This article is part of our Daily Fantasy Soccer Cheat Sheet series.
Tuesday's two matches could be very different, as Italy (+210 to win on DraftKings Sportsbook) v. Brazil (+140) is expected to be quite close, while Australia (-3335) v. Jamaica (+4500) is not. Italy has already clinched a spot in the knockout round by beating Australia and Jamaica, and a draw against Brazil will see them top Group C. On the other hand, Brazil can still finish on top if they beat Italy by at least two goals, with DraftKings giving them a 13.33 percent chance (+650) to win by two, a 6.25 percent chance to win by three and a 3.23 percent chance to win by at least four.
Jamaica can theoretically finish third with a win over Australia, though their minus-8 goal differential means they'll have to win by at least 9-0 and hope Australia and Brazil end in a draw. Needless to say, it's unlikely. On the other hand, Australia would be better off with a win to move ahead of Brazil into second place, and a matchup against Jamaica, who lost 3-0 to Brazil and 5-0 to Italy, certainly lines up well for them.
Australia consideration will always begin with Samantha Kerr, the second-most expensive player on DraftKings at $8,900 and the third-most on FanDuel at $20. Kerr has been a consistent leader of the Australia attack, putting two of four shots on target in both matches, including a goal in the first after her penalty was saved. She comes in with a 77.53 percent chance