Luis Severino
Luis Severino
24-Year-Old PitcherSP
New York Yankees
2018 Fantasy Outlook
A year later than expected, Severino proved that the flashes he showed as a rookie in the second half of 2015 were indicative of his upside. While Masahiro Tanaka scuffled in the first half, Severino thrived, mixing his arsenal of a high-90s fastball, slider and improved changeup effectively to become one of the best starters in the American League. He threw more pitches in the strike zone than ever before (49.3 percent), held hitters to a lower contact rate on those pitches (82.3 percent), and made hitters chase pitches outside the zone at the highest rate of his career (31.3 percent). Home runs are still his greatest weakness, and he allowed 15 in 97 innings at Yankee Stadium compared to six in 96.1 innings on the road, but as long as he keeps his walk rate (2.4 BB/9) in check, the long balls are unlikely to derail him. Severino will likely be treated as a top-10 starting pitcher in most draft rooms for 2018, but the increased price and hype appear to be warranted. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
Add To Watchlist
$Signed a one-year, $550,975 contract with the Yankees in March of 2017.
Gets rocked in loss
PNew York Yankees
October 9, 2018
Severino took the loss in Monday's defeat to the Red Sox. He went three innings and gave up six runs on seven hits and two walks while striking out two.
ANALYSIS
After a strong four-inning outing against the A's on Tuesday, Severino struggled mightily against the Red Sox. While Lance Lynn did allow all three baserunners that Severino was responsible for to score, Severino clearly didn't have his best stuff in Game 3. He'll hope that the Yankees can stave off elimination against the Red Sox so that he'll have a chance for redemption.
Read More News
Pitching Stats
Loading Pitching Stats...
MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Pitching Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Pitching Game Log...
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-7%
BAA vs RHP
2018
 
 
-10%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-10%
BAA vs RHP
2016
 
 
-8%
BAA vs LHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .241 861 238 65 189 44 3 22
Since 2016vs Right .224 1014 278 57 212 46 1 29
2018vs Left .252 351 102 27 81 19 2 6
2018vs Right .227 429 118 19 92 20 1 13
2017vs Left .221 359 104 26 72 18 0 12
2017vs Right .198 424 126 25 78 12 0 9
2016vs Left .263 151 32 12 36 7 1 4
2016vs Right .286 161 34 13 42 14 0 7
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-8%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-31%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-40%
ERA on Road
2016
 
 
-9%
ERA on Road
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 3.73 1.11 229.0 19 11 0 10.3 2.4 1.3
Since 2016Away 3.45 1.19 226.2 17 11 0 10.0 2.5 0.8
2018Home 2.74 1.04 92.0 10 2 0 10.8 2.2 0.8
2018Away 3.99 1.24 99.1 9 6 0 10.0 2.2 1.0
2017Home 3.71 1.04 97.0 8 5 0 10.6 2.4 1.4
2017Away 2.24 1.04 96.1 6 1 0 10.8 2.3 0.6
2016Home 6.08 1.43 40.0 1 4 0 8.8 2.7 2.0
2016Away 5.52 1.48 31.0 2 4 0 7.8 3.8 0.6
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Luis Severino compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
4.78
 
K/9
10.3
 
BB/9
2.2
 
HR/9
0.9
 
Fastball
97.6 mph
 
ERA
3.39
 
WHIP
1.14
 
BABIP
.325
 
GB/FB
1.39
 
Strand %
73.5%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
Loading Advanced Pitching Stats...
Defensive Stats
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Today's Lineup
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Yankees Depth Chart
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
2015
Severino had a breakout stint as a 21-year-old in 2015, working to a 2.89 ERA over 11 starts and looking poised to join the top of the rotation. Though there were signs that he might take a bit of a step back -- a 4.44 FIP, struggles with the long ball, and an unsustainably high strand rate of 83.3 percent -- few could have predicted how disastrous the 2016 campaign would be. Through seven starts, he was 0-6 with a 7.46 ERA and had allowed eight home runs in just 35 innings, leading to a demotion to the minors to straighten things out. Severino joined the bullpen after coming back up to the majors, where he was terrific to the tune of a 0.39 ERA with 25 strikeouts in 23.1 innings. Despite his success in the bullpen, the Yankees will likely try again with the young righty as a starter in 2017, though he proved too unreliable last season for owners to confidently count on him out of the gate. As a low-risk gamble, however, he could pay off handsomely.
The Yankees bypassed the starting pitching trade market in July, instead declaring Severino the solution to their problems. They were right and Severino was dominant down the stretch. There are some issues to iron out, including the home runs, but he showed an impressive three-pitch mix that was effective against both righties and lefties. His fastball carries him which is often the case when a guy throws 95-96 mph on average. He gets both swings-and-misses and groundballs at a good clip with it, but his changeup is an above-average strikeout weapon and an elite groundball inducer (62%). The slider is the weakest of the three, but still showed flashes of success. With 162 combined innings in 2015, Severino should have few, if any, innings restrictions in 2016. He's set to join Masahiro Tanaka atop the Yankees' rotation and could be a star in the making.
No pitcher in the minor leagues enhanced their stock as much as Severino during the 2014 season. He climbed two full levels, posting a 127:27 K:BB ratio and a 2.46 ERA in 113.1 innings between three stops, thanks to a mid-90s heater and a slider and changeup that work well off said fastball. Severino, who finished the season as a 20-year-old at Double-A Trenton, has never failed at a level, but he has never been truly tested. In 24 starts last season, he gave up more than three earned runs on just one occasion. This is what makes his upcoming season so intriguing. Despite being just six feet tall, he weighs almost 200 pounds, so he should be able to handle a full season. He also happens to pitch in a system where advanced starting pitching will be pushed aggressively, as the Yankees' starting rotation is chock-full of injury concerns and below-average options. Assuming he was unowned going into last season, he should be a top-5 pick in dynasty drafts in 2015.
More Fantasy News
To start Game 3 of ALDS
PNew York Yankees
October 5, 2018
Severino will pitch Game 3 of the ALDS against the Red Sox on Monday, Bryan Hoch of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Named as wild-card starter
PNew York Yankees
October 2, 2018
Severino will start Wednesday's AL Wild Card Game against the Athletics.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Won't pitch Sunday
PNew York Yankees
September 30, 2018
Severino won't be available out of the bullpen against the Red Sox on Sunday, Brendan Kuty of NJ.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
No longer starting Sunday's game
PNew York Yankees
September 29, 2018
Severino will not start Sunday's season finale against the Red Sox but may be available out of the bullpen, Joel Sherman of The New York Post reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Tabbed for start Sunday
PNew York Yankees
September 27, 2018
Severino will take the hill against the Red Sox on Sunday, Meredith Marakovits of YES Network reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.