as he was caught nine times. The bottom line, this slick fielding (though occasionally unfocused) shortstop has batting-champ hitting skills, improving power and good raw speed (nine triples). He'll be a fixture in the top third of the team's lineup for the foreseeable future, and at 22, he should only get better.
The Cubs' top prospect heading into 2010, Castro did not disappoint. He hit .300 in 463 big league at-bats and slugged .408 as a 20-year-old rookie shortstop. Castro did commit 27 errors, giving him the second-worst fielding percentage among qualifying shortstops, but his excellent range and strong arm largely made up for it. Castro doesn't draw a lot of walks, and despite having good speed, he was caught stealing eight times in 18 attempts. He enters 2011 as the unquestioned starter and one of the key pieces around which the franchise plans to build. Castro reportedly put on 15 pounds of muscle since the summer, enhancing the likelihood that some of his 31 doubles and five triples clear the fence this year.
Castro's performance at High-A Daytona and Double-A last season was impressive for a player who won't turn 20 until March. Castro hit for average, made contact and stole 28 bases. While he could stand to draw more walks, he wasn't allergic to the base on balls, either, especially at Double-A where he drew 10 in 111 at-bats. Castro's glove is major-league ready right now, and he'll get a long look during spring training. Chances are he'll start the year at Double-A, but if he continues to progress, it wouldn't be a shock to see him with the big league club this summer.
More Fantasy News
Slugs 21st homer
2BMiami Marlins
September 21, 2019
Castro went 3-for-4 with a double, a solo home run and a second run scored in Friday's 6-4 loss to the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Belts 20th homer
2BMiami Marlins
September 18, 2019
Castro went 3-for-4 with a solo home run, a pair of doubles and another run scored in Wednesday's 5-4 loss to the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
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Continues post-break surge
2BMiami Marlins
September 9, 2019
Castro went 2-for-4 with a home run, a double, a walk, two RBI and three runs Sunday in the Marlins' 9-0 win over the Royals.
ANALYSIS
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Cranks 15th home run
2BMiami Marlins
August 30, 2019
Castro went 3-for-5 with a home run and three RBI on Friday against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Homers in win
2BMiami Marlins
August 29, 2019
Castro went 2-for-5 with a solo home run in Thursday's win over the Reds.
ANALYSIS
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