Hunter Dozier
Hunter Dozier
27-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
Kansas City Royals
2019 Fantasy Outlook
The 2013 first-round pick re-emerged as a viable prospect in 2016, had a lost season in 2017 and saw his first extended major-league action after his callup in May, playing in 102 games for the Royals. Dozier saw considerable time at first and third base and finished the season with a .229/.278/.395 slash line with 11 home runs in 388 PA. He has plus raw power but struggles to get to it consistently in games. His 28.1% strikeout rate is only slightly higher than his rate over three seasons at Triple-A Omaha, but remains a concern along with his 6.2% walk rate. The 27-year-old's ability to play all four corner spots boosts his real-life utility and gives him a chance to crack Kansas City's Opening Day roster, possibly as the everyday third baseman. However, his big-league opportunities will be more of a testament to the lack of talent on the Royals' roster than Dozier's own ability. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#612
ADP
Add To Watchlist
$Signed with the Royals for $2.2 million in June of 2013.
Maintains hot bat
3BKansas City Royals
April 17, 2019
Dozier went 2-for-4 with a solo home run, two RBI and a walk in Wednesday's extra-inning win over the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
Dozier went hitless Tuesday to end a streak of five straight multi-hit games, but got back on track in the series finale. The 27-year-old slashed .111/.219/.222 through the first eight games of the year but is 14-for-30 with four home runs over his last seven contests.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
2
3
6
3
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+23%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+40%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+17%
OPS vs RHP
2017
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .621 149 10 1 9 1 .205 .322 .299
Since 2017vs Right .764 317 36 15 35 1 .253 .287 .477
2019vs Left .756 21 2 1 2 0 .188 .381 .375
2019vs Right 1.057 57 8 4 8 0 .327 .404 .653
2018vs Left .601 128 8 0 7 1 .207 .313 .288
2018vs Right .704 260 28 11 27 1 .239 .262 .442
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+2%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+42%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
2017
No Stats
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .717 254 24 7 23 0 .246 .303 .414
Since 2017Away .728 212 22 9 21 2 .231 .292 .436
2019Home .845 46 6 2 5 0 .300 .370 .475
2019Away 1.198 32 4 3 5 0 .280 .438 .760
2018Home .690 208 18 5 18 0 .234 .288 .401
2018Away .655 180 18 6 16 2 .224 .267 .388
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Hunter Dozier compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.69
 
BB Rate
14.1%
 
K Rate
20.5%
 
BABIP
.311
 
ISO
.292
 
AVG
.292
 
OBP
.397
 
SLG
.585
 
OPS
.982
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Royals Depth Chart
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185 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
Dozier re-established himself as a notable prospect in 2016, but injuries and poor performance in limited opportunities resulted in his value cratering last season. He missed the first two months of the season with an oblique injury, then a week later he broke his wrist, which sidelined him until the middle of August. It's really hard to take much from his performance in 2017, especially when factoring in the type of injuries he dealt with. Fortunately, he finds himself on a team in the early stages of a rebuild, so while his spot on the 40-man roster may be in jeopardy on another team, he has a decent chance to make the Royals' big-league roster this spring. He saw time at third base and first base at Triple-A, but the majority of his starts came in right field. It's hard to say exactly where the 26-year-old will fit in, but he could post solid power numbers with a low batting average if he gets the at-bats.
Dozier's re-emergence as a prospect is an excellent story, as it seemed reasonable to write him off a year ago after he looked incapable of handling Double-A pitching. Obviously a recently turned 25-year-old posting a .864 OPS with 15 home runs over 103 games in the Pacific Coast League doesn't mean he won't end up settling in as a Quadruple-A hitter long term. But it is a sight far more encouraging than when he posted an OPS under .625 across 192 games at Double-A between 2014 and 2015. The Royals began transitioning him to the outfield at Triple-A, and when he got a cup of coffee with the big league club in September, all six of his starts came in right field. He's not particularly close to being a top-200 prospect, but at least he's now a player to be aware of in deeper single-season leagues in 2017.
Standing 6-foot-4 and weighing 220 pounds, the eighth overall pick in the 2013 draft certainly looks the part of a slugging third baseman. Watching Dozier smoke balls in batting practice only further adds to the allure. However, after 790 plate appearances at Double-A, the 24-year-old has yet to come close to meeting expectations. Dozier has hit just 16 home runs with nine steals and a .291 wOBA dating back to when he first joined Northwest Arkansas in the middle of the 2014 season. After hitting four home runs in 64 games to close out 2014, he was able to hit 12 homers in 128 games last year, but his strikeout rate jumped from 26.2% to 28.9% as a result of tweaking his approach, which adds another unappealing element to the equation. Until he can show the ability to lay off breaking balls out of the zone and get in more hitter’s counts, Dozier will be a player to follow, but not own, in most dynasty leagues.
Dozier produced a .826 OPS with four homers and seven steals over 276 at-bats for High-A Wilmington in 2014, which eventually earned him a mid-June promotion to Double-A Northwest Arkansas. In an equal amount of at-bats at the Double-A level, he was largely disappointing, batting just .209 and striking out at a rate of 22.6%. He'll need to improve his contact rate at that level if he has intentions of making another jump in 2015, but the Royals remain confident the 6-foot-4 infielder will continue to develop the power they thought he would when they drafted him eighth overall in the 2013 first-year player draft. Triple-A Omaha seems to be the likely ceiling for Dozier in the coming season, and he'll still have to compete with several other intriguing prospects in the farm system if he plans on seeing infield work in the big leagues by 2016.
The Royals' first-round pick (eighth overall) in the 2013 draft was probably one of the most highly-criticized selections by scouts and baseball pundits. A shortstop out of Stephen A. Austin, the 21-year-old Dozier posted a slash line of .396/.482/.755 with 17 home runs during his senior year. However, while most believe he possesses a strong skill set, few are convinced that he will make it in the major leagues, and most believe he will require a move over to either second or third base. Dozier impressed at the plate in the Rookie League, posting a .303/.403/.509 slash line with a 13.3% walk rate and a .203 ISO over 258 plate appearances, but he struggled with a late-season move to Low-A ball. He'll continue to work at the lower levels until he shows some continued growth, but he appears to be a long way away from the big leagues.
More Fantasy News
Stays hot in loss
3BKansas City Royals
April 16, 2019
Dozier went 2-for-3 with a walk, a double and a solo home run in Monday's 5-4 loss to the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Launches another homer
3BKansas City Royals
April 11, 2019
Dozier went 3-for-5 with a home run, a double and two RBI in Thursday's loss to Seattle.
ANALYSIS
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Takes seat Thursday
3BKansas City Royals
April 4, 2019
Dozier is out of the lineup for Thursday's game against the Tigers.
ANALYSIS
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Sitting out Sunday
3BKansas City Royals
March 31, 2019
Dozier is on the bench Sunday against the White Sox.
ANALYSIS
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Back in lineup
3BKansas City Royals
March 16, 2019
Dozier (groin) will serve as the Royals' designated hitter and bat sixth in Saturday's Cactus League game against the Padres, Jeffrey Flanagan of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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