37-Year-Old UFC Light Heavyweight 10-4-0
February 7, 2018 Patrick Cummins News
RotoWire Fantasy Analysis
Cummins (infection) will face Corey Anderson in a light heavyweight bout at UFC Fight Night 128 in Atlantic City on April 21.
The two have been rebooked after Cummins was forced to withdraw from their scheduled fight at UFC 217 in November due to a staph infection in his right foot. The 37-year-old is looking to string together his third straight victory, having taken down Gian Villante and Jan Blachowicz in his previous two fights. His opponent, Anderson, is 9-4 in professional fights but has lost two straight bouts and three of his last four.
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Fantasy AnalysisComing into UFC 217, Cummins (10-4) had won two fights in a row, defeating Gian Villante and Jan Blachowicz earlier this year. With his absence, Corey Anderson needs a new opponent for Nov. 4.
Fantasy AnalysisCummins (36) is nine years older than Anderson but has experience on his side. He has faced some of the division's top competitors in Daniel Cormier and Ovince St. Preux. Although he suffered losses on both occasions, he has two straight wins against Gian Villante and Jan Blachowicz (unanimous decisions) entering this fight. "Durkin" is 10-4 (7-4 UFC) and lands an impressive 5.34 takedowns per fight while maintaining a 71 percent takedown defense.
Fantasy AnalysisCummins is without a doubt one of the toughest human beings alive. He dug deep in this one to find a way to win. Knowing that his takedowns weren't landing but that they were draining Villante's energy, Cummins continuously went back to the well in hopes of wearing out his opponent - it worked. Outside of getting popped with a few huge shots early in the fight, Cummins fought extremely smart. He recognized Villante's weaknesses and he exploited them. Cummins will be 37 years old in November, so sudden improvements aren't forthcoming, but he's a tough, entertaining light heavyweight.
Fantasy AnalysisIt was an ugly effort, but the only thing that Cummins cares about is that he got the win. Of course, if he was facing anyone other than Blachowicz it probably wouldn't have happened. Cummins' brute strength and wrestling game is cancelled out by the fact that he can't defend himself on the feet. The only reason he won here is because Blachowicz gassed out after going for the finish early and he was able to grind himself to victory. There is no reason to expect improvement from the 36-year-old Cummins moving forward. He has shown an inability to defend himself on the feet in virtually every single one of his UFC bouts. It isn't changing now.
Fantasy AnalysisThat isn't a favorable looking number for an underdog. Cummins has been a chronic underachiever in his UFC career. He has lost two straight and three of his last four. The 36-year-old could be looking at a release if he can't figure out a way to get past Blachowicz on Saturday.
Fantasy AnalysisCummins was set to fight Villante on Dec. 9 at UFC Fight Night 102 but had to drop out of the duel due to a staph infection in his shin. Villante is now looking for a new opponent to fight. Cummins last fought Antonio Rogerio Nogueira back in May, where he lost due to a first-round knockout.
Fantasy AnalysisThat sound you hear is any prayer Cummins ever had of becoming a player in the UFC's light heavyweight division flying out the window. Showing zero ability to defend himself on the feet, Cummins could have been stopped 30 seconds earlier had referee Leon Roberts (who is normally very good) been doing his job properly. Cummins have proven time and time again throughout his UFC career that he has a glass chin and if he isn't able to put his wrestling skills to use, his odds of winning are somewhere between slim and none. Facing a 39-year-old who hadn't won a fight in more than three years, Cummins still got wrecked. It's possible he could be looking at a release.
Fantasy AnalysisCummins was dealt a second-round KO loss to Glover Teixeira in his lat bout, but posted a 4-1 mark in his five fights prior to that. The skilled wrestler will face an opponent in Nogueria that is on the decline, having now lost back-to-back bouts. Nonetheless, Nogueria will have the support of the crowd, making this a formidable challenge for Cummins.
Fantasy AnalysisCummins did exactly what he wanted in the first round - that being racking up four takedowns, but he was unable to keep Teixeira on the mat and he had no chance once the two got back to the feet. Cummins has shown quite a chin throughout his brief UFC career, but he absorbs far too much damage on the feet and if he isn't winning a wrestling match, he seemingly has little chance to beat better fighters. Turning 35-years old in a couple weeks, Cummins seems likely to continue to get meaningful fights due to the lack of depth in the light heavyweight division, but we can pretty much rule out a run at the title.
Fantasy AnalysisIt's a great opportunity for Cummins. He has a real chance to use his wrestling skills to beat a highly ranked opponent and earn an even bigger fight. Cummins is prone to taking too much punishment on the feet, which could be a problem against the heavy-handed Teixeira, but Teixeira isn't half the wrestler that Cummins is. This is a solid, underrated fight.
Fantasy AnalysisCummins' suffered a nose injury during his victory over Rafael Calvalcante earlier this month at UFC 190, but it's clear that all parties involved are confident that he will be ready to roll by November. It's a great job by Cummins and his management team if he can pull this fight off. Texiera is ranked considerably higher and this would make for the signature win that Cummins has been seeking if he can pull off the upset. Despite the fact that Teixiera is ranked as the #3 light heavyweight by UFC.com and Cummins is ranked at #10, this has the potential to be a very close fight.
Fantasy AnalysisCummins was impressive in his victory over Rafael Cavalcante at the UFC 190 prelims Saturday, but his face took a pretty solid beating prior to earning the third-round knockout. He'll now be unable to fight for 180 days, unless cleared by a physician before that. Cummins is rising up the ranks in the light heavyweight division, but his next bout remains to be determined.
Fantasy AnalysisCummins has two elite attributes - his wrestling and his cardio. His face was a bloody mess by the time the fight ended, but Cummins was well on his way to winning a decision before he got the stoppage. Cummins stand up game will never be his strength, but if he can even become average in that area, he can beat a lot of guys in the light heavyweight division. He has a good chin and he's shown the ability to take a lot of damage. The light heavyweight division in the UFC isn't deep these days. You can certainly make an argument that Cummins is a top-10 guy at this point.
Fantasy AnalysisCummins was looking terrific in his last fight last month against Ovince St. Preux before catching a short shot and being knocked out cold with just 17 seconds left in the opening round. It was a tough finish for a guy who's only prior loss came on short notice against current light heavyweight champion Daniel Cormier. The two time former Division I All-American wrestler from Penn State will get a chance to respond in August in Brazil.