Nathaniel Lowe

28-Year-Old First Baseman1B

Texas Rangers

2024 Stats

AVG

.286

RBI

Rest-of-Season Projections

AVG

RBI

Unlock Our Projections

2024 Fantasy Outlook

Our 2023 outlook for Lowe came together rather well in the end as the first baseman regressed to previous levels in the face of the new rules. Lowe remains one of the more disciplined hitters in the league who will patiently work a count while looking for his pitch while being more than willing to accept a walk in any given situation. Lowe's issues against lefties (.223) helped pull his batting average down in 2023, but given he hit .277 and .330 against lefties in the previous two seasons, it would not surprise us to see him recover in 2024 to add some more life to his average. Despite his size, Lowe has league-average speed but Texas has not put him in motion over the past two seasons after allowing him some opportunities in 2021. Lowe is in an enviable position of playing daily in a potent lineup and has the potential to drive in 100 and even score 100 if the guys around him stay healthy all season. 2022 may have been his ceiling, but maybe not. Read Past Outlooks

RANKSFrom Preseason

#251

ADP

Overall

Dynasty

League Majors

Bats L

Throws R

40 Man Yes

Height 6'4"

Weight 235

DOB 7/7/1995

Drafted 13th Rd 2016

Makes season debut

1BTexas Rangers

April 21, 2024

Lowe went 0-for-3 with a walk and run scored in Saturday's 5-2 loss to Atlanta.

ANALYSIS
Lowe was activated off the injured list and made his season debut, batting fifth and playing first base. He should be the primary first baseman going forward against lefties or righties.

Read More News

Batting Stats

Loading Batting Stats...

2024

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

2024 MLB Game Log

Calculate Stats Over Time

Just click on any two dates.

Scoring

FanDuel

DraftKings

Yahoo DFS

Sorare

Loading Batting Game Log...

2023 MLB Game Log

Calculate Stats Over Time

Just click on any two dates.

Scoring

FanDuel

DraftKings

Yahoo DFS

Sorare

Loading Batting Game Log...

2022 MLB Game Log

Calculate Stats Over Time

Just click on any two dates.

Scoring

FanDuel

DraftKings

Yahoo DFS

Sorare

Loading Batting Game Log...

2021 MLB Game Log

Calculate Stats Over Time

Just click on any two dates.

Scoring

FanDuel

DraftKings

Yahoo DFS

Sorare

Loading Batting Game Log...

2020 MLB Game Log

Calculate Stats Over Time

Just click on any two dates.

Scoring

FanDuel

DraftKings

Yahoo DFS

Sorare

Loading Batting Game Log...

2019 MLB Game Log

Calculate Stats Over Time

Just click on any two dates.

Scoring

FanDuel

DraftKings

Yahoo DFS

Sorare

Loading Batting Game Log...

Minor League Game Log

Calculate Stats Over Time

Just click on any two dates.

Loading Minor League Batting Game Log...

Batting Order Slot Breakdown

vs Right-Handed Pitchers

vs RHP

vs Left-Handed Pitchers

vs LHP

Left/Right Batting Splits

Since 2022

+6%

OPS vs RHP

2024

-100%

OPS vs RHP

2023

+30%

OPS vs RHP

2022

+13%

OPS vs LHP

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022vs Left	.777	432	44	14	52	0	.275	.345	.432
Since 2022vs Right	.827	945	121	30	106	3	.284	.366	.460
2024vs Left	.000	2	0	0	0	0	.000	.000	.000
2024vs Right	.900	6	2	0	0	0	.400	.500	.400
2023vs Left	.642	219	18	4	23	0	.223	.311	.332
2023vs Right	.833	505	71	13	59	1	.279	.382	.451
2022vs Left	.920	211	26	10	29	0	.330	.384	.536
2022vs Right	.817	434	48	17	47	2	.288	.346	.471
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Home/Away Batting Splits

Since 2022

+5%

OPS on Road

2024

-100%

OPS on Road

2023

+7%

OPS at Home

2022

+18%

OPS on Road

	OPS	PA	R	HR	RBI	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG
Since 2022Home	.791	667	82	21	75	2	.275	.352	.438
Since 2022Away	.830	710	83	23	83	1	.287	.366	.463
2024Home	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2024Away	.661	8	2	0	0	0	.286	.375	.286
2023Home	.803	353	48	11	48	1	.270	.360	.443
2023Away	.747	371	41	6	34	0	.253	.361	.386
2022Home	.778	314	34	10	27	1	.280	.344	.434
2022Away	.919	331	40	17	49	1	.322	.372	.547
More Splits→	View More Split Stats

Stat Review

How does Nathaniel Lowe compare to other hitters?

This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.

BB/K
Walk to strikeout ratio
BB Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
K Rate
The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
BABIP
Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
ISO
Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
AVG
Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
OBP
On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
SLG
Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
OPS
On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
wOBA
Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
Exit Velocity
The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
Hard Hit Rate
A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
Barrels/PA
The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
Expected BA
Expected Batting Average.
Expected SLG
Expected Slugging Percentage.
Sprint Speed
The speed of a runner from home to first, in feet per second.
Ground Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are on the ground.
Line Drive %
The percentage of balls put in play that are line drives.
Fly Ball %
The percentage of balls put in play that are fly balls.

BB/K

0.33

BB Rate

12.5%

K Rate

37.5%

BABIP

.500

ISO

.000

AVG

.286

OBP

.375

SLG

.286

OPS

.661

wOBA

.309

Exit Velocity

87.8 mph

Hard Hit Rate

50.0%

Barrels/PA

0.0%

Expected BA

.191

Expected SLG

.273

Sprint Speed

22.5 ft/sec

Ground Ball %

50.0%

Line Drive %

50.0%

Fly Ball %

0.0%

Prospect Rankings History

View Complete Nathaniel Lowe Prospect Ranking History

Advanced Batting Stats

Loading Advanced Batting Stats...

Additional Stats

Games By Position

Defensive Stats

Loading Games Played by Position...

Loading MLB Defensive Stats...

Batted Ball Stats

Loading Batted Ball Stats...

Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers

Want more matchup stats?

View Nathaniel Lowe vs. Pitcher Stats

Loading Matchup Stats...

Rangers Depth Chart

Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.

Subscribe Now

Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nathaniel Lowe See More

Weekly Hitter Rankings: Throwing Shade

3 days ago

Juan Soto is one of the hottest hitters in baseball, and his New York Yankees are one of the teams playing a full seven games, as Todd Zola digs in with his Weekly Hitter Ranking for April 21-27.

Lineup Lowdown: American League

6 days ago

With Anthony Volpe vaulting up to the top of the New York Yankees' lineup, Ryan Boyer delivers Lineup Lowdown, with trends and movement up and down American League lineups.

AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week

16 days ago

Erik Siegrist reviews the available talent in the American League as the baseball world waits to see what Ronel Blanco can do for an encore.

Lineup Lowdown: American League

20 days ago

Wyatt Langford of the Texas Rangers is one of the featured players in Lineup Lowdown, with this week Ryan Boyer stepping in with the American League.

AL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week

23 days ago

Erik Siegrist checks out the free-agent pool in the AL after the first handful of games and isn't quite ready to go all in on a potential Jared Walsh comeback.

Latest Fantasy Rumors

Fruitful position

1BTexas Rangers

April 26, 2023

Across 105 plate appearances, Lowe has left 53 runners on base -- second most in MLB.

ANALYSIS
Lowe has spent all of his plate appearances hitting third for the Rangers, and there's little reason to change it up with the Rangers averaging a league-leading 6.57 runs per game. Lowe's RBI total should be on the rise in the weeks and months to come.

See All MLB Rumors

Past Fantasy Outlooks

2023

2022

2021

2020

2019

Lowe had a surprisingly terrific fantasy season in his second full season at the major leagues setting career highs nearly across the board. The .302 batting average was a huge surprise given he is not the quickest of players, but 19 infield hits on mostly weakly hit balls against the shift certainly helped push his batting average up this season. He also finally showed more consistent loft in his swing, and while he still has a 1.5:1 grounder to flyball ratio, that is an improvement over the 2.0 level he was living at in previous seasons. He has always been an excellent hitter when ahead in the count, but 2022 was the first time he wasn't futile when down in the count. Lowe hit .281 in such situations this past season going .179 in such situations previously. If you are banking on him hitting near .300 again, factor in that data point as well as the infield hits with the shifting rules changing. Draft for run production and level set your batting average projections a tercile lower.

In Lowe's first full MLB season, his output was acceptable. The 18 homers were disappointing from a first baseman, but he contributed eight steals after stealing five total in his five previous seasons. Hitting the ball hard is not the issue, with most of his Statcast hard-hit metrics in the league's top 25%. Instead, his power production will be limited if he continues to post a 55 GB%, a number that kept ballooning as the season went on (59.4 GB% in the second half, 62.8% in September). On the other hand, he did show a nice improvement in his plate discipline with his walk rate up and his strikeouts down from 36.8% to 25.2%. He's sort of morphing into an Eric Hosmer clone. His profile has been bouncing around, so it's tough to get a read on his future value. There is some hope for upside if he raises his launch angle and becomes more of a 30-homer hitter. Roster him late if you want but be ready to move on quickly if changes don't come.

Lowe opened the year at the Rays' alternate training site despite having demonstrated he can handle major-league pitching by posting a .779 OPS in 50 games the season prior. Injuries created a need for a corner bat, and Lowe was promoted Aug. 2. He started slow, slashing .071/.235/.143 over his first six games before closing on fire with a .409/.500/.864 line, though Lowe fanned at a 42% clip over those final seven games. Tampa Bay traded Lowe to Texas in December and he's slated to be the Rangers' regular first baseman. Lowe has proven all he can at the Triple-A level, but he's been unable to carry the contact shown in the minors to the major-league level. When he hits the ball, Lowe has made a lot of hard contact with a good mix of flyballs and groundballs to aid both average and power. It's speculative, but there are ample positive signs to take a late flier on Lowe at corner or utility.

Lowe appeared in his first 50 MLB games in 2019, holding his own with a .263/.325/.454 slash line (good for a 107 wRC+) and seven homers. On most teams that would be enough for him to at least start on the strong side of a platoon, but with Ji-Man Choi and Yoshitomo Tsutsugo already in the fold as left-handed hitters at the bottom of the defensive spectrum, Lowe could be ticketed for Triple-A. Scouts like both his power and contact, and he managed a strong .289/.421/.508 line in 93 games for Triple-A Durham. His plate discipline was particularly noteworthy over that stretch, as he posted a 17.7 BB% and a 20.2 K%, far better than his 7.7 BB% and 29.6 K% in the majors. He had an .888 OPS in 178 PA against same-handed pitching at Triple-A, so a move to a less platoon-happy organization would be a boon for his fantasy value. If the Rays stand pat, it could mean another year of inconsistent playing time.

Prior to 2018, Lowe’s claim to fame was being the older brother of Josh Lowe, the Rays’ selection with the No. 13 overall pick in 2016. Nathaniel was less heralded, transferring from Mercer to St. Johns River State College to Mississippi State before Tampa selected him in the 13th round in 2016. As an older first baseman with minimal pedigree, he wasn’t considered much of a prospect until he exploded in his third pro season. Lowe was the best hitter in the Florida State League (191 wRC+), got promoted to Double-A, was the best hitter in the Southern League (193 wRC+), and finally got challenged after a promotion to Triple-A. His walk rate dipped (15.6% to 7.3%), his strikeout rate spiked (13.3% to 24.5%) and his pull rate jumped by 11%. If he can recapture the patient, all-fields, flyball-oriented approach he showed at Double-A, Lowe will look the part of a big-league cleanup hitter. If not, there is some Quadruple-A hitter risk.

More Fantasy News

Returns from IL

1BTexas Rangers

April 20, 2024

The Rangers reinstated Lowe (oblique) from the 10-day injured list Saturday.

ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

May not return this weekend

1BTexas Rangers

Oblique

April 18, 2024

Rangers manager Bruce Bochy said Wednesday that Lowe (oblique) will need "about 30 [at-bats], could be more" during his minor-league rehab assignment before returning from the 10-day injured list, Shawn McFarland of The Dallas Morning News reports.

ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

Ready for rehab assignment

1BTexas Rangers

Oblique

April 11, 2024

Lowe (oblique) is scheduled to begin a rehab assignment Friday with Double-A Frisco, Jeff Wilson of RangersToday.com reports.

ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

Begins batting practice

1BTexas Rangers

Oblique

April 10, 2024

Lowe (oblique) took live batting practice and ran the bases Wednesday, Kennedi Landry of MLB.com reports.

ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.

Rehab games coming soon?

1BTexas Rangers

Oblique

April 8, 2024

Lowe (oblique) could be cleared to begin a rehab assignment after taking live batting practice Tuesday and Wednesday, Evan Grant of The Dallas Morning News reports.

ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.