Kevin Kiermaier
Kevin Kiermaier
29-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Tampa Bay Rays
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Kiermaier played his typically-stellar defense in 2018, but that doesn't count in most fantasy leagues, and he really struggled in that realm, posting a career-low .653 OPS and appearing in just 88 games. He missed time with multiple foot and back injuries, as well as thumb and shoulder issues, with his season eventually coming to a close in late September due to a hairline fracture in his right foot. Kiermaier's defense will earn him plenty of at-bats again in 2019, and he may even open the year as the leadoff hitter against righties. However, he has not played more than 105 games in a season since 2015 and the Rays are flush with young players capable of playing the outfield who could cut into his playing time if his offensive production is well below average for the second year in a row. The top thing working in his favor in that regard is that he is under contract through the 2022 season. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a six-year, $53.5 million contract extension with the Rays in March of 2017.
Rides pine Saturday
OFTampa Bay Rays
September 28, 2019
Kiermaier is not in Saturday's lineup against the Blue Jays.
ANALYSIS
He is hitting .137 with one home run and zero steals in 18 games this month. Guillermo Heredia is starting in center field and batting ninth.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
1
5
1
6
28
38
9
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
9
12
6
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+5%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+23%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+27%
OPS vs RHP
2017
 
 
+25%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .681 392 45 8 49 13 .254 .307 .374
Since 2017vs Right .718 876 115 28 74 32 .235 .296 .422
2019vs Left .784 130 16 3 17 5 .311 .341 .443
2019vs Right .636 350 44 11 38 14 .197 .254 .382
2018vs Left .548 104 9 1 12 2 .179 .243 .305
2018vs Right .694 263 35 6 17 8 .232 .298 .397
2017vs Left .682 158 20 4 20 6 .255 .321 .362
2017vs Right .851 263 36 11 19 10 .289 .349 .502
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+1%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+24%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+15%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .742 648 86 19 73 32 .253 .313 .429
Since 2017Away .669 620 74 17 50 13 .228 .284 .385
2019Home .674 241 30 7 31 12 .231 .278 .396
2019Away .678 239 30 7 24 7 .225 .277 .401
2018Home .718 195 27 4 18 7 .230 .304 .414
2018Away .580 172 17 3 11 3 .203 .257 .323
2017Home .844 212 29 8 24 13 .298 .362 .482
2017Away .732 209 27 7 15 3 .254 .314 .418
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Stat Review
How does Kevin Kiermaier compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.25
 
BB Rate
5.4%
 
K Rate
21.7%
 
BABIP
.267
 
ISO
.170
 
AVG
.228
 
OBP
.278
 
SLG
.398
 
OPS
.676
 
wOBA
.295
 
Exit Velocity
89.0 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
33.0%
 
Barrels/PA
4.0%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
A plus baserunner with a career .750 OPS and two Gold Gloves on his mantle, Kiermaier excels in nearly all phases of the game, but injuries have prevented the outfielder from cementing his status as a star-level talent. After a broken wrist limited him to 105 games in 2016, Kiermaier missed two-plus months in 2017 with a fractured hip. Though the extended absence extinguished any hope of a major breakout, Kiermaier was among the top fantasy assets following his mid-August return, slashing .306/.352/.517 with eight home runs and six steals over his final 36 games. While Kiermaier probably can’t maintain that post-injury pace for the entirety of the 2018 campaign, his five-category upside is evident if he can skirt the health setbacks that hindered him the past two seasons. Due to his career-long scuffles against southpaws, Kiermaier’s batting average seems less bankable than his outputs in other areas, though his speed in addition to the lofty 34.8% hard-hit rate he sported in the second half supports his ability to sustain a high BABIP.
Kiermaier's 2016 campaign was interrupted by a wrist injury but he finished on a strong note, tallying a .296 average, .379 wOBA, five homers and eight stolen bases over his final 112 plate appearances. Despite missing 57 games, Kiermaier still managed to post a career-high 12 homers in 414 plate appearances, while his hard contact rate climbed to a career-high 31.4 percent. He ripped off 34 extra-base hits as well, although after tallying an absurd 12 triples in 2015, he managed only a pair of three-baggers last season. A full season could knock Kiermaier's fantasy value back up several notches, making him a viable mixed-league outfield option. He is only truly great on the defensive side of the ball, but he is a good enough athlete and has just enough pop to profile as a good bet for double-digit homers and double-digit steals once again in his age-27 season.
Last season was a true breakout year for Kiermaier, cementing him as the team’s everyday center fielder on the strength of a glove that won him the Platinum Glove for best fielder in the majors. The bad news? That fielding means little in fantasy. As a hitter, Kiermaier leaves much to be desired. His .263/.298/.420 slash line with 10 home runs and 18 stolen bases in 23 attempts puts him around league average. Granted, he could start hitting the Mendoza Line and still be worth playing for Tampa Bay because of that glove, but that’s an advantage fantasy owners don’t get to enjoy. He stopped getting starts in the leadoff spot midway through the season, cutting into his opportunities for runs and steals, and that’s not likely to change in 2016. Kiermaier may currently represent the biggest split between real-life value and fantasy value in the league, so don’t draft him purely on name recognition.
Players drafted in the 31st round are not supposed to make the major leagues, but Kiermaier did. Primarily known for his speed and defense, Kiermaier hit in Double-A and was doing so again in Triple-A before he was promoted when Wil Myers had to go to the disabled list. He hit the ground running and was batting .310//.349/.576 heading into the All-Star break with 22 extra-base hits and several amazing defensive plays. The second half was a different story offensively as he hit .220/.284/.335 the rest of the way with just 12 extra-base hits as the league stopped pitching him inside. Despite his quickness, he is not a good basestealer and rarely tried to steal bags when he was on base at the big league level. Despite the numbers last season, Kiermaier profiles as a fourth outfielder who will have to slash and dash for production.
Kiermaier took an interesting path to Tampa Bay in the 2013 season. He began the season with Double-A Montgomery and excelled with the bat, hitting .307/.370/.434 with five home runs and 14 stolen bases before being promoted to Triple-A Durham. His prominent skill as a center fielder is that he is widely regarded as the best defensive player in the entire organization. The team felt confident enough in his defensive ability to bring him up and use him as a defensive replacement in the team's elimination game against the Rangers. Kiermaier will likely begin the 2014 season with Triple-A to develop his offense, but his skill in the field could be his ticket to the majors.
More Fantasy News
Smacks solo homer
OFTampa Bay Rays
September 25, 2019
Kiermaier went 1-for-4 with a solo home run in an extra-innings win over the Yankees on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
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On bench Wednesday
OFTampa Bay Rays
September 18, 2019
Kiermaier is not starting Wednesday against the Dodgers, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Rough weekend in return to action
OFTampa Bay Rays
September 16, 2019
Kiermaier went 0-for-8 with one run in his first two games back in the starting lineup after a four-game absence due to neck issues.
ANALYSIS
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Back in action Saturday
OFTampa Bay Rays
September 14, 2019
Kiermaier (neck) is starting in center field and hitting eighth Saturday against the Angels.
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Remains sidelined
OFTampa Bay Rays
Neck
September 13, 2019
Kiermaier (neck) remains on the bench Friday against the Angels.
ANALYSIS
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