Cedric Mullins

29-Year-Old OutfielderOF

Baltimore Orioles

2024 Stats

AVG

.259

RBI

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

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2024 Fantasy Outlook

Mullins struggled for a second consecutive seasons to match the production from his breakout season in 2021. 2023 saw him struggle at the plate around two different stints on the injured list with groin strains that clearly had an impact on his efforts at the plate. Despite the injuries, Mullins was voluming at a 2022 pace but not being 100% certainly impacted his strikeouts at the plate which pulled his batting average down once again. Mullins has now seen his average fall nearly 60 points over the past two seasons and much of the red ink which once proliferated his StatCast profile has turned into a cool blue hue. 2023 saw Mullins lean into a pull-heavy flyball approach which helped him pace ahead of 2022's power numbers but he literally limped to a .205/.249/.374 triple-slash line from August 1st to the end of the season. A healthy Mullins can still volume his way fantasy value, but 2021 was the dream while a blend of the past two seasons is closer to reality. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#141

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws L

40 Man Yes

Height 5'8"

Weight 175

DOB 10/1/1994

Born Greensboro, NC

College Campbell

Drafted 13th Rd 2015 BAL

Walks off Twins

OFBaltimore Orioles

April 17, 2024

Mullins went 1-for-4 with a walk-off, two-run home run during Wednesday's 4-2 win against the Twins.

ANALYSIS
Mullins extended his hit streak to nine games and has clubbed homers in three of the past four contests. The 29-year-old has rebounded from a poor start to the season and has a .259/.308/.552 slash line with five home runs, three steals, 15 RBI and 14 runs through 17 games.

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Batting Stats

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2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2018

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2023 MLB Game Log

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2022 MLB Game Log

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2021 MLB Game Log

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2020 MLB Game Log

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2019 MLB Game Log

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2018 MLB Game Log

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Minor League Game Log

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Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+27%

OPS vs RHP

2024

+278%

OPS vs RHP

2023

+2%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+35%

OPS vs RHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.610	331	31	7	37	7	.211	.275	.334
Since 2022vs Right	.775	859	123	29	116	49	.263	.327	.447
2024vs Left	.276	15	1	0	0	0	.071	.133	.143
2024vs Right	1.042	50	13	5	15	3	.318	.360	.682
2023vs Left	.708	119	12	3	22	2	.233	.310	.398
2023vs Right	.725	336	39	12	52	17	.233	.304	.422
2022vs Left	.578	197	18	4	15	5	.209	.265	.313
2022vs Right	.782	473	71	12	49	29	.279	.340	.441
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Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+5%

OPS on Road

2024

+19%

OPS at Home

2023

+21%

OPS on Road

2022

+1%

OPS at Home

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.710	578	76	21	75	15	.233	.289	.422
Since 2022Away	.746	612	78	15	78	41	.264	.336	.410
2024Home	.907	40	8	4	10	1	.263	.275	.632
2024Away	.760	25	6	1	5	2	.250	.360	.400
2023Home	.649	213	26	7	26	5	.211	.275	.374
2023Away	.785	242	25	8	48	14	.252	.332	.453
2022Home	.725	325	42	10	39	9	.243	.299	.426
2022Away	.718	345	47	6	25	25	.272	.336	.381
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Stat Review

How does Cedric Mullins compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.24

BB Rate

6.2%

K Rate

26.2%

BABIP

.263

ISO

.293

AVG

.259

OBP

.308

SLG

.552

OPS

.859

wOBA

.364

Exit Velocity

89.1 mph

Hard Hit Rate

25.6%

Barrels/PA

6.1%

Expected BA

.255

Expected SLG

.436

Sprint Speed

Ground Ball %

34.9%

Line Drive %

18.6%

Fly Ball %

46.5%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Cedric Mullins Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Batting Stats

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Additional Stats

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Defensive Stats

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Batted Ball Stats

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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

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Latest Fantasy Rumors

Sitting versus southpaws

OFBaltimore Orioles

September 17, 2022

Mullins has missed the last five games when the opposing starter was a lefty, reports Andy Kostka of The Baltimore Sun.

ANALYSIS
Mullins has a .206/.268/.303 slash line against lefties this season compared to his .291/.351/.457 line against righties. He did triple off a lefty reliever Friday but it will likely take more than that for Orioles manager Brandon Hyde to return Mullins to a regular role against southpaws. Conveniently for Mullins, Baltimore has faced lefty starters only five times in its last 31 contests and, should it face lefties on consecutive days it would seem unlikely that he would sit both days.

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Past Fantasy Outlooks

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

Mullins lost more than 100 points off his slugging percentage, but he stole 30 bases for the second consecutive year and thus remains a star in the rotisserie game. His HR/FB was effectively cut in half from 2021, and fittingly, his homer total was essentially halved. Mullins struggled against left-handed pitching, slashing .209/.265/.313 against same-side pitchers compared to .279/.340/.441 against right-handers. Those splits were not nearly as pronounced in 2021, but if they continue, Mullins will leave himself open to platooning, especially if the Orioles do indeed push into a competitive window. The speed is so rare nowadays that Mullins is worthy of early-round consideration in many fantasy formats even if there are lingering questions about his bat.

Mullins had a few vocal proponents before the 2021 season, yet few listened as Mullins was easily had late in many drafts. All Mullins did was have just the 11th 30-30 season in baseball since the 2011 season. It is worth noting that only Ryan Braun (2011, 2012) has posted back-to-back 30-30 seasons in recent memory. Coming into 2021, Mullins' most redeeming value was that he had 110-percent lock on playing time. He clearly had some talent, so a perpetually rebuilding Baltimore team was going to give him as much playing time as his body and skills could pay for. Given little has changed in Baltimore for 2022, Mullins has the same opportunity before him and could even repeat if he can homer more on the road given 22 of his 30 homers came at Camden Yards. If he's traded out of Baltimore, his outlook changes considerably.

Mullins didn't do much to separate himself from a large group of fringy outfielders in Baltimore, but he at least looked like a legitimate big-leaguer, something that couldn't be taken for granted after he hit a miserable .094/.181/.156 in 22 games in 2019. His .271/.315/.407 slash line this time around was good for a still below-average 95 wRC+, but when combined with good speed (seven steals) and roughly average defense in center, that's a useful enough player. Role questions remain for Mullins, however, as other Oriole outfielders also took steps forward. Additionally, there are questions about whether he can maintain his 2020 level. His 24.2 K% and 5.2 BB% showed poor plate discipline, and he had an awful 2.8% barrel rate. Statcast hated his quality of contact, giving him a .209 xBA and .296 xSLG. Despite his wheels and respectable numbers, Mullins still has work to do to prove he's an everyday player.

Mullins drew the start in center field on Opening Day and appeared to have a handle on the starting job, but after opening the year 6-for-64 with four RBI and 14 strikeouts over the first 22 contests, he was demoted to Triple-A Norfolk where he continued to struggle. The 25-year-old slashed .205/.272/.306 with a 46 wRC+, and a low 5.4 BB% negating a 16.7 K% over 66 games. Ultimately, the O's demoted Mullins again, this time to Double-A Bowie in mid-July. He finally saw his bat come to life while with the Baysox, but this certainly isn't how Mullins saw the 2019 campaign playing out. Even so, he'll likely have a shot to redeem himself during spring training and could wind up once again making Baltimore's Opening Day roster. Whether he'll be able to earn regular work remains to be seen, but it should be considered a long shot, especially after Austin Hays showed promise near the end of the 2019 season.

Mullins made his big-league debut and took over the starting job in center field from Adam Jones in early August, starting hot with a .317/.386/.566 slash line through the end of the month. Things changed quickly as the young outfielder began to struggle in September and finished the season in a 2-for-33 slump. He has kept relatively low strikeout (15.2%) and walk rates (7.2%) through his time in the minors, and trended similarly during his seven weeks in the majors. The 24-year-old has shown modest power but was hurt in 2018 with a mere 12.1% line-drive rate, which ranked third-worst in the majors among players with at least 100 PA. Mullins has a chance to post a 15-15 season with regular work, which should be easy to find on an Orioles roster that is really lacking in big-league caliber outfielders. He finished last season as Baltimore's leadoff hitter and should reprise that role this year.

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