McCullers
2018 Stats
2018 Full Season Projections
W-L
10-6
ERA
3.93
WHIP
1.19
K
138
SV
0
 
 
 
 
 
2018 Fantasy Outlook
A pair of DL stints due to back issues limited McCullers to 118.2 regular-season innings (22 starts), but his performance when on the field further hinted at ace upside. He struck out 25.8 percent of the batters he faced, issued walks at a 7.8 percent clip and served up jus... read more
A pair of DL stints due to back issues limited McCullers to 118.2 regular-season innings (22 starts), but his performance when on the field further hinted at ace upside. He struck out 25.8 percent of the batters he faced, issued walks at a 7.8 percent clip and served up just eight homers, with the estimators suggesting McCullers was roughly a run better than his surface numbers would indicate. McCulllers has relied on his devastating curveball as his primary pitch over the past two seasons, throwing it 47.4 percent of the time in 2017 compared to 40.4 percent for his fastball (11.9 percent changeup). That's the Rich Hill approach, but also like Hill, McCullers is an injury risk, having missed time in 2016 due to elbow and shoulder issues. Expecting even 150 innings may be a stretch, but McCullers' contributions in that limited window may be so great that he still finishes as a borderline top-20 starter. The team context -- home park, bullpen, offense -- couldn't be any better.
STATUS: 10-Day DL    INJURY: Forearm    RETURN DATE: Sep 1,2018   
LEAGUE: Majors    40 MAN: Yes    BATS: L    Throws: R    HT: 6'1"    WT: 190 lbs.    DOB: 10/2/1993    Drafted By:  In 2012Show Contract
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Lance McCullers Contract Info:
Agreed to a one-year deal with the Astros in January of 2018, avoiding arbitration.
Injury caused by batting
PHouston Astros
Forearm
August 10, 2018
McCullers' forearm injury was the result of swinging a bat, and not caused by pitching, Hunter Atkins of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Lance McCullers MLB Stats
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Lance McCullers 2018 MLB Game Log
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Vs. Today's Lineup - OAK
Lance McCullers Vs Batter Stats
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2018 Stat Review for Lance McCullers
2.76 K/BB
WEAK
9.86 K/9
GREAT
3.57 BB/9
POOR
94.3 MPH Fastball
GREAT
0.9 HR/9
GREAT
2.42 GB/FB Ratio
EXTREME GROUNDBALLER
3.93 ERA
AVERAGE
1.19 WHIP
GOOD
3.60 FIP
GOOD
0.288 BABIP
AVERAGE
68.8 % Strand Rate
LOW
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RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
  1. Lance McCullers 2018 Preseason Outlook
    Subscribe now to see our 2018 outlook for Lance McCullers
  2. Lance McCullers 2017 Preseason Outlook
    McCullers' season had two negative bookends of shoulder and elbow DL stints, which no doubt helps explain the 1.54 WHIP he posted in between. The fact that his WHIP shot up from 2015's 1.19 without any change to his 3.22 ERA speaks to how well he pitched in traffic. His 81.4 LOB% tied for the fourth highest with Kyle Hendricks and Danny Duffy among starters (minimum 80 IP). His ability to generate weak contact so consistently (fifth-lowest hard contact rate) and to keep the ball on the ground when in play (third in GB%) while also limiting contact in the first place (his 30 percent strikeout rate was sixth-best) were instrumental in his strand success. Despite the injuries that curbed his workload, there were enough positives from the half-season to be excited about the 23-year-old going forward. Early winter checkups report the elbow -- which was the second of the injuries -- won't delay the start of his 2017. The young flamethrower with a devastating swing-and-miss curve has shown major promise in 206.2 innings as a big leaguer. Buy in bulk.
  3. Lance McCullers 2016 Preseason Outlook
    This is why prospect mavens aren't lying when they say "I don't know" so often when discussing callups. If someone told you a 21-year old who had peaked in High-A (and was crushed there with a 5.47 ERA and 5.2 BB/9) with just 97 IP would blitz through Double-A and thrown 125.7 regular season IP in the majors, you'd have called them crazy. McCullers was so dominant in Double-A (0.56 ERA, 13.5 K/9) and Houston was competitive so they took a shot and it panned out brilliantly. He has the potential to be the right-handed complement to Dallas Keuchel atop the rotation, though it will take some time for that kind of consistency to develop. Walks are his biggest hurdle. He allowed two or more in 68% of his 22 starts (league average: 53%) and had a 4.5 BB/9 in 260 minor league IP. Shoulder soreness has McCullers likely ticketed for a DL stint to start the season, so he should be downgraded somewhat on draft day.
  4. Lance McCullers 2015 Preseason Outlook
    McCullers took the next step in his development with High-A Lancaster last season and predictably endured some growing pains in the hitter-friendly California Leauge. An increase in walks (5.2 BB/9) and home runs allowed (1.67 HR/9) were his main flaws, but he still struck out batters at an elite clip (10.7 K/9). His future remains unclear as a big league starter or closer, but how he pitches in the more neutral environment at Double-A Corpus Christi should help give the Astros a better read on his path to the majors.
  5. Lance McCullers 2014 Preseason Outlook
    McCullers, a second-generation hurler, performed exceptionally well in his first full season in the minors. In 25 appearances (19 starts) for Low-A Quad Cities, McCullers went 6-5 with a 117:49 K:BB over 104.2 innings. His walk rate (4.2 BB/9) was a little high, but he more than made up for it by keeping the ball on the ground (2.00 GO/AO) and inside the park (0.3 HR/9). The 20-year-old's aggressive three-pitch arsenal includes an upper-90s fastball with excellent movement, an above-average slider and changeup. While his future as a big league starter or closer remains uncertain, how McCullers fares this season - most likely in Double-A - should give the Astros a better read regarding his path to the majors.
  6. Lance McCullers 2013 Preseason Outlook
    The Astros drafted McCullers with the No. 41 pick in the 2012 draft, far lower than he was projected pre-draft due to what was perceived to be excessive bonus demands. The Astros were able to meet those demands with a $2.5 million bonus, thanks in part to signing the surprise first overall pick (Carlos Correa) for far less than slot. McCullers gets the ball up near 100 mph, but his arm action is far from easy, putting him at increased risk of injury. With dominant stuff, McCullers projects as a future ace. He'll likely begin the year in High-A, but could wind up in Double-A before all is said and done.
More Fantasy News
Injury caused by batting
PHouston Astros
Forearm
August 10, 2018
McCullers' forearm injury was the result of swinging a bat, and not caused by pitching, Hunter Atkins of the Houston Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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To remain out until September
PHouston Astros
Forearm
August 6, 2018
McCullers was diagnosed with a muscle strain in his right forearm Monday, Julia Morales of AT&T SportsNet Southwest reports.
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Heads to 10-day DL
PHouston Astros
Elbow
August 5, 2018
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Heads back to Houston
PHouston Astros
Elbow
August 5, 2018
McCullers (elbow) will fly back to Houston on Sunday to be examined by the Astros' medical staff, Chandler Rome of the Houston Chronicle reports.
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Injury described as elbow discomfort
PHouston Astros
Arm
August 4, 2018
The Astros are describing McCullers' injury as right elbow discomfort, Jake Kaplan of The Athletic Houston reports.
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