Matt Olson
Matt Olson
25-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Oakland Athletics
10-Day IL
Injury Hand
Est. Return 5/5/2019
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Olson burst onto the scene in 2017, blasting 24 homers in 59 games. Hitting just two doubles in that span was a warning Olson would be hard-pressed to maintain that pace. Sure enough, his extra-base hit ratio normalized as he swatted 29 long balls with 33 two-baggers last year, a more realistic baseline expectation. Olson made strides with his plate skills, walking a tick more while shaving his K% down a few points to 24.7%. His hard contact ranked sixth on the Statcast exit velocity leaderboard along with a respectable 42nd-place finish in barrel rate. Olson was seen as a below-average defender as a prospect, but has improved in that regard. Entering just his age-25 campaign, he is young enough to improve his contact and his ability to hit southpaws (45 of his 53 career blasts have come off right-handed pitching). By playing all 162 games last season, Olson displayed durability, adding to his growing resume. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year contract with the Athletics in September of 2016.
Two weeks away from return
1BOakland Athletics
Hand
April 21, 2019
Olson (hand) is on track to return to the big-league lineup around May 5, Jim Bowden of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
General manager David Forst told Bowden on Sunday that Olson was two weeks away, which would line him up to return late in the first week of May in Pittsburgh or early in the second week of May at home against the Reds. This is excellent news, as it originally seemed like Olson would be out through the end of May. It's a pain-tolerance issue at this point, and he is using an axe-handle bat, which should ease the pain when he makes contact.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+27%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
-100%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+18%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+43%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .708 270 27 8 28 2 .239 .326 .382
Since 2017vs Right .897 612 92 45 101 0 .254 .345 .552
2019vs Left .533 6 1 0 0 0 .200 .333 .200
2019vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018vs Left .701 211 18 4 22 2 .251 .332 .369
2018vs Right .830 449 67 25 62 0 .244 .336 .494
2017vs Left .758 53 8 4 6 0 .196 .302 .457
2017vs Right 1.081 163 25 20 39 0 .280 .368 .713
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+6%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
-100%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+11%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .815 433 60 26 59 1 .242 .316 .499
Since 2017Away .862 449 59 27 70 1 .257 .361 .501
2019Home .533 6 1 0 0 0 .200 .333 .200
2019Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2018Home .747 326 39 14 36 1 .227 .307 .440
2018Away .829 334 46 15 48 1 .266 .362 .467
2017Home 1.045 101 20 12 23 0 .290 .347 .699
2017Away .961 115 13 12 22 0 .229 .357 .604
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Stat Review
How does Matt Olson compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.00
 
BB Rate
16.7%
 
K Rate
0.0%
 
BABIP
.200
 
ISO
.000
 
AVG
.200
 
OBP
.333
 
SLG
.200
 
OPS
.533
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Matt Olson
Rounding Third: Exploring Hitter Statcast Data
7 days ago
Teoscar Hernandez was a surprise leader among qualified hitters in barreled hits percentage last season – among the revelations that Jeff Erickson discovered while navigating batter Statcast data.
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26 days ago
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Spring Training Job Battles: Final Update
26 days ago
On the eve of Opening Day, Erik Halterman runs down the list of winners and losers in his final Job Battles update.
AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
29 days ago
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Top 350 Composite Rankings
31 days ago
Max Scherzer has climbed up to third in RotoWire's composite rankings. Check out all of our changes in this week's Roundtable Rankings.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
A lot was made of the power displays exhibited by Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge, but if you prorate Olson's numbers over a full season, we're looking at something north of 60 homers. Of course, he only played 59 games, so Olson would have been hard pressed to keep hitting a homer every nine plate appearances in a full campaign (Stanton was one per 11.7 PA while Judge was one per 13 PA). Further, Olson's HR/FB was a ridiculous 41.4 percent. There have been only four players in history with a seasonal mark over 35 percent, two of which were Stanton and Judge in 2017. Olson's power earned him the full-time first base spot, enabling the Athletics to deal Ryon Healy. When the dust settles, the lefty-swinging slugger will be another high-power, high-strikeout hitter with a risky batting average. There's a chance he gets exposed versus southpaws over a full season.
Regardless of their flaws, young left-handed bats with an enticing power tool can establish their own market. Olson (6-foot-5, 230 pounds) has proven as much in his early professional career, with 37 home runs at High-A Stockton and 17 at each of his two stops since. Throughout his farm work, he's kept an equally attractive 15.2 percent walk rate, but Olson's prospect appeal has slipped as he's advanced closer to the big leagues. The A's have avenues at first base, outfield and designated hitter to test the potential middle-of-the-order stick. Olson turns 23 in March, though, and like many hackers, he has holes in his swing. His strikeout rate has hovered in the 23-24 percent range in his time at Double-A Midland and Triple-A Nashville, and logic doesn't say to expect immediate improvement in the big leagues as he adjusts to top-level pitching.
Olson moved up to Double-A in 2015 and took a step back from his big 2014, when he had 37 home runs and 111 RBI with a .281 ISO. Olson hit .249 with 17 home runs in his first full season in Double-A and saw his ISO drop to .189. The good news is that his impressive walk rate stayed stable at 17.9 percent even though his strikeout rate did bump up a touch to 23.8 percent (21.6 percent in 2014). Olson is 22, and while he is still a top-five prospect in the organization, his bit of a downturn upon seeing Double-A pitching likely ended any chance of his starting 2016 with the A's. He has a chance to make it up to the majors in the second half of 2016 and could be the A's starting first baseman (or right fielder if Josh Reddick is moved) to begin 2017.
Olson had a monster 2014 in the power department at High-A Stockton, leading all A's minor leaguers with 37 homers and 97 RBI over 512 at-bats. The 20-year-old also had a nice boost in his batting average, hitting .262 (along with a huge .947 OPS) after hitting merely .225 in 2013. In addition, he added a lot of walks to his resume, walking 45 more times than he did in 2013. The A's sent Olson to the Arizona Fall League after the season to give him a look against other top prospects, but his stint there was cut short by a shoulder injury, suffered in a collision at first base. He's expected to be ready for the start of spring training, and Olson will likely begin the season as the starting first baseman in Double-A, with a legitimate chance to join the A's in 2016.
Olson spent the 2013 season at Low-A Beloit and while the power numbers were impressive (23 homers and 93 RBI), Olson struggled to make contact, hitting only .225 and striking out 148 times. The 19-year-old possesses the power upside from the left side of the plate that teams drool over, but he will look to improve upon his contact in High-A in 2014. If he's able to cut back on the whiffs, Olson could make a significant push up the prospect charts as he ascends the Oakland system.
More Fantasy News
Progresses to tee work
1BOakland Athletics
Hand
April 19, 2019
Olson (hand) took swings off a tee with his normal bat Friday, Matt Kawahara of The San Francisco Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Another step forward in recovery
1BOakland Athletics
Hand
April 16, 2019
Olson (hand) took two-handed wings with a fungo bat before Tuesday's game, Martin Gallegos of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Taking one-handed swings
1BOakland Athletics
Hand
April 11, 2019
Olson (hand) took one-handed swings Thursday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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Continuing to take grounders
1BOakland Athletics
Hand
April 4, 2019
Olson (hand) took ground balls for the third time prior to Thursday's game, Gideon Rubin of The Associated Press reports.
ANALYSIS
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Cast removed
1BOakland Athletics
Hand
April 2, 2019
Olson (hand) had his soft cast and stitches removed and said he feels good Tuesday, Susan Slusser of the San Francisco Chronicle reports.
ANALYSIS
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