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FanDuel MLB: Monday Value Plays

Kevin Payne

Kevin has worked for Rotowire just under a decade and has covered basketball, baseball and football. A glutton for punishment, he roots for his hometown Bills, Sabres and the New York Yankees. He hosts the RotoWire SiriusXM show every Wednesday and Friday and you can follow him on Twitter @KCPayne26.

We can thank MLB since they decided to cancel the Boston game due to inclement weather the day before, which rarely happens in baseball. Yesterday, they made a lot of DFS owners angry by postponing the Angels/Royals game only 20 minutes before the first pitch despite canceling four other games well ahead of time. As a result, the main slate Monday starts at 7:05 EST and contains a lofty 10 games. Letís take a look at who to target tonight.

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Tyler Chatwood, CHC vs. STL ($7,400): Chatwood has come out of the gate a little slowly with a 11:7 K:BB and 4.91 ERA. However, heís managed 31 and 21 fantasy points over his first two outings despite the subpar numbers. Last season he gave up only a .297 wOBA (3.49) on the road when he played for the Colorado Rockies. This season heís in a more pitcher-friendly environment on home soil and has a good shot at both the win and quality start against Adam Wainwright (5.06 ERA).

GPP Fade: Dallas Keuchel, HOU at SEA ($8,100): Keuchel is a better real-life pitcher than he is in DFS considering he doesnít strike out many batters. Heís struck out under 21 percent over his last two seasons and while thatís not bad, itís not an elite number either. Going into Seattle is a tricky task, as they have some right-handers who can mash and have the highest team wOBA against lefties so far this season.

Cheap GPP Consideration: Blake Snell, TB vs TEX ($7,100): Snell appears to be learning on the job once again this season with a 17:10 K:BB in only 15 innings. The overall results the last two seasons show a prospect on the rise, and he has pitched better at home than on the road. He gave up only a .274 wOBA (3.32 ERA) at home last season while striking out over a batter an inning. Texas has been hit by the injury bug this season and has the worst road wOBA this season against left-handed pitching after being the eighth-worst last season with a .305 mark.


Anthony Rizzo, CHC vs STL ($2,000): Rizzo is expected to be activated off the DL today and for some reason comes in at the minimum due to his recent absence. Thereís a chance he wonít play even if heís activated, but this is likely the only time this season heíll be below the $3,000 mark, let alone at the minimum. Wainwright is not the same ace he once was, and he has allowed a .412 and .376 wOBA to lefties on the road the last two seasons, putting Kyle Schwarber and Ian Happ in play as well.


Whit Merrifield, KC at TOR ($3,100): Merrifield has scuffled to start the season with a .255 average and no home runs. He still possesses a nice power/speed combo (19 HR/34 SB last season) and has always hit southpaws better than right-handed pitchers. Heíll move into a better hitterís park in Toronto tonight and get that lefty matchup against Jaime Garcia. For his career, Merrifield owns a .353 wOBA against that handedness.


Christian Villanueva, SD vs LAD ($3,300): Villanueva had good power numbers in the minors but hasnít gotten a shot at regular playing time in the majors until now. Heís responded nicely to a regular role with a .293 batting average and five home runs in 13 games. He's a fixture in the cleanup spot for the Padres and faces a lefty in Hyun-Jin Ryu.


J.P. Crawford, PHI at ATL ($2.500): Crawford appears to be adjusting to the big leagues, as he has home runs in two of his last three games to go along with two doubles and two walks. Considered one of the top prospects for the Phillies, heíll get to face Julio Teheran tonight who has been a disaster. After a promising 2016 season, Teheran took a huge step backward a year ago, finishing with a 4.49 ERA and a .342 wOBA to left-handed hitters. Through the early part of this season he has a 7.07 ERA.


Adam Duvall, CIN at MIL ($2,400): Duvallís .160 batting average has dropped his price to this level, but the matchup tonight makes him an attractive option. Coming off a game with a home run and a double Sunday, Duvall takes on lefty Brent Suter in Milwaukee as the Reds come into town for a three-game series. Last season Duvall had a .382 wOBA against lefties, including a .293 ISO.

Jay Bruce, NYM vs WAS ($3,300): Anytime he faces a right-handed pitcher Bruce is in play, and thatís the case tonight in New York against Jeremy Hellickson. Bruce owns a .348 wOBA against righties for his career with .361 and .369 marks in each of his last two seasons.


DJ LeMahieu, COL at PIT ($3,800): Heís not cheap by any means and wonít be hitting in Coors Field for tonightís game. That being said, LeMahieu is going against a lefty (Steven Brault) and while Nolan Arenado (suspended) is usually the first player on the Rockies that comes to mind, LeMahieu has also been incredibly effective. While his numbers are better at Coors, DJ still carried a .344 and .363 wOBA against lefties on the road the last two seasons.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Kevin Payne plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: Fanduel: kevinccp, Draft Kings: kevinccp, Fantasy Aces: kevinccp, Yahoo: kevinccp.