This article is part of our NFL Picks series.
Pianowski had another 10-win week to pull into sole possession of first place. I went 8-7-1 and am now two games back. Stopa turned it around after a bad Week 1, going 9-6-1 and is not back in the thick of things. We also went 4-3-1 on our eight consensus picks last week, which doesn't sound too impressive, but if you made seven $11 bets at -110, you'd win $40 and lose $33 for a profit of $7 after paying the juice, i.e., 4-3 is 57 percent. This week we have three consensus picks: Seahawks, Jaguars and Dolphins.
Enjoy the games.
| Erickson | Pianowski | Liss | Stopa | Del Don | |
| 49ers -2 at Chiefs | 49ers | 49ers | 49ers | Chiefs | 49ers |
| Bengals -3 at Panthers | Bengals | Panthers | Panthers | Panthers | Panthers |
| Browns +11 at Ravens | Ravens | Ravens | Ravens | Browns | Ravens |
| Lions +11.5 at Vikings | Lions | Lions | Lions | Vikings | Lions |
| Titans +3 at Giants | Giants | Titans | Giants | Giants | Giants |
| Steelers -2.5 at Buccaneers | Steelers | Steelers | Buccaneers | Buccaneers | Steelers |
| Falcons +3.5 at Saints | Saints | Falcons | Falcons | Falcons | Falcons |
| Bills +14.5 at Patriots | Bills | Patriots | Bills | Bills | Bills |
| Cowboys +3 at Texans | Texans | Cowboys | Cowboys | Cowboys | Cowboys |
| Redskins -3.5 at Rams | Rams | Rams | Rams | Rams | Redskins |
| Eagles -3 at Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars |
| Chargers -5.5 at Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks |
| Colts -6 at Broncos | Broncos | Colts | Broncos | Broncos | Broncos |
| Raiders +4 at Cardinals | Raiders | Raiders | Cardinals | Raiders | Raiders |
| Jets +1.5 at Dolphins | Dolphins | Dolphins | Dolphins | Dolphins | Dolphins |
| Packers -3 at Bears | Packers | Packers | Bears | Packers |
Pianowski had another 10-win week to pull into sole possession of first place. I went 8-7-1 and am now two games back. Stopa turned it around after a bad Week 1, going 9-6-1 and is not back in the thick of things. We also went 4-3-1 on our eight consensus picks last week, which doesn't sound too impressive, but if you made seven $11 bets at -110, you'd win $40 and lose $33 for a profit of $7 after paying the juice, i.e., 4-3 is 57 percent. This week we have three consensus picks: Seahawks, Jaguars and Dolphins.
Enjoy the games.
| Erickson | Pianowski | Liss | Stopa | Del Don | |
| 49ers -2 at Chiefs | 49ers | 49ers | 49ers | Chiefs | 49ers |
| Bengals -3 at Panthers | Bengals | Panthers | Panthers | Panthers | Panthers |
| Browns +11 at Ravens | Ravens | Ravens | Ravens | Browns | Ravens |
| Lions +11.5 at Vikings | Lions | Lions | Lions | Vikings | Lions |
| Titans +3 at Giants | Giants | Titans | Giants | Giants | Giants |
| Steelers -2.5 at Buccaneers | Steelers | Steelers | Buccaneers | Buccaneers | Steelers |
| Falcons +3.5 at Saints | Saints | Falcons | Falcons | Falcons | Falcons |
| Bills +14.5 at Patriots | Bills | Patriots | Bills | Bills | Bills |
| Cowboys +3 at Texans | Texans | Cowboys | Cowboys | Cowboys | Cowboys |
| Redskins -3.5 at Rams | Rams | Rams | Rams | Rams | Redskins |
| Eagles -3 at Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars | Jaguars |
| Chargers -5.5 at Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks | Seahawks |
| Colts -6 at Broncos | Broncos | Colts | Broncos | Broncos | Broncos |
| Raiders +4 at Cardinals | Raiders | Raiders | Cardinals | Raiders | Raiders |
| Jets +1.5 at Dolphins | Dolphins | Dolphins | Dolphins | Dolphins | Dolphins |
| Packers -3 at Bears | Packers | Packers | Bears | Packers | Bears |
| Best Bet | Lions | Cowboys | Dolphins | Raiders | 49ers |
| Last Week's Record | 8-7-1 | 10-5-1 | 8-7-1 | 9-6-1 | 7-8-1 |
| 2010 Record | 16-13-3 | 20-9-3 | 18-11-3 | 13-16-3 | 15-14-3 |
| Best Bet Record | 1-1 | 0-1-1 | 1-1 | 1-0-1 | 0-1-1 |
| Consensus Pick Record | 5-4-1 | ||||
| 2009 Record | 123-130-3 | 132-121-3 | 131-122-3 | 130-123-3 | 126-127-3 |
| 2008 Record | 132-114-10 | 128-118-10 | 124-122-10 | 125-121-10 | 130-116-10 |
| 2007 Record | 127-120 | 118-129 | 127-120 | N/A | 130-117 |
| 2006 Record | 118-129 | N/A | 139-108 | N/A | N/A |
| 2005 Record | 121-126 | N/A | 127-120 | N/A | N/A |
| 2004 Record | 124-124 | N/A | 130-118 | N/A | N/A |
| 2003 Record | 121-126 | 118-129 | 124-123 | N/A | N/A |
| 2002 Record | 113-136 | 123-126 | 141-108 | N/A | N/A |
| 2001 Record | 124-113 | 117-120 | 118-119 | N/A | N/A |
| 2000 Record | 123-117 | 134-106 | 141-99 | N/A | N/A |
Consensus Picks
This week we have three consensus picks: Jaguars, Seahawks and Dolphins.
Last week we went 4-3-1 on consensus picks, winning with the Bengals, Steelers, Chargers and 49ers, losing with the Browns, Panthers and Giants and pushing with the Redskins.
We're 5-4-1 on consensus picks this year. We finished 2009 at 19-23-1 on consensus picks, and were 24-19-2 on them in 2008.
Comments:
| Writer | Comment |
| Erickson | There are a lot of "trap" lines this week, some of which I'm going to jump right into, like Bengals-Panthers. Love the Lions getting so many points - while their LB/DB's need work, they're still a much better team than they were a year ago. Plus, they've given the Vikings their share of fits over the last couple of years. |
| Pianowski | I recognize Dallas hasn't shown a thing, but desperation and a line adjustment makes for an obvious lean... I get the idea I might be on the Rams most of the year, not sure how I feel about that. |
| Liss | By far the toughest week to date. A lot strange lines that seem too good to be true, and the question is whether the obvious is the sucker play, or just the obvious. |
| Stopa | The Jaguars, Broncos and Seahawks have significant home/road splits over the past few years. I'll take all three as home dogs... I agree with what Chris said about the Dolphins in ECO... The Steelers can't go undefeated without Roethlisberger at QB, can they? I don't see the Chiefs or Bucs as 3-0 teams, but I'll take both getting points at home... Last week the Bills got less than 14; this week it's more. It's only a point, but that point is huge, I think... Best bet is a Raiders team that is markedly better with Gradkowski under center. I see that as a 50/50 type of game, so getting more than a FG against a bad Cardinals team is nice value. |
| Del Don | Not one "best bet" jumped out at me this week, and I know I'm taking the sucker side with S.F. - a road favorite coming off a short week after playing Monday night. |
The players:
- Jeff Erickson: RotoWire Senior editor, 2001, 2008 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Value Meter. Covers and roots for the Bengals.
- Scott Pianowski: Fantasy expert for Yahoo! Sports, and also contributes to Rotowire.com. 2009 Staff Picks Champ. Roots for the Patriots.
- Chris Liss: RotoWire Managing Editor, 2000, 2002, 2006 Staff Picks Champ, 2003, 2004 co-champ. Writes Beating the Book and Surviving the Week in addition to Staff Picks. Covers and roots for the Giants.
- Mark Stopa: Staff Writer, Writes Working the Wire. Roots for the Bills.
- Dalton Del Don: RotoWire Senior Staff Writer. 2007 Staff Picks Champ. Writes the Game Capsules and the Barometer. Covers the Eagles and roots for the 49ers.
