Dominic Smith
Dominic Smith
23-Year-Old First Baseman1B
New York Mets
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Even though he's just 23 years old, Smith's window to convince the Mets he can be a productive part of their future is closing. As a first baseman in the National League, DH isn't an option, nor is changing positions in Smith's case. His plate skills continue to be the issue as last season's 32% strikeout rate in tandem with a paltry 2.7% walk rate won't get it done, even in today's whiff-forgiving landscape. Smith's aggressive approach hinders his ability to get to his power -- he chases at an above-average rate. He even struggled at Triple-A Las Vegas, posting a .708 OPS in one of the best hitting venues in the offense-happy Pacific Coast League. Even in the unlikely event Smith has a strong spring and breaks camp with the starting role, he's unlikely to hold it with slugger Peter Alonso knocking at the door. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a contract with the Mets in June of 2013.
Seeing little time behind Alonso
1BNew York Mets
April 17, 2019
Smith is out of the lineup for Wednesday's game against the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
Despite making the Opening Day roster, Smith has started in just two of the Mets' first 18 games of the season. Smith was always going to have a tough time finding playing time after top prospect Pete Alonso broke camp with the big club, and it's difficult to imagine Smith's prospects improving unless the much-hyped rookie succumbs to an injury or experiences a prolonged slump.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+29%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+14%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+18%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+62%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .559 64 4 0 3 0 .167 .281 .278
Since 2017vs Right .721 296 33 14 38 0 .237 .280 .441
2019vs Left 1.171 7 1 0 0 0 .400 .571 .600
2019vs Right 1.024 21 5 0 4 0 .444 .524 .500
2018vs Left .583 20 1 0 0 0 .167 .250 .333
2018vs Right .688 129 13 5 11 0 .232 .256 .432
2017vs Left .437 37 2 0 3 0 .129 .243 .194
2017vs Right .708 146 15 9 23 0 .213 .267 .441
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+20%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+31%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+14%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+13%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .626 160 19 8 17 0 .188 .244 .383
Since 2017Away .750 200 18 6 24 0 .255 .310 .440
2019Home .833 4 0 0 0 0 .333 .500 .333
2019Away 1.092 24 6 0 4 0 .450 .542 .550
2018Home .629 75 8 4 7 0 .194 .227 .403
2018Away .720 74 6 1 4 0 .254 .284 .437
2017Home .612 81 11 4 10 0 .176 .247 .365
2017Away .694 102 6 5 16 0 .215 .275 .419
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Stat Review
How does Dominic Smith compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
1.00
 
BB Rate
14.3%
 
K Rate
14.3%
 
BABIP
.526
 
ISO
.087
 
AVG
.435
 
OBP
.536
 
SLG
.522
 
OPS
1.057
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dominic Smith
Regan's Rumblings: 30 Teams, 30 Recommendations
Yesterday
Dave Regan offers up one move that each MLB team could make that would have fantasy impact, like having the Braves sign Craig Kimbrel.
Spring Training Job Battles: Final Update
28 days ago
On the eve of Opening Day, Erik Halterman runs down the list of winners and losers in his final Job Battles update.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
31 days ago
Jan Levine kicks off the 2019 NL FAAB festivities with a thorough look at possible options, including an intriguing battle for bullpen supremacy in Arizona.
Spring Training Job Battles: Nearing the Finish Line
35 days ago
Erik Halterman checks in on all of the relevant job battles around Major League Baseball as spring training winds down.
Spring Training Job Battles: Past the Halfway Point
42 days ago
Erik Halterman provides a mid-March update on all the relevant job battles around Major League Baseball.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
A number of prospects enjoyed success right away upon arrival to the big leagues last season, but Smith was not among them. He posted just a 73 wRC+ in 49 games, although he was pretty unlucky on balls in play (.218 BABIP). The power was the one positive, which is surprising given that Smith has long been thought of as a hit-over-power first baseman. However, he did steadily increase his home-run totals on the farm in recent years, and is still just 22 years old, so perhaps that per-game power production wasn't so fluky. While Smith did see a sizable jump in strikeout rate following his promotion to the majors, the minor-league track record suggests he will cut that down with more exposure to big-league arms. Smith isn't guaranteed a major-league roster spot out of camp, as new acquisition Adrian Gonzalez may be given the starting job, but he's still an intriguing player in dynasty settings.
Smith made significant strides in the power department last season, as the sweet-swinging lefty hit 14 home runs and drove in 91 runs in 130 games for Double-A Binghamton, both career highs. Smith has always possessed the ability to hit for average, and he batted over .300 for the second consecutive season. The Mets used James Loney as a stopgap option last season, which is fitting given that's the comparison that has been used with Smith throughout his time in the minors. Nevertheless, if Lucas Duda continues to battle back problems, Smith could see the big leagues as soon as this upcoming season. He will likely head to Triple-A to start the year to continue working on his power stroke.
With Steven Matz set to officially graduate from prospect status, Smith is primed to become the class of the Mets' farm system. Drafted 11th overall out of high school in 2011, Smith made the jump to High-A St. Lucie to begin 2015. The results were generally excellent for a 20-year-old as Smith raked against both left- and right-handed pitching, though he displayed mostly gap power from the left side with a Florida State League-leading 33 doubles. Smith does not have as stocky a 6-foot frame as say Kyle Schwarber, but he makes consistent contact, and more of those hits are going to start leaving the yard as Smith continues to mature and especially when he reaches the launching pad at Triple-A Las Vegas. He probably won't reach the majors until 2017, but Smith should be a popular target in long-term keeper formats.
First base prospects that sign for $2.6 million out of high school are typically worth monitoring, and Smith is no different, although his 2014 numbers may not back that up. If one ignores the fact that he is a first baseman, a .271 average with a .344 OBP in a full season at Low-A looks pretty good for someone who turned 19 this past summer. But the fact that he hit just one home run in 518 plate appearances signals that the power may always be below average relative to Smith’s position. The 26 doubles he hit give hope for an eventual 10-20 home run season in the minor leagues, especially if he can add more muscle to his six-foot, 185-pound frame. However, he is still at least a couple years away from the big leagues, and projects as more James Loney than Prince Fielder, meaning he is only worth holding in deeper formats.
Smith, selected 11th overall out of high school by the Mets in the 2013 draft, has a sweet left-handed stroke with surprising power and a good eye at the plate, along with a solid glove at first base. He hit .287/.384/.407 along with three homers and 22 RBI in 167 at-bats for the Gulf Coast League Mets, turning it on after a slow start. Smith could open 2014 at Low-A Savannah and is as a top-five prospect in the Mets' system. With a gaping hole at first base, Smith could be fast-tracked to the majors, reaching New York as early as 2016.
More Fantasy News
Starting at first Tuesday
1BNew York Mets
April 1, 2019
Smith will draw the start at first base Tuesday against the Marlins, Mike Puma of the New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
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Opening season in bigs
1BNew York Mets
March 27, 2019
General manager Brodie Van Wagenen confirmed Wednesday that Smith would be included on the Mets' Opening Day roster, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
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Role still uncertain
1BNew York Mets
March 26, 2019
Smith got the start at DH in Monday's exhibition game against the Orioles, going 1-for-5 with a three-run home run.
ANALYSIS
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Registers multi-hit day
1BNew York Mets
March 3, 2019
Smith with 3-for-4 with a home run and four RBI on Sunday against the Cardinals.
ANALYSIS
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Outfield experiment ends
1BNew York Mets
February 19, 2019
Smith will only play first base this spring, Tim Healey of Newsday reports.
ANALYSIS
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