MLB DFS: Thursday Cheat Sheet

MLB DFS: Thursday Cheat Sheet

This article is part of our DFS MLB series.

Here's a quick glance at Thursday's slate(s).

Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
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  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Pablo LopezJeremy HellicksonNationals1009889105114989.0-1907:05 PM
    Yovani GallardoMatt BoydTigers103981041031011049.5-1157:10 PM
    Carlos RodonJustin VerlanderAstros8393109941091017.5-3108:10 PM
    Max FriedJhoulys ChacinBrewers10510313196108
    Here's a quick glance at Thursday's slate(s).

    Helpful Links

  • Today's MLB Lineups
  • MLB Optimizer
  • BvP Info
  • For those interested, we've started an MLB DFS Slack channel for paid RotoWire subscribers. (There is a season-long one as well.) To join those channels, e-mail support@rotowire.com.

    Park Factors & Lines

    Park factors in this piece are a three-year average from 2015-2017, indexed (100 = average). For example, left-handed home runs at Guaranteed Rate Field (home of the White Sox) have a three-year index of 122, which means there have been 22% more homers hit by lefties from all teams during that span in that park compared to a completely neutral environment. Left-handed hitters have a significant advantage when hitting at Guaranteed Rate Field.

    AT&T Park (home of the Giants), has a three-year run index of 90, which means that games played at AT&T park have had 10% fewer runs scored overall than a completely neutral environment. Overall offensive production is reduced by a significant amount for games played in San Francisco, making it a safer environment than most for pitchers.

    LeftiesRighties
    Road StarterHome StarterHome TmRAVGHRAVGHRKO/UHmL1st Pitch
    Pablo LopezJeremy HellicksonNationals1009889105114989.0-1907:05 PM
    Yovani GallardoMatt BoydTigers103981041031011049.5-1157:10 PM
    Carlos RodonJustin VerlanderAstros8393109941091017.5-3108:10 PM
    Max FriedJhoulys ChacinBrewers105103131961081038:10 PM
    Andrew CashnerAaron SlegersTwins10510395105113938:10 PM
    Eric LauerShelby MillerDiamondbacks1161091061051111008.5-1509:40 PM
    Jaime BarriaMarco GonzalesMariners9196105949710410:10 PM
    Luke WeaverJohnny CuetoGiants90975310074997.5-14010:15 PM

    Pitcher Skills

    These stats look at each starting pitcher's stats since the start of last season.

    The final two columns are team stats for each pitcher's opponent.

    OwRC+ is the team wRC+ for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    TeamK% is the strikeout rate of the opposing team for the current season, against the handedness of that pitcher.

    Note: Opponent team matchup data from 2018 season.

    PlayerOppIPK%BB%K-BBHR/9ERAWHIPDKFDOwRC+OsK%
    Jaime Barria (R)at SEA55.720.07.013.01.623.401.20$8,100$5,80011119.5
    Matt Boyd (L)v TEX223.319.19.010.11.094.841.42$7,800$6,10010122.4
    Andrew Cashner (R)at MIN255.014.39.54.81.023.781.41$4,600$6,0009619.6
    Jhoulys Chacin (R)v ATL277.319.49.89.70.843.831.29$7,100$7,30010019.3
    Johnny Cueto (R)v STL179.321.27.713.51.153.861.31$11,800$8,3009722.9
    Max Fried (L)at MIL43.723.711.312.41.243.301.49$7,500$5,90010019.5
    Yovani Gallardo (R)at DET150.716.410.46.01.676.151.54$5,500$5,6008721.7
    Marco Gonzales (L)v LAA140.320.05.214.81.154.431.38$7,300$7,3009218.6
    Jeremy Hellickson (R)v MIA212.015.26.29.01.704.801.21$7,700$6,3008822.7
    Eric Lauer (L)at ARI62.018.89.49.41.455.081.76$5,300$7,70010023.0
    Pablo Lopez (R)at WAS6.020.04.016.03.003.001.17$7,000$5,5009821.1
    Shelby Miller (R)v SD 30.721.710.511.21.176.161.63$6,700$6,4008624.4
    Carlos Rodon (L)at HOU99.023.19.413.71.644.271.31$7,400$7,70011820.5
    Aaron Slegers (R)v BAL20.714.08.15.81.745.661.21$5,600$5,5008424.9
    Justin Verlander (R)v CWS324.727.77.320.41.052.911.06$13,400$12,2009924.7
    Luke Weaver (R)at SF 149.323.97.916.01.154.641.37$7,900$6,20010523.4

    Pitcher Splits

    These splits cover each pitcher's performance against left-handed and right-handed hitters since the start of the 2016 season.

    Stats highlighted yellow indicate matchups favoring the pitcher. Stats highlighted blue indicate matchups favoring opposing hitters.

    v. Leftiesv. Righties
    NameOppK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBAK%BB%K-BBHR/9wOBA
    Jaime Barria (R)at SEA23.94.419.50.940.26716.29.46.82.330.375
    Matt Boyd (L)v TEX19.27.212.00.600.28519.48.710.71.380.339
    Andrew Cashner (R)at MIN17.611.46.21.370.34614.58.26.30.890.332
    Jhoulys Chacin (R)v ATL14.611.03.61.070.33523.97.816.10.660.285
    Johnny Cueto (R)v STL21.86.215.60.830.30721.96.415.50.880.290
    Max Fried (L)at MIL36.111.524.61.230.33318.011.36.81.240.346
    Yovani Gallardo (R)at DET17.713.34.41.440.34515.08.86.21.510.357
    Marco Gonzales (L)v LAA19.14.314.81.350.32720.25.414.81.110.343
    Jeremy Hellickson (R)v MIA16.47.78.71.540.33118.44.513.91.350.304
    Eric Lauer (L)at ARI12.18.63.40.730.34120.49.610.91.630.391
    Pablo Lopez (R)at WAS36.40.036.40.000.0887.17.10.06.750.554
    Shelby Miller (R)v SD 14.211.62.61.510.39220.16.613.50.900.323
    Carlos Rodon (L)at HOU26.35.221.10.960.29122.69.013.61.520.336
    Aaron Slegers (R)v BAL17.44.313.01.500.26210.012.5-2.52.080.364
    Justin Verlander (R)v CWS30.98.722.21.230.27325.15.319.81.000.269
    Luke Weaver (R)at SF 22.68.813.81.390.35126.16.919.31.150.316

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    ABOUT THE AUTHOR
    Derek VanRiper
    Derek was a frequent writer and media host. During his tenure, he'd been a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Baseball Writer of the Year award, and winner of the Best Football Article on the Web (2009) and Best Baseball Article on the Web (2010) awards. Derek also had hosted RotoWire's shows on SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio (XM 87, Sirius 210).
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