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Yahoo DFS Baseball: Wednesday Picks

Sasha Yodashkin

Sasha Yodashkin writes about fantasy sports for RotoWire.

Wednesday's all-day MLB slate features all 30 teams and begins at 12:10 PM Eastern time, so get those lineups in bright and early. The recommended pitchers below are both priced at $37 despite being primed to keep up with the options priced above $40, and right-handed hitters on both the Cardinals and Marlins are in position to exploit favorable matchups.

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Mike Montgomery, CHC at MIL ($37):
Don't be fooled by Montgomery's low points-per-game average, as most of his work this season has come out of the bullpen. He's made it known that he wants to be a starter, however, and Montgomery's backed up that claim with 17.2 innings of two-run ball through three starts filling in for Yu Darvish (triceps). While his season strikeout rate is a putrid 14.2 percent, Montgomery's career 18.4 percent mark suggests he's due for some positive regression against a Brewers lineup that ranks middle of the pack offensively and strikes out more than league average.

Sonny Gray, NYY vs. WAS ($37): Gray's a bit underrated due to his slow start, but he's turned things around with just one run allowed on six hits over 14 innings and 14:2 K:BB in his past two starts. His 4.81 ERA is also primed to come down closer to his career 3.55 mark, making this matchup with a Nationals lineup that has been just middling in runs per game a nice buy-low opportunity for a proven pitcher that's on the upswing.

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Yadier Molina, STL vs. SD ($14):
Molina's veteran experience should come in handy against rookie left-hander Eric Lauer, who has struggled with control (12.3 percent walk rate) and getting right-handed hitters out (.409 wOBA allowed). While Molina's underwhelmed over a 25 at-bat sample against lefties in 2018, his .347 wOBA in that split last season suggests he's due to pick it up and this is a terrific opportunity to do so.


Jose Martinez, STL vs. SD ($26):
Martinez costs quite a bit more than his teammate Molina, but it's easy to justify paying up for the red-hot first baseman given his recent form and history of success against lefties. Since finally cracking the majors in 2016, Martinez has racked up 107 at-bats against left-handed pitching while posting a monstrous .478 wOBA over that sample. Don't expect Lauer to slow him down.


Starlin Castro, MIA vs. SF ($15):
Castro has been operating out of the leadoff spot since the start of June, maximizing his plate appearances. The right-handed slugger has a .334 season wOBA against lefties, and that number is primed to rise further with underwhelming southpaw Andrew Suarez on the mound for the Giants. Suarez has allowed a .372 wOBA to the 143 right-handed hitters he's faced this season.


Brian Anderson, MIA vs. SF ($17):
Anderson made a statement with two doubles and a home run in Monday's series opener. Judging by Anderson's .393 season wOBA against southpaws and Suarez's aforementioned struggles, the young third baseman is well positioned to post a similar performance here.


Xander Bogaerts, BOS at BAL ($20):
Bogaerts has fared well in righty-on-righty matchups, producing a .359 wOBA that's right in line with his .366 mark against lefties. He faces a vulnerable right-hander here in Baltimore's Andrew Cashner, who has surrendered a .404 wOBA to batters from the right side this season.


Matt Kemp, LAD vs. TEX ($19):
Kemp has thrived through 65 at-bats against lefties this season, posting a .435 wOBA. Look for him to keep rolling against Texas left-hander Cole Hamels, who looks like a shell of his former self. Right-handed hitters have raised their wOBA against Hamels in every season since 2014 and are up to .334 so far in 2018.

Charlie Blackmon, COL at PHI ($19): Blackmon has a .389 wOBA against righties this season, and that number surprisingly jumps to .415 on the road. Phillies starter Nick Pivetta is going to have a hard time getting in the way of that success given his recent struggles -- Pivetta's failed to last more than five innings in any of his past three starts while posting a 5.79 ERA over that stretch.

Brandon Nimmo, NYM at ATL ($22): Nimmo has been one of the few bright spots on offense for the Mets this season, posting an excellent .458 wOBA through 105 at-bats against righties while batting in the top third of the order. Look for him to keep rolling against Braves starter Mike Soroka, who has just three major-league appearances under his belt and is just coming off the disabled list due to a shoulder injury.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Sasha Yodashkin plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: Youngsash, DraftKings: Yashdogg,Yahoo: Sasha, Fanball: Yashdogg.