Pavin Smith
23-Year-Old First Baseman1B
Arizona Diamondbacks AA
2019 Fantasy Outlook
The 2017 seventh overall pick hit a mediocre .255/.343/.392 in 120 games for High-A Visalia, smacking 11 homers after failing to hit a single one in his first 51 professional games for Low-A Hillsboro the season prior. Smith demonstrated excellent control of the zone, walking 11.3% of the time while striking out in just 12.9% of his plate appearances. Players who have these kind of advanced plate skills sometimes tap into more power as they age, or they benefit from the bouncier big-league baseball. If the power never comes it will be hard for Smith to clear the very high offensive bar required for a major-league first baseman. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a contract with the Diamondbacks in June of 2017 that includes a $5.01 million signing bonus.
Churns out three hits
1BArizona Diamondbacks  AA
August 13, 2018
Smith went 3-for-4 with a double and three RBI in High-A Visalia's 7-3 win over Modesto on Sunday.
Smith is hitting just .245 on the campaign, but the first baseman's bat seems to be coming around now that he's had some time to adjust to California League pitching. The 22-year-old has delivered five multi-hit games in his last 13 starts, netting a .327/.368/.423 slash line over that span.
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Pavin Smith
Farm Futures: NL West: 112 Prospects You Need To Know
205 days ago
James Anderson wraps up his look at farm systems around MLB and warns that Fernando Tatis Jr. may not be an overnight sensation in San Diego.
Farm Futures: First Base/DH Tiers
235 days ago
James Anderson looks over the top prospects at first base/DH and thinks Peter Alonso could make an early-season debut for the Mets.
Consensus Top 100 Prospect Rankings
March 27, 2018
James Anderson compiles the prospect rankings from five respected industry sources to produce a consensus top 100, which as expected features Ronald Acuna in the top spot.
Farm Futures: The First Base Prospect Conundrum
August 10, 2017
James Anderson explains why he's skeptical about Pavin Smith's chances of developing into an above average big-league hitter.
Farm Futures: Ranking the Farm Systems
August 3, 2017
James Anderson devises a way to turn his top 400 rankings into organizational rankings, and finds Ronald Acuna and the talent-laden Braves in the top spot.
2018 Fantasy Outlook
A college first baseman who received the eighth-highest bonus ($5.01 million) in the 2017 draft, Smith proved after signing that he is a unique offensive talent. He had more walks (27) than strikeouts (24) while finishing third in the Northwest League in average (.318) and OBP (.401) and fourth in wRC+ (136), yet he failed to hit a home run. Of the qualified hitters in that league, he was one of only seven players who failed to homer, which is concerning given his age (21) and position. It is hard to find recent precedent for a college first baseman failing to hit for power in his pro debut and going on to be a quality big-league first baseman. Smith's backers will point to his excellent hit tool -- perhaps the best in the entire 2017 draft -- and say that he will add power as he gets more comfortable against pro pitching. Unless he is going at a nice discount in dynasty drafts, it is probably wise to let someone else bet on the power showing up.
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Hitting .216 for Visalia
1BArizona Diamondbacks  AA
June 2, 2018
Smith is slashing .216/.332/.359 with five home runs and two stolen bases across 196 plate appearances for High-A Visalia this season.
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Scuffling in Cal League
1BArizona Diamondbacks  AA
April 27, 2018
Smith went hitless across three at-bats for High-A Visalia in its 3-1 loss to Lancaster on Thursday. The first baseman is now slashing .171/.275/.329 with three home runs and two steals across 80 plate appearances this season.
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Opens in Cal League
1BArizona Diamondbacks  AA
April 6, 2018
Smith opened the year at High-A Visalia, going 0-for-4 with a walk, a run and a strikeout against Rancho Cucamonga.
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Connects on first professional homer
1BArizona Diamondbacks  AA
September 8, 2017
Smith went 1-for-4 with a home run and three RBI in a playoff game for short-season Hillsboro on Thursday.
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Collects five hits Tuesday
1BArizona Diamondbacks  AA
July 19, 2017
Smith went 5-for-5 with a double and triple for short-season Hillsboro on Tuesday.
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