The weather is starting to clear up ahead of Mondayís games, but there are still possible postponements to worry about, so Iím skipping games in the northeast. That leaves little wiggle room in terms of pitching, which is why Iím rolling with one consistent and one high-upside arm.
Blake Snell, TB vs. TEX ($41): If the weather was different, Jacob deGrom may be in this spot. Instead, Iím going with an extremely inconsistent arm in Snell, who has been all over in early starts. He had 10 strikeouts last start and gave up zero runs against Boston, but he also only had two Ks against the Red Sox and gave up five runs to the Yankees. For this matchup, the Rangers havenít hit southpaws well with an early .293 wOBA, which is on par with Boston. The Rays are 3-12, yet are still a decent favorite in this matchup and thatís a good reason to back Snell.
Jaime Garcia, TOR vs. KC ($35): Iím going with another lefty mainly because the Royals have been brutal against them this season with a .289 wOBA and 27.1 K%. Garcia has done enough in his first two starts to hold fantasy value (12 Ks) and thereís a good chance he can do the same again, especially against a roster that has scored more than four runs just twice this season.
Wilson Ramos, TB vs. TEX ($9): Ramos hasnít done anything against southpaws this season, but 2017ís .335 wOBA and 12.3 K% will show up at some point. That could easily be against Martin Perez, who was blasted for eight runs in his last start and has allowed 19 hits in his first two outings. Even better, Perez had a wretched 5.12 xFIP against righties last season.
Steve Pearce, TOR vs. KC ($14): No one on the Jays has been easy to trust, but Pearce at least provides power, which will come in handy for this matchup. Heís crushed southpaws early this season and thatís backed up by last yearís .230 ISO. Eric Skoglund was beat up in his only start (4.2 IP, 5 ER, 1 K) and it was the same case last season in limited appearances with a .459 wOBA allowed against 95 righties faced.
Yoan Moncada, CWS at OAK ($14): The rain should be gone by nighttime in Oakland, which is great for anyone looking to stack against Daniel Mengden. The righty got his first win last time out, but he still doesnít have a quality start and has allowed 19 hits and 11 runs in three outings. Moncada has hit righties much better the last couple years with a .335 wOBA standing out and that number was at .348 with a .212 ISO in 2017.
Matt Chapman, OAK vs. CWS ($21): I needed to spend my money somewhere and Chapman is a good place to go. Heís been one of the best hitters in the early season and is sporting a stout .359 wOBA and .277 ISO against righties since coming into the league last year. Reynaldo Lopez pitched well against the Tigers and Blue Jays, but the Aís have been one of the best against righties early on. Lopez has only allowed one run in two starts, although his career 4.78 xFIP against righties should help Chapman and company.
Corey Seager, LAD at SD ($12): With Robbie Erlin getting the start (in place of suspended Luis Perdomo), this is a good spot to go cheap. Erlin has pitched mostly in relief since 2014 so his numbers are sparse, but to back this lefty-lefty matchup, he has a .331 wOBA allowed against lefties in his career (194 batters faced). As for Seager, he was better against southpaws last season with a solid .389 wOBA and .201 ISO.
Kevin Pillar, TOR vs. KC ($14): Itís almost a must to grab at least two bats against Skoglund. He has a 0.0 K-BB% against righties over the last two years and thatís seen in his 6.71 xFIP. The Jays donít have a ton of big bats and thatís why Pillar comes at a nice price. Itís still hard to deny last seasonís .395 wOBA and .224 ISO against lefty hurlers.
Nicky Delmonico, CWS at OAK ($12): Hereís another value bat to use against Mengden.
Delmonico hasnít repeated last yearís performance, but he still has a solid .367 wOBA against righties the last two seasons with eight of his 10 homers coming against them. In addition to Mengdenís early struggles, he sports mediocre numbers across the board since coming into the league with 4.34 xFIP against lefty bats.
Odubel Herrera, PHI at ATL ($15): Herrera is having a nice start to the season with most of his hits coming against righties (five doubles). Thatís an improvement over last season and more in line with his career .344 wOBA. Julio Teheran has had control issues already with 10 walks in his first three starts, which is building off last yearís 9.7 K-BB%, the lowest mark of his career. Heís also much worse against lefties highlighted by last seasonís 5.56 xFIP.