Dustin May
Dustin May
23-Year-Old PitcherSP
Los Angeles Dodgers
10-Day IL
Injury Elbow
Est. Return 7/1/2022
2021 Fantasy Outlook
While May was used in a flexible role during the postseason, he was mostly a true starter during the regular season, starting 10 of his 12 games. Judging purely by his 2.57 ERA, it appears as though he's already delivering on his considerable hype, but his underlying numbers don't paint him in quite the same light, especially his 4.62 FIP. May's 54.7% groundball rate and 7.1 BB% were both strong, but his 19.6 K% wasn't very impressive. He wasn't a high strikeout guy in the minors, either, posting a 23.3 K% at the two highest levels. May's 8.4% swinging-strike rate came in a full three ticks below league average, so, despite his pedigree, don't expect him to suddenly start racking up whiffs any time soon. It's certainly possible to carve out a long and successful career with modest strikeout numbers, and May has the rest of the profile necessary to make that work, but it does put a cap on his ceiling. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#215
ADP
$Signed a one-year contract with the Dodgers in August of 2019.
Set for Tommy John surgery
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Elbow
May 3, 2021
May will undergo Tommy John surgery May 11, Juan Toribio of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
May felt something in his arm in his latest start Saturday against the Brewers and was forced to exit in the second inning. An MRI confirmed that surgery was needed Monday. The procedure typically takes over a year to recover from, so May probably won't pitch again at the big-league level until the second half of the 2022 season.
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Pitching Stats
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2021
2020
2019
2021 MLB Game Log
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Scoring
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2020 MLB Game Log
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2019 MLB Game Log
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Pitching Appearances Breakdown
Average Pitch Count
74
Last 10 Games
74
Last 5 Games
74
How many pitches does Dustin May generally throw?
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
 
1-10
 
11-20
 
21-30
 
31-40
 
41-50
 
51-60
 
61-70
 
71-80
 
81-90
 
91-100
 
101-110
 
111-120
 
121+
What part of the game does Dustin May generally pitch?
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
 
 
 
1st
 
 
 
2nd
 
 
 
3rd
 
 
 
4th
 
 
 
5th
 
 
 
6th
 
 
 
7th
 
 
 
8th
 
 
 
9th
 
Extra
% Games Reaching Innings Threshold
% Games By Number of Innings Pitched
Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-22%
BAA vs RHP
2021
 
 
-26%
BAA vs LHP
2020
 
 
-20%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-46%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2019vs Left .254 216 56 20 49 8 0 9
Since 2019vs Right .197 238 54 5 45 4 0 6
2021vs Left .159 49 23 5 7 2 0 2
2021vs Right .214 44 12 1 9 0 0 2
2020vs Left .247 110 19 11 24 2 0 6
2020vs Right .198 110 24 3 21 2 0 3
2019vs Left .346 57 14 4 18 4 0 1
2019vs Right .188 84 18 1 15 2 0 1
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2019
 
 
-23%
ERA at Home
2021
 
 
-8%
ERA at Home
2020
Even Split
2019
 
 
-50%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2019Home 2.61 1.10 51.2 1 2 0 8.4 1.9 1.2
Since 2019Away 3.41 1.03 58.0 4 3 0 9.0 2.2 1.2
2021Home 2.61 1.06 10.1 0 0 0 13.9 1.7 0.9
2021Away 2.84 0.87 12.2 1 1 0 13.5 2.8 2.1
2020Home 2.77 1.08 26.0 1 1 0 5.9 2.8 1.7
2020Away 2.77 1.12 26.0 1 0 0 7.6 2.1 1.4
2019Home 2.35 1.17 15.1 0 1 0 8.8 0.6 0.6
2019Away 4.66 1.03 19.1 2 2 0 7.9 1.9 0.5
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Dustin May compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 120 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
5.83
 
K/9
13.7
 
BB/9
2.3
 
HR/9
1.6
 
Fastball
98.0 mph
 
ERA
2.74
 
WHIP
0.96
 
BABIP
.287
 
GB/FB
2.80
 
Left On Base
85.4%
 
Exit Velocity
81.3 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
3.7%
 
Spin Rate
2485 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
21.1%
 
Swinging Strike
14.6%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Dustin May
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7 days ago
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7 days ago
With the minors set to open, Jesse Siegel is following some of the top names and expects big things from a catcher in the Orioles organization.
FanDuel MLB: Saturday Targets
10 days ago
For Saturday’s small slate of games, Chris Bennett likes inexpensive Evan Longoria against an inefficient Blake Snell.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2020
2019
2017
May logged over five innings in four of his first five MLB appearances and then shifted to a bullpen role due to the Dodgers' impressive rotation depth. He is the best pitching prospect in a deep system, even though his strikeout rates don't stand out. His 44.4 GB% in the majors was easily his worst mark in pro ball, and generating weak contact will be critical if May is to be a No. 2 or No. 3 starter. His repertoire is unusual, as his three best pitches (sinker, cutter, fourseam fastball) are all thrown at over 90 mph, while he has not had much success with his curveball, changeup or slider. That said, he turned 22 in September, so he is not a finished product, and no other MLB pitcher his age throws six distinct pitches with above-average command. There will be stiff competition for the Dodgers' final rotation spots. Even if May doesn't break camp in the rotation, he should still make double-digit starts.
If May can improve his secondary pitches, he would have No. 2 starter upside. Considering he is entering his age-21 season, we certainly can't rule out that possibility. A lean 6-foot-6, 180-pound righty, May has steadily increased his fastball velocity, and that pitch is now a mid-90s worm-killing monster (GB% around 55%), which gives his repertoire an excellent base. He has two decent secondary offerings in his curveball and cutter, but both pitches still need a good deal of refinement. His control was excellent (4.2 BB%) in 17 starts at High-A, and while that mark almost doubled after a promotion to Double-A (8.3 BB%), he comfortably projects to have at least 50-grade command/control in the majors. May should return to Double-A to start the year, but could spend most of 2019 at Triple-A. If he improves those two secondary offerings, his stock will skyrocket. If not, he could be a groundball-heavy No. 4 starter or power reliever.
A tall, lanky right-hander boasting an impressive mid-90s fastball with sink, May showed unexpectedly stellar command in 30.1 innings in the Arizona League following the 2016 draft. The teenager posted a 34:4 K:BB over that span, did not allow a single home run and ended up with a 3.86 ERA in his first taste of the minors. At 6-foot-6, there are some concerns about his ability to repeat his delivery, though May did not have any issues to begin his professional career. It is just as likely that May ends up in the bullpen, but for now he will remain a starter. The development of a third pitch will be key in his growth. The Dodgers could decide to be bullish on May and start him at Low-A Great Lakes to begin the 2017 campaign.
More Fantasy News
MRI reveals UCL damage
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Arm
May 3, 2021
May's MRI revealed some UCL damage in his right elbow Monday, Jon Morosi of MLB Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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Moving to IL, MRI on tap
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Arm
May 1, 2021
May (arm) will be placed on the injured list Sunday and undergo an MRI once the team arrives in Chicago on Monday, Bill Plunkett of The Orange County Register reports.
ANALYSIS
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Dealing with arm injury
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Arm
May 1, 2021
May was removed from Saturday's start against the Brewers with a right arm injury, Mike DiGiovanna of the Los Angeles Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Exits with apparent injury
PLos Angeles Dodgers
Undisclosed
May 1, 2021
May left his start Saturday against the Brewers with an apparent injury, Jorge Castillo of the Los Angeles Times reports.
ANALYSIS
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Fans 10 in no-decision
PLos Angeles Dodgers
April 25, 2021
May allowed one earned run on two hits and one walk while striking out 10 across six innings in the loss against the Padres on Sunday. He did not factor in the decision.
ANALYSIS
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