Trea Turner
Trea Turner
26-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Washington Nationals
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Those passing on Turner fearing he was an injury risk paid the price last season. He was one of only seven players to appear in 162 games on the way to leading the Senior Circuit with 740 PA. He also paced the NL in pilfers with 43, his second straight season with at least 40. Turner's fantasy allure is steals without sacrificing power -- he set a career high with 19 long balls. He's established a high floor; the question is whether he's worthy of a top-10 pick. Keeping in mind Turner didn't miss a game last season, he finished the season just outside the top-10 overall. As such, he'd need to improve on last season's numbers, which will be a chore considering the huge volume of at-bats. The pathway would be a higher batting average, as last season's .314 BABIP was below his career mark. Still, it's a matter of philosophy and roster construction. Steals are one category, and other first rounders contribute elite production in multiple categories. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $3.73 million contract with the Nationals in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Adds on another stolen base
SSWashington Nationals
September 29, 2019
Turner went 2-for-3 with a run scored and a stolen base in the Nationals' 8-2 win over the Indians on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
The emergence of Turner has been something special; he has put together back-to-back seasons of appearing in at least 100 games for the first time in his young five-year career. The 26-year-old put together a stellar .291/.348/.467 triple slash and was fifth in the league with 35 steals. Turner is one of the best leadoff hitters in the league and will be a crucial piece if the Nationals hope to make noise in this year's playoffs.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
86
5
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
31
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+6%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+6%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+6%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+33%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .760 420 66 5 35 28 .286 .355 .405
Since 2017vs Right .809 1336 208 44 140 96 .282 .343 .466
2019vs Left .812 128 21 2 6 8 .316 .367 .444
2019vs Right .862 441 75 17 51 27 .292 .349 .512
2018vs Left .796 189 30 3 24 14 .287 .370 .425
2018vs Right .748 551 73 16 49 29 .266 .335 .412
2017vs Left .630 103 15 0 5 6 .245 .311 .319
2017vs Right .836 344 60 11 40 40 .296 .346 .491
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+8%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+5%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+10%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+9%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .829 876 141 27 97 62 .294 .363 .466
Since 2017Away .765 880 133 22 78 62 .273 .328 .438
2019Home .872 291 51 11 35 15 .305 .361 .511
2019Away .828 278 45 8 22 20 .290 .345 .482
2018Home .796 367 53 10 42 23 .282 .366 .430
2018Away .724 373 50 9 31 20 .261 .323 .402
2017Home .824 218 37 6 20 24 .299 .362 .462
2017Away .756 229 38 5 25 22 .270 .314 .442
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Stat Review
How does Trea Turner compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.38
 
BB Rate
7.6%
 
K Rate
19.9%
 
BABIP
.348
 
ISO
.200
 
AVG
.298
 
OBP
.353
 
SLG
.497
 
OPS
.850
 
wOBA
.369
 
Exit Velocity
90.4 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
37.8%
 
Barrels/PA
4.4%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Trea Turner
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
Can we please stop the "Turner doesn't have the track record to be a first-rounder" nonsense? If you want to argue injury-risk, OK, you have a point... maybe. However, there's no denying that Turner's skills are elite. He deserves to be mentioned in the same breath as Billy Hamilton and Dee Gordon with respect to steals, while hitting well more than twice as many homers as them, combined. Double-digit homers with at least 50 steals is first-round material, especially since his contact rate and groundball proclivity portend a fantasy-friendly batting average. That brings us to health. In 2015, his first full season as a professional, Turner played 142 games, most at Double- and Triple-A before appearing in 27 with the Nationals. In 2016, he played 156 contests, split between Triple-A and the majors. If you want to avoid a first-round talent because he was hit by a pitch in late June, costing him about two months, that's your prerogative.
Turner didn't have anything more to prove in the minors, but the Nationals sent him back to Syracuse anyway so he could hit .302/.370/.471 in 331 at-bats with 25 steals before finally getting a long-overdue promotion. If he was frustrated by his slow progress up the ladder, he took it out on opposing pitchers. While his .342 batting average was the product of an unsustainable .391 BABIP, his contact rates and batting averages have always been excellent, and 33 steals in 73 big league games isn't out of line with his minor league theatrics on the basepaths. The real surprise was the power he flashed at the highest level. After hitting just 19 home runs in 268 minor league games, Turner slugged 13 in 73 games with Washington. If that power proves to be even partially sustainable (and his 16.7 percent HR/FB rate, while high, wasn't outrageous), the Nats suddenly find themselves with a 23-year-old five-category shortstop, and a future pillar of the franchise.
Acquired from the Padres in the three-team deal that sent Steven Souza to the Rays, Turner immediately became the Nationals' shortstop of the future, a future that might begin as soon as 2016 with Ian Desmond leaving in free agency. The 13th overall pick in the 2014 draft, Turner's plus-plus wheels are his major selling point, but his line drive swing produces excellent contact and his plate discipline should allow him to stick as a leadoff hitter. The Nats still have Danny Espinosa as a stop-gap at shortstop, so they don't need to rush Turner, but with Denard Span also on his way out the door they have a need at the top of the batting order as well as at shortstop that Turner could fill admirably if he reaches his full potential. An impressive showing in spring training could land him in the Opening Day starting lineup, but even if the team decides to delay his arbitration clock, his stay at Triple-A this year should be a brief one.
A former college teammate of highly coveted lefty Carlos Rodon, Turner closed out a three-year career at North Carolina State with a .342/.435/.507 line and 113 stolen bases in 127 attempts over 173 games despite an ankle injury that limited his impact as a basestealer during his sophomore campaign. Speed is easily Turner's best tool and he's an 80-grade runner, while his bat and plate discipline should be good enough for him to develop into a leadoff hitter at the big league level down the road. Defensively, Turner shifted to shortstop after the 2013 season for the Wolfpack, and it's believed that he has the footwork necessary to stick at short as he advances, and the arm strength necessary to handle third base if it's decided he's a better fit there. Upon signing, Turner went 23-for-27 as a basestealer at short-season Eugene and Low-A Fort Wayne, while toting an impressive .369/.447/.529 line over 46 contests at the latter stop. Turner was named as the player to be named later in the Will Myers trade, but won't join the Nationals until next June due to a technicality. His 2015 status may be murky as a result, but he's seen as a potential impact player when he finally starts playing for his new organization.
More Fantasy News
Gets rare day off
SSWashington Nationals
September 25, 2019
Turner is not starting Wednesday against the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Smacks grand slam
SSWashington Nationals
September 24, 2019
Turner went 2-for-4 with a double and a grand slam Tuesday against the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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Collects three hits
SSWashington Nationals
September 24, 2019
Turner went 3-for-4 with two doubles and two runs scored in Tuesday's 4-1 win over Philadelphia in the first game of a doubleheader.
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Homers, scores three runs
SSWashington Nationals
September 23, 2019
Turner went 2-for-4 with a solo homer, three runs scored and a walk in Monday's 7-2 win over Philadelphia.
ANALYSIS
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Powers Nats to win
SSWashington Nationals
September 21, 2019
Turner went 2-for-4 with two solo home runs in Friday's 6-4 win over the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
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