MLB DFS: Saturday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Saturday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Saturday's slate(s).

Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Matt BoydSam GaviglioBlue Jays9910298101101979.5-1801:07 PM
    Adalberto MejiaTyler ChatwoodCubs989988981141002:20 PM
    Tyler SkaggsAndrew CashnerOrioles106103114101121949.51354:05 PM
    Adam PlutkoEdwin JacksonAthletics969784978796
    Here's a quick glance at Saturday's slate(s).

    Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Matt BoydSam GaviglioBlue Jays9910298101101979.5-1801:07 PM
    Adalberto MejiaTyler ChatwoodCubs989988981141002:20 PM
    Tyler SkaggsAndrew CashnerOrioles106103114101121949.51354:05 PM
    Adam PlutkoEdwin JacksonAthletics9697849787969.51004:05 PM
    Justin VerlanderRyne StanekRays92959794901104:10 PM
    Jhoulys ChacinTyler MahleReds104100119981081069.5-1204:10 PM
    Jacob deGromPablo LopezMarlins84938691831034:10 PM
    Jeremy HellicksonVince VelasquezPhillies9895120971241099.0-1106:05 PM
    Max FriedLuke WeaverCardinals911029710082958.5-1357:15 PM
    German MarquezKenta MaedaDodgers909511396901037.5-1857:15 PM
    Chris SaleSonny GrayYankees1039514299123928.51257:15 PM
    Carlos RodonBartolo ColonRangers1171081071101069310.0-1209:05 PM
    Dereck RodriguezShelby MillerDiamondbacks1161091061051111008.5-12010:10 PM
    Jason HammelFelix HernandezMariners919610594971048.5-21010:10 PM
    Trevor WilliamsJoey LucchesiPadres929785979710310:10 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Matt Boyd (L)at TOR217.318.89.09.81.084.851.43$8,000$6,1009420.6
    Andrew Cashner (R)v LAA249.014.39.54.81.053.831.42$4,600$6,00010920.4
    Jhoulys Chacin (R)at CIN272.319.39.79.70.863.871.29$7,800$7,30010120.2
    Tyler Chatwood (R)v MIN216.019.514.84.71.004.461.53$7,300$6,7009319.7
    Bartolo Colon (R)v CWS230.714.14.79.41.835.811.43$5,100$6,5009724.9
    Jacob deGrom (R)at MIA302.729.77.022.70.982.911.13$13,600$11,7009022.7
    Max Fried (L)at STL37.020.711.29.51.463.891.57$5,700$5,9009321.7
    Sam Gaviglio (R)v DET115.018.47.610.71.724.231.32$8,300$7,1008421.7
    Sonny Gray (R)v BOS242.721.98.813.11.044.011.29$7,100$7,60012118.8
    Jason Hammel (R)at SEA274.716.96.410.51.185.311.45$4,900$7,00011219.5
    Jeremy Hellickson (R)at PHI207.315.16.29.01.694.771.19$6,700$6,3009726.2
    Felix Hernandez (R)v KC 182.020.17.812.41.484.751.32$8,100$7,8007919.7
    Edwin Jackson (R)v CLE82.018.48.010.42.204.941.48$6,900$6,60011120.7
    Pablo Lopez (R)v NYM0.00.00.00.000.000.00$5,300$5,50010222.0
    Joey Lucchesi (L)v PIT53.025.18.716.41.703.571.25$7,400$7,00010521.3
    Kenta Maeda (R)v COL202.325.97.218.81.203.961.21$11,000$8,9008423.3
    Tyler Mahle (R)v MIL106.020.610.210.41.273.741.42$6,400$6,90010024.1
    German Marquez (R)at LAD245.021.47.813.61.434.781.44$5,900$6,60011121.8
    Adalberto Mejia (L)at CHC98.019.29.99.31.194.501.57$6,600$5,60010122.4
    Shelby Miller (R)v SF 25.721.211.99.30.705.261.56$6,500$6,40010623.7
    Adam Plutko (R)at OAK31.017.26.310.92.324.651.23$6,000$6,30010922.2
    Carlos Rodon (L)at TEX93.723.89.514.31.544.041.30$7,700$7,70010022.8
    Dereck Rodriguez (R)at ARI30.720.45.115.30.883.821.34$7,500$8,4008023.3
    Chris Sale (L)at NYY323.336.05.530.40.952.780.96$13,000$12,00012522.3
    Tyler Skaggs (L)at BAL172.023.57.516.01.103.611.31$11,100$9,8008419.6
    Ryne Stanek (R)v HOU44.330.013.216.81.623.651.38$4,000$5,50011719.2
    Vince Velasquez (R)v WAS158.325.39.915.41.594.891.38$8,900$8,2009921.2
    Justin Verlander (R)at TB 319.727.67.420.21.072.821.04$13,400$12,2009522.8
    Luke Weaver (R)v ATL144.724.17.916.21.064.291.33$7,300$6,2009819.6
    Trevor Williams (R)at SD 237.318.18.010.10.914.061.27$7,900$6,8008524.6

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Matt Boyd (L)at TOR19.27.212.00.600.28519.18.710.41.380.340
    Andrew Cashner (R)v LAA17.311.55.81.380.34914.78.16.60.900.333
    Jhoulys Chacin (R)at CIN14.611.03.71.080.33623.87.716.10.660.285
    Tyler Chatwood (R)v MIN18.413.84.61.050.35118.912.16.80.830.304
    Bartolo Colon (R)v CWS14.45.88.61.660.35215.63.112.51.380.331
    Jacob deGrom (R)at MIA25.17.217.90.810.28730.46.124.31.110.279
    Max Fried (L)at STL35.112.322.81.320.34113.410.72.71.540.369
    Sam Gaviglio (R)v DET15.18.26.81.600.34021.17.113.91.820.340
    Sonny Gray (R)v BOS20.78.612.10.790.30220.68.612.01.480.335
    Jason Hammel (R)at SEA18.28.59.71.250.33218.35.313.01.240.322
    Jeremy Hellickson (R)at PHI16.27.78.51.510.32718.54.414.11.360.303
    Felix Hernandez (R)v KC 18.59.98.61.320.33720.27.912.31.310.319
    Edwin Jackson (R)v CLE19.111.37.81.150.33515.97.97.92.450.388
    Pablo Lopez (R)v NYM0.00.00.00.000.0000.00.00.00.000.000
    Joey Lucchesi (L)v PIT28.66.122.40.000.24524.19.414.72.200.345
    Kenta Maeda (R)v COL19.59.010.51.270.32631.45.326.10.990.261
    Tyler Mahle (R)v MIL21.516.05.52.120.40419.85.014.90.610.276
    German Marquez (R)at LAD18.08.39.71.090.34924.06.917.01.690.353
    Adalberto Mejia (L)at CHC23.46.516.92.160.36517.710.67.10.970.350
    Shelby Miller (R)v SF 13.711.91.81.460.39620.16.813.30.760.309
    Adam Plutko (R)at OAK11.09.61.42.810.41723.34.119.21.930.305
    Carlos Rodon (L)at TEX26.84.921.90.820.28522.89.113.71.500.336
    Dereck Rodriguez (R)at ARI18.04.913.10.640.32322.45.317.11.080.334
    Chris Sale (L)at NYY32.43.628.90.830.24231.65.626.01.030.272
    Tyler Skaggs (L)at BAL24.15.418.80.630.28223.19.114.11.200.336
    Ryne Stanek (R)v HOU33.89.923.90.000.23427.715.112.62.670.360
    Vince Velasquez (R)v WAS25.410.614.81.660.35227.27.619.61.400.316
    Justin Verlander (R)at TB 31.08.722.31.240.27224.95.419.61.010.268
    Luke Weaver (R)v ATL22.88.614.21.320.34226.27.019.21.090.312
    Trevor Williams (R)at SD 14.87.67.21.020.33221.08.412.61.000.298

    Want to Read More?
    Subscribe to RotoWire to see the full article.

    We reserve some of our best content for our paid subscribers. Plus, if you choose to subscribe you can discuss this article with the author and the rest of the RotoWire community.

    Get Instant Access To This Article Get Access To This Article
    RotoWire Community
    Join Our Subscriber-Only MLB Chat
    Chat with our writers and other RotoWire MLB fans for all the pre-game info and in-game banter.
    Join The Discussion
    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
    MLB Bets and Expert Picks for Wednesday, April 24
    MLB Bets and Expert Picks for Wednesday, April 24
    MLB Points Leagues: Using wOBA to Identify Hitters
    MLB Points Leagues: Using wOBA to Identify Hitters
    New York Mets-San Francisco Giants, MLB Picks: Single-Game Focus, April 24
    New York Mets-San Francisco Giants, MLB Picks: Single-Game Focus, April 24
    DraftKings MLB: Wednesday Breakdown
    DraftKings MLB: Wednesday Breakdown