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FantasyDraft MLB: Sunday Values

Greg Vara

Vara is the lead golf writer at RotoWire. He was named the 2013 FSWA Golf Writer of the Year. In addition to producing the weekly preview and the bulk of the draft kit content, Vara participates in Yahoo!'s "Experts Picks" where he routinely dominates. He also picks college football games against the spread in his "College Capper" article.


Johnny Cueto, SF vs. SD ($18,000):
There are better pitchers on this slate, but as weíve seen already this week, if a pitcher is headed to the playoff, he canít be trusted because of a possible pitch count. Cueto has not had a great season, but heís coming off consecutive quality starts in which he struck out at least six in each. He also has the best matchup on the board, as the Padres enter with the second-worst wOBA against righties this season along with the second-highest K%.

Kevin Gausman, BAL at TB ($15,600): Gausman is coming off a bad start, he did look sharp in the two outings that preceded it and Iím expecting that guy to show up. In those two starts, Gausman went 15 innings and allowed just one run, striking out 13. The matchup is favorable as well, as the Rays enters with the third-highest K% against righties this season.


Nick Castellanos, DET at MN ($7,200):
Bartolo Colon enters with a 6.72 ERA, but it surely would have been higher had he not been pulled after one inning in his previous start. Colon managed to stay with the Twins until the end of the season, which is an accomplishment by itself, but heís struggled lately, allowing 18 runs in his past 12 innings. There arenít many Tigers who look appealing, even against Colon, but Castellanos is an exception thanks to his .434 wOBA against righties over the past 30 days.

Jonathan Schoop, BAL at TB ($6,800): Schoop had faded a bit after a great start to the season, but his numbers have held up and heíll end the season with 30+ homers, 100+ RBI and nearly a .300 batting average. Much of that is because of his success against lefties, as he comes in with a .404 wOBA against them this year. Meanwhile, the Orioles will face Blake Snell, who has been erratic all season and enters with a 4.27 ERA.

Ryon Healy, OAK at TEX ($7,200): Cole Hamels takes the mound for the Rangers with a 4.10 ERA, but that number doesnít quite describe how hit or miss heís been this season. Two starts back, he went eight innings while allowing just one run, but the start that followed, his most recent one, he allowed six runs in three innings. Heís been like that all season, and if heís off, then the Aís are more than capable of taking him to the woodshed. Healy has been the Aís best hitter against lefties all season, posting a .370 wOBA against southpaws.


Aaron Judge, NYY vs. TOR ($11,200):
Brett Anderson takes the mound for the Blue Jays and his 6.97 ERA is not quite representative of how poorly heís pitched lately. Anderson has allowed 11 runs in 6.1 innings over his past two starts and his prospects against the Yankees donít look very good. There are a number of Yankees you could take against Anderson, but Judge is at the top of the list because of his recent play and his team-high .394 wOBA against lefties this season.

Giancarlo Stanton, MIA vs. ATL ($11,100): Yes, I am hopping on both Judge and Stanton on this slate, something that I am not sure I have done this season, but the matchups are too good to ignore. In Stantonís case, itís the fact that heís facing a vulnerable lefty in Max Fried, who has a 3.74 ERA, which isnít terrible, but itís not elite either. Meanwhile, Stanton enters with a .477 wOBA against lefties this season, which is sixth-best in the majors.

Raimel Tapia, COL vs. LAD ($6,600): For the first time maybe all season, youíll have a chance to grab a bunch of Rockies hitters for very cheap as most of the starters should be on the shelf after clinching a playoff spot. Tapia is a guy who played quite a bit earlier this season but couldnít stay at the major league level. He has a .343 wOBA against righties this season and will face righty Ross Stripling. The names might not be big, but remember, this game is still being played at Coors Field.


Travis Shaw, MIL at STL ($8,700):
The Brewers were eliminated from the playoffs Saturday, but if they play their starters, they could be one of the better stacks on the board. Opposing starter Jack Flaherty has a 6.06 ERA, while the Brewers as a team have been very good against righties this season. Shaw is a big reason why, as he comes in with a .370 wOBA against them, trailing only Eric Thames for the team lead.

Domingo Santana, MIL at STL ($8,700): As mentioned, the Brewers could be the best stack on the board and with Thames likely out, Iíll look to the next best hitter after Shaw. Santana enters with a .366 wOBA against righties this season, which is third-best on the team. Meanwhile, Flaherty, has allowed nine runs in 13.1 innings as a starter this season.

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