Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Welcome to the AL, Johnny

Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Welcome to the AL, Johnny

This article is part of our Weekly Pitcher Rankings series.

As always, remember that rotations are subject to change, so if you see something that looks incorrect, assume that it was a change that occurred since this was written and feel free to politely bring it up in the comments, I'll let you know where the new arm slots.

For the week Aug. 3-9

AMERICAN LEAGUE

START

RankPitcherOppComments
1Corey Kluberat LAA, MINEvery time y'all (and I say y'all because I've never been worried) freak out about a bad start, he drops a gem or three
2Chris SaleTB
3Dallas Keuchelat OAKKeuchel, Gray are a little light on Ks compared to most aces, but they make up for it with big innings totals
4Sonny GrayHOUKeuchel's 151 IP are second-most in the AL while Gray sits fifth at 145.7 including 7.3 IP/start over his last 11
5David Priceat NYY
6Cole Hamelsat SEAGets a relatively familiar foe in his TEX debut (vs. SF on Saturday) before a run of AL opponents
7Chris Archerat CWS
8Felix Hernandezat COL, TEXGoing to COL sucks, but you're still not sitting Felix
9Johnny Cuetoat DETOpens his AL career with at TOR, at DET ... welcome!
10Masahiro TanakaBOS, TOR
11Lance McCullers Jr. at TEX, at OAKResults have been better at home (1.86/3.77 ERA), but skills are actually better on the road (2.94/2.56 FIP)
12Jose QuintanaTB, at KC
As always, remember that rotations are subject to change, so if you see something that looks incorrect, assume that it was a change that occurred since this was written and feel free to politely bring it up in the comments, I'll let you know where the new arm slots.

For the week Aug. 3-9

AMERICAN LEAGUE

START

RankPitcherOppComments
1Corey Kluberat LAA, MINEvery time y'all (and I say y'all because I've never been worried) freak out about a bad start, he drops a gem or three
2Chris SaleTB
3Dallas Keuchelat OAKKeuchel, Gray are a little light on Ks compared to most aces, but they make up for it with big innings totals
4Sonny GrayHOUKeuchel's 151 IP are second-most in the AL while Gray sits fifth at 145.7 including 7.3 IP/start over his last 11
5David Priceat NYY
6Cole Hamelsat SEAGets a relatively familiar foe in his TEX debut (vs. SF on Saturday) before a run of AL opponents
7Chris Archerat CWS
8Felix Hernandezat COL, TEXGoing to COL sucks, but you're still not sitting Felix
9Johnny Cuetoat DETOpens his AL career with at TOR, at DET ... welcome!
10Masahiro TanakaBOS, TOR
11Lance McCullers Jr. at TEX, at OAKResults have been better at home (1.86/3.77 ERA), but skills are actually better on the road (2.94/2.56 FIP)
12Jose QuintanaTB, at KC
13Carlos Carrascoat LAAHas five starts of 5-plus ER, four of which he last fewer than 5 IP; has a 2.71 ERA in 103 IP outside of those five starts
14Scott Kazmirat TEX
15Danny Salazarat LAA
16Jeff SamardzijaKCThe Ks we got used to are missing, but at least mostly-good Shark has returned (2.78 ERA, 0.97 WHIP in last 9)
17Nate Karnsat CWS, NYM
18Garrett RichardsCLE, BALFanned 7-plus in 14 of his 26 starts last year; has done so just 3x in 19 starts and 0x in his last eight (16% K%)
19Ervin Santanaat TOR, at CLE
20Jake OdorizziNYM
21Erasmo Ramirezat CWS
22Hector SantiagoCLEJust 5 IP in each of his last three (5.40 ERA); just a blip or beginning of a fade? He's 18 IP from last year's workload (141 IP)
23Chris Tillmanat OAK, at LAA
24Matt ShoemakerCLE, BALSo bad thru June that you may not have recognized his 2.01 ERA over his last 31.3 IP with just 2 HRs allowed
25Justin VerlanderKC, BOSThree of his last four have been excellent, unfortunately the fourth was a 3.7 IP/7 ER dud vs. BAL
26Andrew HeaneyBALLogjammed rotations always work themselves out and while it sucks that CJ Wilson got hurt, it clears the path for Heaney
27Eduardo Rodriguezat NYY
28Kyle Gibsonat CLEHas pitched much better than the numbers say in his last two (11 ER in 10.3 IP)
29Hisashi IwakumaTEX
30Anibal SanchezBOSNeed to actually see some HR suppression before moving him back up
31Marco EstradaMIN, at NYY
32Chris BassittBAL, HOULooking solid after five turns in the rotation: 3.00 ERA, 1.03 WHIP in 30 IP; Ks are light (16%), but doesn't give free passes (3% BB)
33Collin McHughat OAK
34Nathan EovaldiBOS
35Taijuan Walkerat COLIt's easy to get drunk on that upside after outings like Friday's 1-hitter with 11 Ks at MIN
36Edinson VolquezCWS
37Trevor BauerMIN
38Wei-Yin Chenat OAK
39Yovani GallardoHOU
40R.A. DickeyMIN, at NYYHas quietly put together a 2.96 ERA over his last 11 starts
41Kevin Gausmanat LAA
42Drew HutchisonMIN
43Jesse ChavezBAL, HOUAveraging just 5 IP over his last seven with a 5.75 ERA
44Ubaldo Jimenezat LAABetter last time out after back-to-back 7 ER starts, but not exactly awesome vs. weak ATL offense; has 3 BB in three of his last four
45Mark BuehrleMINERA reached a season-high 6.75 after his fifth start; has a 2.38 ERA in 106 IP since then, although just 56 Ks robs his value in K/9 leagues
46Miguel Gonzalezat OAK
47Mike MontgomeryTEX

SIT

RankPitcherOppComments
48Yordano Venturaat DETI'll be interested to see how he holds up in TOR on Saturday
49Colby LewisHOU, at SEAOn a great four-game run: 2.89 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, but his track record says he's league average at best
50Phil Hughesat TOR, at CLEDon't get fooled by the 3.24 ERA over his last 10 as he's allowed 72 H and 13 HR in 66.7 IP
51Danny Duffyat DET, CWS
52Luis SeverinoTORImpressive prospect getting a shot, but even if he has a big debut I'm sitting out vs. TOR
53Scott Feldmanat TEX
54Wade Mileyat DETSeems to punctuate every decent run with a massacre (six starts of 5-plus ER)
55Daniel NorrisBOS
56Kendall GravemanBAL
57Alfredo SimonKC
58Buck FarmerKC
59Rick Porcelloat NYY, at DET
60John DanksKC
61Chris YoungCWS
62Tommy Miloneat TOR
63Carlos RodonTBHas allowed 51% of his ER in three starts, but that kind of volatility makes him tough to trust vs. anyone
64Brian Johnsonat DET
65Cody AndersonMIN
66Ivan NovaTOR
67Nick MartinezHOU
68CC SabathiaBOSSolid K/BB numbers can only take you so far
69Mike Pelfreyat CLE
70Aaron BrooksHOU
71Steven Wrightat NYY
72Matt MooreNYM
73Martin Perezat SEA
74Edgar Olmosat COL

NATIONAL LEAGUE

START

RankPitcherOppComments
1Max ScherzerARI, COLI'm amazed three teams have gotten to him for 5 ER this year
2Jake Arrietaat PIT, SFTurned it up a notch in July: 1.90 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 27% K rate in 42.7 IP; K'd fewer than 6 once in last 11
3Clayton Kershawat PITWe're being told the hip isn't a major issue despite two scratches in one week
4Zack Greinkeat PHI
5Jacob deGromat TB
6Gerrit ColeLAD
7Matt Harveyat MIAEven with some brutal TJ-hangover starts, he still has a 2.91 ERA in 133 IP
8Noah Syndergaardat TBAbout the only thing that might stop him this year is an innings limits from the Mets
9Madison Bumgarnerat ATLSheriff Deputy Bumgarner probably wishes McCann still played for ATL so they could talk about policing the game together this week
10Jose Fernandezat ATLDodged 4 BB in his last outing and I still worry there will be some TJ-hangover starts coming, but so far he's been great
11Jon Lesterat PIT, SF
12Francisco LirianoCHC, LADAvoiding major trouble at MIN despite 10 H in 5.7 IP, they handed him a 2 IP/7 ER nightmare earlier this year
13Lance Lynnat MIL
14Michael Wachaat CINHas allowed just 3 ER in 13 IP over his last two after back-to-back 5 ER starts against the two Chicago teams
15Carlos Martinezat CIN
16Shelby MillerSF, MIARegression has come and he's still solid: 3.41 ERA in his last 11 starts after a 1.48 ERA in his first 10
17Tyson Rossat MIL, PHI
18John Lackeyat CIN, at MIL
19Patrick Corbinat WAS, CINI think some forget how awesome he was in '13; ARI still being cautious here with an average of 80 pit./gm thru five starts
20Jason HammelSF
21James ShieldsPHIThe 8% BB rate and 1.4 HR/9 are very uncharacteristic of Shields, but don't appear to be leaving
22Julio TeheranMIAHome/road splits this severe seem worthy of attention: 2.37 ERA at home, 7.24 on the road; skills also much better at hom
23Jordan ZimmermannCOL
24Gio GonzalezARI
25Joe RossARIShould at least get this start, but then could be forced out of the rotation by Strasburg next week
26Jimmy NelsonSD, STL
27Alex Woodat PHI, at PITHas allowed 10 H in three of his last six starts (1.38 WHIP)
28Matt Cainat ATL, at CHC
29Wily PeraltaSD, STL
30Jake Peavyat ATL, at CHCHas a 2.84 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in five starts (31.7 IP) since returning from injury
31Andrew Cashnerat MIL, PHIMaybe it's just not happening this year for Cashner; all SD SPs are underperforming, wonder if it's something outside of their control
32Mat Latosat PIT
33Chris Hestonat CHC
34Mike Leakeat CHCHas a career 4.31 ERA at home , including a 4.93 this year, but his new home park is much more conducive to his pitching style
35Jaime Garciaat MIL
36Kyle HendricksSF
37Aaron Nolaat SD
38Dan Harenat PITMarlins Park was serving him quite well this year: 3.24 ERA, 1.07 WHIP in 111 IP
39Ian Kennedyat MIL
40Matt WislerMIALogged just 2 Ks in his first two starts (4% K%), but has a much more reasonable 19% K rate in his last five
41Zach Godleyat WAS, CINA solid follow-up to that debut is enough to get him into some lineups for a two-start week
42Tom KoehlerNYM, at ATLGenerally a home-only guy, but his 2.51 ERA in 14.3 IP vs. ATL makes me feel alright about using this road start
43Jeremy Hellicksonat WAS
44Brett Andersonat PHI
45Taylor JungmannSDThe 2.23 ERA and 1.10 WHIP won't last, but he's showing skills that can easily hold a 3.30 or so ERA
46Robbie RayCINStill scared of the flyball-hard contact-home run rate setup he has right now as it's ripe for regression, but still plenty of good here
47Rubby De La Rosaat WAS
48Raisel Iglesiasat ARI

SIT

RankPitcherOppComments
49Anthony DeSclafaniSTL, at ARILooks pretty good when he's on, but the lows are really damaging making him tough to start in a two-step vs. quality offenses
50Jeff LockeCHC
51Bartolo Colonat MIA, at TBThe NL's CC Sabathia where the K/BB deceives us into thinking he's better than he is
52Doug FisterARI, COLShould probably be ousted from the rotation in favor of Ross, but it's unlikely; definitely shouldn't be in your rotation
53Mike FoltynewiczSF, MIA
54David PhelpsNYM
55Jon Nieseat MIA
56Jorge De La Rosaat WAS
57Adam Morganat SD
58Charlie MortonLAD
59Williams PerezSF
60Aaron HarangLAD
61J.A. HappCHC
62David BuchananLAD
63Odrisamer Despaigneat MIL
64Michael LorenzenSTL
65Kyle LohseSTL
66David HolmbergSTL
67Matt GarzaSD
68Jose Urenaat ATL
69Chris RusinSEA
70Kyle KendrickSEA
71Yohan Flandeat WAS
72Justin NicolinoNYM, at ATLWhen a two-start week is actually bad for your fantasy team
73Jerome WilliamsLAD, at SD
74Eddie ButlerSEA, at WAS

MLB TOP 100

RankPitcherOppComments
1Max ScherzerARI, COLI'm amazed three teams have gotten to him for 5 ER this year
2Jake Arrietaat PIT, SFTurned it up a notch in July: 1.90 ERA, 0.87 WHIP, 27% K rate in 42.7 IP; K'd fewer than 6 once in last 11
3Corey Kluberat LAA, MINEvery time y'all (and I say y'all because I've never been worried) freak out about a bad start, he drops a gem or three
4Clayton Kershawat PITWe're being told the hip isn't a major issue despite two scratches in one week
5Zack Greinkeat PHI
6Jacob deGromat TB
7Chris SaleTB
8Dallas Keuchelat OAKKeuchel, Gray are a little light on Ks compared to most aces, but they make up for it with big innings totals
9Sonny GrayHOUKeuchel's 151 IP are second-most in the AL while Gray sits fifth at 145.7 including 7.3 IP/start over his last 11
10Gerrit ColeLAD
11Matt Harveyat MIAEven with some brutal TJ-hangover starts, he still has a 2.91 ERA in 133 IP
12Noah Syndergaardat TBAbout the only thing that might stop him this year is an innings limits from the Mets
13Madison Bumgarnerat ATLSheriff Deputy Bumgarner probably wishes McCann still played for ATL so they could talk about policing the game together this week
14Jose Fernandezat ATLDodged 4 BB in his last outing and I still worry there will be some TJ-hangover starts coming, but so far he's been great
15David Priceat NYY
16Cole Hamelsat SEAGets a relatively familiar foe in his TEX debut (vs. SF on Saturday) before a run of AL opponents
17Chris Archerat CWS
18Felix Hernandezat COL, TEXGoing to COL sucks, but you're still not sitting Felix
19Johnny Cuetoat DETOpens his AL career with at TOR, at DET ... welcome!
20Masahiro TanakaBOS, TOR
21Jon Lesterat PIT, SF
22Lance McCullers Jr. at TEX, at OAKResults have been better at home (1.86/3.77 ERA), but skills are actually better on the road (2.94/2.56 FIP)
23Jose QuintanaTB, at KC
24Francisco LirianoCHC, LADAvoiding major trouble at MIN despite 10 H in 5.7 IP, they handed him a 2 IP/7 ER nightmare earlier this year
25Lance Lynnat MIL
26Michael Wachaat CINHas allowed just 3 ER in 13 IP over his last two after back-to-back 5 ER starts against the two Chicago teams
27Carlos Martinezat CIN
28Shelby MillerSF, MIARegression has come and he's still solid: 3.41 ERA in his last 11 starts after a 1.48 ERA in his first 10
29Carlos Carrascoat LAAHas five starts of 5-plus ER, four of which he last fewer than 5 IP; has a 2.71 ERA in 103 IP outside of those five starts
30Scott Kazmirat TEX
31Danny Salazarat LAA
32Jeff SamardzijaKCThe Ks we got used to are missing, but at least mostly-good Shark has returned (2.78 ERA, 0.97 WHIP in last 9)
33Nate Karnsat CWS, NYM
34Tyson Rossat MIL, PHI
35John Lackeyat CIN, at MIL
36Patrick Corbinat WAS, CINI think some forget how awesome he was in '13; ARI still being cautious here with an average of 80 pit./gm thru five starts
37Jason HammelSF
38James ShieldsPHIThe 8% BB rate and 1.4 HR/9 are very uncharacteristic of Shields, but don't appear to be leaving
39Julio TeheranMIAHome/road splits this severe seem worthy of attention: 2.37 ERA at home, 7.24 on the road; skills also much better at hom
40Jordan ZimmermannCOL
41Gio GonzalezARI
42Joe RossARIShould at least get this start, but then could be forced out of the rotation by Strasburg next week
43Jimmy NelsonSD, STLFinished a brilliant July: 1.64 ERA, 1.15 WHIP, and 23% K in 33 IP
44Alex Woodat PHI, at PITHas allowed 10 H in three of his last six starts (1.38 WHIP)
45Garrett RichardsCLE, BALFanned 7-plus in 14 of his 26 starts last year; has done so just 3x in 19 starts and 0x in his last eight (16% K%)
46Ervin Santanaat TOR, at CLE
47Jake OdorizziNYM
48Erasmo Ramirezat CWS
49Matt Cainat ATL, at CHC
50Wily PeraltaSD, STL
51Jake Peavyat ATL, at CHCHas a 2.84 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in five starts (31.7 IP) since returning from injury
52Hector SantiagoCLEJust 5 IP in each of his last three (5.40 ERA); just a blip or beginning of a fade? He's 18 IP from last year's workload (141 IP)
53Chris Tillmanat OAK, at LAA
54Matt ShoemakerCLE, BALSo bad thru June that you may not have recognized his 2.01 ERA over his last 31.3 IP with just 2 HRs allowed
55Justin VerlanderKC, BOSThree of his last four have been excellent, unfortunately the fourth was a 3.7 IP/7 ER dud vs. BAL
56Andrew HeaneyBALLogjammed rotations always work themselves out and while it sucks that CJ Wilson got hurt, it clears the path for Heaney
57Eduardo Rodriguezat NYY
58Kyle Gibsonat CLEHas pitched much better than the numbers say in his last two (11 ER in 10.3 IP)
59Hisashi IwakumaTEX
60Anibal SanchezBOSNeed to actually see some HR suppression before moving him back up
61Andrew Cashnerat MIL, PHIMaybe it's just not happening this year for Cashner; all SD SPs are underperforming, wonder if it's something outside of their control
62Mat Latosat PIT
63Chris Hestonat CHC
64Mike Leakeat CHCHas a career 4.31 ERA at home , including a 4.93 this year, but his new home park is much more conducive to his pitching style
65Jaime Garciaat MIL
66Kyle HendricksSF
67Aaron Nolaat SD
68Marco EstradaMIN, at NYY
69Chris BassittBAL, HOULooking solid after five turns in the rotation: 3.00 ERA, 1.03 WHIP in 30 IP; Ks are light (16%), but doesn't give free passes (3% BB)
70Collin McHughat OAK
71Nathan EovaldiBOS
72Dan Harenat PITMarlins Park was serving him quite well this year: 3.24 ERA, 1.07 WHIP in 111 IP
73Ian Kennedyat MIL
74Matt WislerMIALogged just 2 Ks in his first two starts (4% K%), but has a much more reasonable 19% K rate in his last five
75Zach Godleyat WAS, CINA solid follow-up to that debut is enough to get him into some lineups for a two-start week
76Tom KoehlerNYM, at ATLGenerally a home-only guy, but his 2.51 ERA in 14.3 IP vs. ATL makes me feel alright about using this road start
77Jeremy Hellicksonat WAS
78Brett Andersonat PHI
79Taylor JungmannSDThe 2.23 ERA and 1.10 WHIP won't last, but he's showing skills that can easily hold a 3.30 or so ERA
80Robbie RayCINStill scared of the flyball-hard contact-home run rate setup he has right now as it's ripe for regression, but still plenty of good here
81Rubby De La Rosaat WAS
82Raisel Iglesiasat ARI
83Taijuan Walkerat COLIt's easy to get drunk on that upside after outings like Friday's 1-hitter with 11 Ks at MIN
84Edinson VolquezCWS
85Trevor BauerMIN
86Wei-Yin Chenat OAK
87Yovani GallardoHOU
88R.A. DickeyMIN, at NYYHas quietly put together a 2.96 ERA over his last 11 starts
89Kevin Gausmanat LAA
90Drew HutchisonMIN
91Jesse ChavezBAL, HOUAveraging just 5 IP over his last seven with a 5.75 ERA
92Ubaldo Jimenezat LAABetter last time out after back-to-back 7 ER starts, but not exactly awesome vs. weak ATL offense; has 3 BB in three of his last four
93Mark BuehrleMINERA reached a season-high 6.75 after his fifth start; has a 2.38 ERA in 106 IP since then, although just 56 Ks robs his value in K/9 leagues
94Miguel Gonzalezat OAK
95Mike MontgomeryTEX
96Anthony DeSclafaniSTL, at ARILooks pretty good when he's on, but the lows are really damaging making him tough to start in a two-step vs. quality offenses
97Jeff LockeCHC
98Yordano Venturaat DETI'll be interested to see how he holds up in TOR on Saturday
99Colby LewisHOU, at SEAOn a great four-game run: 2.89 ERA, 0.86 WHIP, but his track record says he's league average at best
100Bartolo Colonat MIA, at TBThe NL's CC Sabathia where the K/BB deceives us into thinking he's better than he is
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ABOUT THE AUTHOR
Paul Sporer
Sporer covers pitching for RotoWire. He also writes for Baseball Prospectus and publishes an annual guide on starting pitcher. In his spare time, he roots for the Tigers.
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