Kyle Gibson
Kyle Gibson
31-Year-Old PitcherSP
Minnesota Twins
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Gibson made surprising strides at age 30 with a career-best 3.62 ERA and 8.2 K/9. He increased his average fastball velocity to 93.0 mph and his swinging-strike rate to 11.5%, both career highs. He kept more balls in the park with a 1.1 HR/9, compared to 1.4 in 2017. His 49.8% groundball rate ranked fourth among qualified starters. He was also more consistent with just two three-game streaks of allowing three or more runs, compared to 2017 when he was sent to the minors after a terrible stretch and 2016 when he had a 6.62 ERA in August. Control remains an issue (3.6 BB/9 last season) and it is hard to feel confident about his gains in velocity and strikeout rate, given how much they stand out and how late they came in his career, but if those gains turn out to be legitimate, he is an undervalued No. 3 starter. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year contract with the Twins in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Moves to bullpen
PMinnesota Twins
September 24, 2019
Gibson logged two innings of relief Tuesday against the Tigers and does not appear in line to make another start this season. He gave up one run on four hits and zero walks while striking out four and picking up the hold.
ANALYSIS
He had lined up to start Wednesday, but after Gibson was used in relief, it was announced that Randy Dobnak would start Wednesday on short rest. Gibson had an 8.02 ERA and 2.08 WHIP in 33.2 innings over his most recent eight appearances, so it makes sense that the Twins would move him to the bullpen at this stage of the season.
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
80
Last 10 Games
59
Last 5 Games
34
How many pitches does Kyle Gibson generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Kyle Gibson generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-13%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-9%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-20%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-6%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .286 1106 203 98 281 44 8 29
Since 2017vs Right .250 1119 257 97 253 48 2 41
2019vs Left .288 355 71 29 91 14 3 11
2019vs Right .262 351 89 27 84 16 1 12
2018vs Left .270 405 76 39 96 12 2 9
2018vs Right .215 421 103 40 81 18 1 14
2017vs Left .301 346 56 30 94 18 3 9
2017vs Right .282 347 65 30 88 14 0 15
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-18%
ERA on Road
2019
 
 
-17%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-3%
ERA on Road
2017
 
 
-24%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 4.88 1.44 254.1 18 17 0 8.0 3.5 1.2
Since 2017Away 4.01 1.39 260.1 17 13 0 8.1 3.3 1.2
2019Home 5.24 1.32 87.2 8 4 0 8.1 3.4 1.0
2019Away 4.35 1.59 72.1 5 3 0 10.1 2.9 1.6
2018Home 3.67 1.34 83.1 4 6 0 8.5 3.9 1.1
2018Away 3.57 1.27 113.1 6 7 0 7.9 3.4 1.0
2017Home 5.72 1.66 83.1 6 7 0 7.2 3.3 1.5
2017Away 4.34 1.39 74.2 6 3 0 6.5 3.5 1.2
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Kyle Gibson compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
2.86
 
K/9
9.0
 
BB/9
3.2
 
HR/9
1.3
 
Fastball
93.4 mph
 
ERA
4.84
 
WHIP
1.44
 
BABIP
.343
 
GB/FB
2.47
 
Left On Base
66.4%
 
Exit Velocity
88.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
6.9%
 
Spin Rate
2121 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
38.2%
 
Swinging Strike
13.1%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Kyle Gibson
Collette Calls: More Accountability
15 days ago
Jason Collette looks at his predictions for each stat category for the stretch run. Which did he nail, and which did he fail?
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Subject to Change
25 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the starting pitching for the final week of the season, which is always tricky. Gerrit Cole is scheduled for two starts, but will he make both?
DraftKings MLB: Thursday Picks
27 days ago
Christopher Olson tees up a short five-game main DraftKings slate Thursday, recommending an Indians stack against the Tigers.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Thursday Picks
27 days ago
Mike Barner recommends using a Jays stack Thursday against Baltimore.
FanDuel MLB: Thursday Breakdown
27 days ago
Jack Flaherty and Mike Clevinger headline Thursday's top pitching options on FanDuel. Who does Sasha Yodashkin prefer?
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
Gibson's final output last season mirrored his 2016 production (a 5.07 ERA both years), but last year featured a roller coaster that saw him both sent to the minors and become Minnesota's hottest pitcher. He began the season in the rotation but was sent to Triple-A in May after going 0-4 with an 8.20 ERA in six starts. He righted the ship when he returned later in the month and surged after the All-Star break. In the second half he reduced his walks from 4.2 BB/9 to 2.6 BB/9 while also upping his strikeouts from 5.6 K/9 to 8.2 K/9, resulting in a 7-3 record and a 3.76 ERA. In addition to a decrease in walks and increase in strikeouts, he gave up significantly fewer home runs and generated weaker contact. His stuff didn’t improve, but his pitch location did. Gibson has always had good groundball rates (50.8 percent last season) so if his command gains are legitimate, he could carry that second-half success over in 2018.
Gibson was expected to improve last season to become a reliable starter at the top of the rotation, but instead took a step back as both his walk rate and strikeout rates deteriorated. Gibson landed on the DL in April with a sore shoulder and missed nearly two months. He never got back on track when he returned as his velocity, strikeout rate and control all declined from the previous season. At his best, Gibson offsets his lack of strikeouts with a good groundball rate and average control. Perhaps health was the issue, but he'll need a bounceback season to remain in Minnesota's rotation.
Gibson had a solid, if unspectacular, 2015 season and will be counted on as Minnesota's No. 3 starter this year. His 194.2 innings led the team, and since his ERA was slightly below average, that made him Minnesota's most valuable player by bWAR. Gibson improved his strikeout rate, but it's still mediocre and his velocity (91.8 mph average fastball) wouldn't seem to indicate a lot of upside. He offsets his lack of strikeouts with a good ground ball rate (53.4 percent) and average control (3.0 BB/9, an uptick from his career norm). Gibson needs to be more consistent, as he has a pattern of alternating great and terrible starts; he had a 0.71 ERA in 11 wins and a 7.99 ERA in 11 losses last year. Still, at age 28, he could be hitting his prime now that he's established in Minnesota's rotation.
Gibson's first full season in the majors was an uneven affair as he showed glimpses of becoming a mainstay in the rotation while also having many ugly outings. He had a 1.42 ERA in his 13 wins, but a horrendous 11.04 ERA in his 12 losses. Gibson's poor strikeout rate (4.9 K/9 IP) limits his upside, but he's had some success due to a relatively low walk rate (2.9 BB/9) and a 54.4% groundball rate. If Gibson can reduce his number of disaster outings, he could improve to become a building block in Minnesota's rotation.
Gibson's first full season back from Tommy John surgery was a mixed bag as he had a strong season at Triple-A with a 2.92 ERA and 87:33 K:BB ratio in 101.2 innings, but struggled in his first test in the majors with a 6.53 ERA and 29:20 K:BB in 51 innings (5.1 K/9). While the 2009 first-round draft pick has been regarded as one of Minnesota's top pitching prospects, he's never had an overwhelming strikeout rate (8.0 K/9 in the minors) or velocity (92.1 average mph fastball in the majors), which may limit his upside. Still, he's likely to improve in his second full season after Tommy John surgery. He'll be a candidate for a spot in the Minnesota rotation in spring training.
Gibson, Minnesota's 2009 first-round draft pick, spent last summer working his way back from September 2011 Tommy John surgery. He made 13 minor league starts, including two at Triple-A in September. He then had a decent showing in the Arizona Fall League with a 5.40 ERA and 28:8 K:BB in 23.1 innings (He began 3-0 with a 0.69 ERA, but struggled in his last three starts). Gibson has a strong chance to win a spot in the Twins' rotation, but it sounds like he may start the season in the minors or the bullpen as the Twins have said they plan to limit his workload to 130 or 140 innings. With three above-average pitches and excellent control, Gibson could quickly ascend to the top of Minnesota's rotation, but his upside may be limited because he has never had outstanding strikeout rates in the minors.
Gibson, Minnesota's 2009 first-round draft pick, will miss the 2012 season after undergoing Tommy John surgery. He may have been part of Minnesota's rotation as early as 2012 after he started the season with a 3.79 ERA and 74:17 K:BB ratio through 71.1 innings at Triple-A. However, he faded after June and was sidelined with a sore elbow that later required surgery. When healthy, he has three above average pitches and excellent control.
Gibson, Minnesota's 2009 first-round draft pick, jumped from High-A to Triple-A last season. He could contend for a spot in Minnesota's starting rotation in spring training, but likely begins the season at Triple-A and gets called up after a few months. The 2009 first-round draft pick has three above average pitches and excellent control. He could be an impact fantasy pitcher in 2011.
Gibson, Minnesota's 2009 first-round draft pick, didn't play last summer due to a stress fracture in his forearm. He was able to return for Minnesota's instructional league and is expected to be ready for spring training. He has three above average pitches and excellent control, so the college pitcher could advance rapidly after an expected start at Low-A Beloit.
More Fantasy News
Roughed up over 1.2 innings
PMinnesota Twins
September 19, 2019
Gibson did not factor into the decision against Kansas City on Thursday, pitching 1.2 innings and giving up three runs on three hits and four walks while striking out two.
ANALYSIS
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Works in relief
PMinnesota Twins
September 16, 2019
Gibson made his second relief appearance of the season in Sunday's 7-5 loss to the Indians, giving up two runs (one earned) on two hits and a walk in his lone inning.
ANALYSIS
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Hit hard in first start back
PMinnesota Twins
September 12, 2019
Gibson (13-7) took the loss against the Nationals on Thursday, giving up six runs (five earned) on eight hits over 4.2 innings, striking out five and walking four as the Twins fell 12-6.
ANALYSIS
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Activated from IL
PMinnesota Twins
September 10, 2019
Gibson (abdomen) was reinstated from the 10-day injured list Tuesday, Brandon Warne of ZoneCoverage.com reports.
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Set to start Thursday
PMinnesota Twins
Abdomen
September 8, 2019
Gibson (abdomen) is scheduled to be activated off the 10-day injured list to start Thursday against the Nationals, Phil Miller of the Minneapolis Star Tribune reports.
ANALYSIS
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