Walker Buehler
Walker Buehler
24-Year-Old PitcherSP
Los Angeles Dodgers
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Buehler was a blast to watch pitch as a rookie in 2018 as he showcased an electric fastball along with two different breaking balls. It was easy to see why he was a first-round draft pick and it is going to be hard to restrain ourselves this draft season in chasing him for our rosters. However, that pursuit should be exercised with an amount of caution. Buehler already has one Tommy John surgery under his belt, which limited the amount of pitching he could do in the minor leagues. Those restrictions were not present last season as Buehler threw a total of 173 innings, nearly doubling his total from 2017. At age 24, to have a workload jump of that size is a risk to keep in mind if you decide you are all in on rostering the young flamethrower. Everything else we want to see in a young future ace is here (21.1% K-BB, 50% GB%), and the team context is certainly favorable. Read Past Outlooks
Starting spring slowly
PLos Angeles Dodgers
February 15, 2019
Buehler is being held back early in spring training but is expected to be up to speed by Opening Day, Ken Gurnick of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
No specific reason was given for the decision to bring Buehler along slowly, so this appears to be a case of general workload management for the young righty. The 24-year-old threw 177 innings across all levels (including the playoffs) last season after throwing just 98 the year prior.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-7%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-1%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-53%
BAA vs LHP
2016
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2016vs Left .193 280 84 23 49 9 0 6
Since 2016vs Right .207 305 79 22 57 9 0 8
2018vs Left .193 261 77 20 46 9 0 6
2018vs Right .192 280 74 17 49 8 0 6
2017vs Left .188 19 7 3 3 0 0 0
2017vs Right .400 25 5 5 8 1 0 2
2016vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2016
 
 
-37%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-44%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-44%
ERA on Road
2016
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2016Home 2.31 0.90 77.0 4 3 0 10.2 2.2 0.8
Since 2016Away 3.67 1.18 68.2 5 2 0 9.8 3.4 0.9
2018Home 1.93 0.83 74.2 4 3 0 10.1 1.9 0.7
2018Away 3.45 1.12 62.2 4 2 0 9.6 3.0 0.9
2017Home 10.80 2.40 3.1 0 0 0 10.8 8.1 2.7
2017Away 6.00 1.83 6.0 1 0 0 12.0 7.5 1.5
2016Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2016Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Walker Buehler compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
4.08
 
K/9
9.9
 
BB/9
2.4
 
HR/9
0.8
 
Fastball
96.2 mph
 
ERA
2.62
 
WHIP
0.96
 
BABIP
.260
 
GB/FB
1.74
 
Strand %
76.7%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Walker Buehler
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Jason Collette moves on to the NL Central for more bold predictions. Find out why he's not on the Willson Contreras bandwagon.
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15 days ago
Todd Zola looks at a couple of recent drafts in which he avoided chasing aces early, and instead found himself with Mike Foltynewicz topping his staff.
MLB Barometer: Early Risers -- Pitchers
24 days ago
With three openings in the Houston rotation, Forrest Whitley's path to a 2019 debut is clear. Derek VanRiper looks at Whitley and other early draft-season risers on the mound.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
The 2016 season ended with whispers and a five-inning sample that suggested Buehler could be in for a breakout 2017. He delivered on that promise, and then some. Buehler, who underwent Tommy John surgery after being selected with the No. 24 pick in the 2015 draft, returned at the end of 2016 throwing harder than ever, sitting in the mid-90s and touching 99 mph with his fastball -- a byproduct of the Dodgers’ weighted ball program. He maintained that velocity over his first full pro season while also showing off a plus-plus curveball and hard low-90s cutter/slider. That pitch mix was predictably deadly against minor-league hitters, catapulting Buehler to the majors for a September run as a reliever. Given Buehler’s velocity jump and injury history, he seems a bit riskier than other top pitching prospects, but his upside is undeniable. The Dodgers will likely allow him to throw around 135 innings this season, presumably beginning the year at Triple-A. If he shows improved control, he could spend most of the summer pitching every fifth day in the big leagues.
The Dodgers took a calculated gamble when they selected Buehler with the 24th overall pick in the 2015 draft. Once considered a likely top-10 pick, a pre-draft elbow issue caused him to fall, and he ended up needing Tommy John surgery that August. Buehler returned to the mound late last season, and while he only logged five innings of game action, the early returns suggest the Dodgers may have hit big on their roll of the dice. He touched 99 mph with his fastball in instructs after sitting in the mid-90s during brief appearances in the Arizona and Midwest leagues. It is hard to expect him to maintain that velocity over lengthier outings in the coming years, but even if he settles in at 93-95 mph with his fastball, that makes for a plus offering. He also features a potentially plus curveball and a hard slider/cutter that could be a third plus pitch. An average changeup could round out the repertoire, and at that point Buehler would look the part of a No. 2 starter.
The team's top draft pick in the 2015 amateur draft (24th overall), Buehler dropped a bit down teams' boards due to an elbow injury last spring, and the injury ultimately led to Tommy John surgery this past August. When healthy, the 6-foot-2 Buehler features a mid-90s fastball, slider, curve, and changeup with solid command and the ability to miss bats. Buehler's last 14 starts for Vanderbilt resulted in an 81:25 K:BB over 78.2 innings. He seems likely to miss most, if not all of the 2016 season recuperating, but it is possible he could join a full-season affiliate late in the year, or he could pitch in the Arizona Fall League. Once healthy, he has the ability to move quickly as a college draftee and settle in as a No. 3 big league starter. He's won a College World Series and a Cape Cod Championship, a pedigree that the Dodgers certainly hope carries over.
More Fantasy News
Named starter for Game 3 of World Series
PLos Angeles Dodgers
October 22, 2018
Buehler will start Game 3 of the World Series against the Red Sox on Friday, David Vassegh of AM 570 LA Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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To start Game 3 of NLCS
PLos Angeles Dodgers
October 11, 2018
Buehler is slated to start Game 3 of the NLCS against the Brewers on Monday, J.P. Hoornstra of the Los Angeles Daily News reports.
ANALYSIS
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Confirmed as Game 3 starter
PLos Angeles Dodgers
October 3, 2018
Manager Dave Roberts said Buehler will start Game 3 of the NLDS against the Braves on Sunday, Fabian Ardaya of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
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Notches win in tiebreaker
PLos Angeles Dodgers
October 1, 2018
Buehler (8-5) pitched 6.2 scoreless innings, allowing one hit and three walks while striking out three and securing the win Monday against the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
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Starting Game 163
PLos Angeles Dodgers
September 30, 2018
Buehler will start Monday's game against the Rockies, Eric Stephen of TrueBlueLA.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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