Tuesdayís four-game slate is slim, but that doesnít make it unplayable. Quite the contrary, in fact. Oftentimes, you just have to make one or two contrarian plays to squeak out a GPP score or stick to solid high floor options to nail your cash games with a lot less variance. Lots of games to choose from can be fun, but they are often harder to profit from.
Vegas is a big fan of ORL/DAL on Tuesday with an O/U of 214, but Iím a fan of the MIA/TOR game, and I think itíll beat the 208 over with no problem.
Russell Westbrook ($59) stands alone as the sole member of the $50-plus club, and it makes sense to spend for him whether Damian Lillard suits up for the Trail Blazers or not. On nights like these you sometimes just have to bite the bullet to keep pace, so going with Westbrook on all cash lineups is almost a must. Too many people will do the same, and the slate is too shallow to be contrarian in a cash game setting. Iím only fading him in GPP punt plays.
As usual, Iíll be targeting two players per position, along with one player to avoid. Iíll also list a few other players per position that hold equal value in my predictions even though I havenít provided detail on them.
DeMar DeRozan, TOR vs. MIA ($40): DeRozanís value shot up on Monday night as Kyle Lowry went down-- quite literally - and it didnít look pretty. With Lowry ruled out for Tuesdayís game, that leaves DeRozan as the torch-bearer for the Raptorsí offense. When Lowry was last out, DeRozan was an absolute beast. Heíll be logging close to 40 minutes and thereís no way Iím leaving him off my lineups.
C.J. McCollum, POR at OKC ($30): Like DeRozan, McCollum has been a reliable cash-game anchor over the past month. He depends on rebounds and assists to get him above 30 YFP in most game scenarios, and though he hasnít excelled against the Thunder in the past two contests against them, the absence of Andre Roberson should help.
Other guards to consider: Elfrid Payton, ORL at DAL ($29); Dennis Smith Jr., DAL vs. ORL ($21); DeíAaron Fox, SAC at LAL ($12)
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GUARD TO AVOID
Evan Fournier, ORL at DAL ($20): Even though the Mavericks are struggling this season, their defense ranks fourth against opposing shooting guards, and Fournierís record against Dallas hasnít been particularly strong. Heís also underperformed projections in three straight games now, so Iím steering clear of him in this matchup.
Josh Richardson, MIA at TOR ($28): In an effort to keep cost down Iím sliding a bit further down the forward list to start. While itís a toss-up as to whether or not heíll start, heíll get in his 30-plus minutes as usual and may benefit from some garbage time if Miami falls behind. Averaging 16.8 points, 4.2 assists and almost two steals per game over his last five contests, Richardson is an across-the-board contributor who regular sees a 30-plus YFP.
Harrison Barnes, ORL at DAL ($26): Barnes is the best cash play youíll find at Yahooís median price. Heís a virtual lock to net you 30-plus YFP on a regular basis, and while heíll rarely blow up above that, he wonít torpedo your cash lineup either. Orlando ranks 29th against his position so I like Barnes in his usual production range Tuesday.
Other forwards to consider: Paul George, OKC vs. POR ($36); Brandon Ingram, LAL vs. SAC ($29); Serge Ibaka, TOR vs. MIA ($21)
FORWARD TO AVOID
Kyle Kuzma, LAL vs SAC ($25): While itís a good matchup for Kuzma, the rookie is finally experiencing some growing pains after a red-hot start. It was thought that perhaps Lonzo Ballís absence was hurting his production, but that argument hasnít borne any fruit as heís also underperformed since his return. Iíd consider playing him if he was closer to $20, but right now heís no cinch to make value at his current price.