J.J. Redick
J.J. Redick
34-Year-Old GuardG
Philadelphia 76ers
2018 Fantasy Outlook
Redick, who had previously played four consecutive seasons with the Clippers, joined the 76ers last offseason on a lucrative one-year, $23 million contract. The expectation was that he'd be a valuable mentor to some of the younger players on the roster, while also providing instant offense when the Sixers found themselves in a slump. Redick certainly filled that role admirably and actually out-performed many expectations. He averaged a career-high 17.1 points, which slotted him second on the team behind Joel Embiid and just above Ben Simmons. In addition, Redick remained just as effective with his trademarked three-point shooting, hitting 2.8 deep balls per game at a scorching hot 42.0 percent clip from deep. He's now posted four straight seasons shooting over 40 percent from deep and he also remained extremely efficient from the free-throw line (90.4 percent). After considering bolting to a new team this offseason, Redick opted to re-sign with the Sixers and should continue to provide an offensive weapon that can hit shots from all over the floor. With Embiid and Simmons potentially taking another step forward, as well as the potential to get former No. 1 overall pick Markelle Fultz, who missed all but 14 games last season, into the regular backcourt rotation, there's a decent chance Redick isn't able to provide as high of a scoring total as he did last year. He also doesn't provide much when it comes to the ancillary stats, so that hurts his utility in some leagues. That said, he boasts extremely high percentages and he finished 11th in the league in three-pointers made last year, so he'll still be draftable in the later rounds of most formats. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a one-year, $12.25 million contract with the 76ers in July of 2018.
Records 22 points in 35 minutes
GPhiladelphia 76ers
December 14, 2018
Redick posted 22 points (8-19 FG, 4-12 3Pt, 2-2 FT), three assists, and one block in 35 minutes Friday in Philadelphia's loss to Indiana.
ANALYSIS
Redick is in the midst of his worst shooting season since joining the NBA in 2006, but he is averaging a career-high in points per game (18.2). He has shot 35-percent from beyond-the-arc so far this season after eclipsing the 40-percent threshold for four straight seasons. It's worth noting that the veteran sharpshooter is also taking more three's this season than ever before (7.8 attempts per game), more than an attempt per game higher than his previous career-high. Redick plays a crucial role on this 76ers team as their primary space-creator and will continue to see opportunities on offense.
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
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Redick signed a big money, one-year contract to join the young 76ers. While some of his appeal was his ability to serve as a veteran mentor, the sharpshooter entering his 12th season is likely to see significant usage as part of a 76ers team that has legitimate playoff ambitions. Redick perfectly fills a need in the 76ers depth chart as a floor-spacing shooting guard – the only position where the 76ers lacked a recent lottery pick. He is likely to start, though defensive ace Robert Covington could cut into Redick’s minutes. Redick left one of the best offenses in the league, though the 76ers have enough raw talent to distract opposing defenses. Nonetheless, starting alongside a collection of rookies and sophomores will likely lead to decreased efficiency numbers from Redick, though his total offensive production may benefit. He has averaged at least 15.0 points and 2.6 threes for each of the past three seasons.
At age 31, Redick turned in the best season of his 10-year career, averaging 16.3 points per game on 48 percent shooting from the field and a league-leading 47.5 percent from three-point range. The former Duke standout doesn’t provide much value in counting stat categories outside of scoring, but his stellar shooting percentages, which extended to the free-throw line, where he shot 88.8 percent a season ago, make him a valuable fantasy commodity. Considering Redick a career 41.2 percent shooter from beyond the arc, a decline is certainly possible from last year’s stellar mark, though even if he regresses by a few percentage points, he’d still rank among the league’s best perimeter marksmen. The Clippers made only minor tweaks to last year’s roster, so Redick’s role as the starting shooting guard won’t be threatened. Veteran Jamal Crawford is a capable bench option, but at some point his workload (26.9 minutes per game last season) may be reduced as he enters his age-36 season with nearly 34,000 career minutes under his belt.
Redick looks to reprise his role in the Clippers' starting lineup alongside Chris Paul in 2015-16. The 31-year-old veteran guard is entering his 10th season after playing 78 games and averaging a career-high 16.4 points as well as 2.1 rebounds, 1.8 assists, and 2.6 three-pointers in 31 minutes per game last season. Redick not only topped his career bests in points and three-pointers, but also posted the most efficient year of his career. He flirted with the 50-40-90 club, shooting 48 percent from the field, 90 percent from the free-throw line, and 44 percent from three-point territory. Redick's value as a fantasy option can be called into question, as his elite production across all shooting categories is offset by his low contributions in points, rebounds, and defensive stats (Redick averaged 0.5 steals and 0.1 blocks per game respectively in 2014-15). Still, Redick provides valuable contributions as a three-point specialist. While he is slated to remain the starting shooting guard in Los Angeles, the Clippers' offseason addition of guard Lance Stephenson puts Redick's playing time somewhat up in the air. It remains to be seen whether Stephenson will return to his 2013-14 form after an underwhelming one-year stint in Charlotte, but the 25-year-old could take minutes from Redick and fellow guard Jamal Crawford. With more depth in the Los Angeles backcourt, Redick could potentially see fewer minutes in the upcoming season.
Redick should slot in as the starting shooting guard in the Clippers' potent offense. He compliments Chris Paul nicely and capitalizes on his three-point opportunities. Redick should continue to be an efficient contributor in free-throw percentage (92%) and three-pointers this season. Last season, he averaged 15.2 points, 2.1 rebounds, 2.2 assists, 0.8 steals, and 2.1 three-pointers in 28 minutes per game through 35 games played. There's a good chance that Redick's value could take a leap this season with Darren Collison no longer in town and simply because Redick will hopefully be more healthy this season. He only played in 35 games last season due to elbow, wrist, knee, and back injuries, and when he did play, Redick was only given 28 minutes per game. It's possible that his low minutes average was a result of his injuries, and if that's true, we could see Redick average 30-plus minutes this season.
Called upon to shoulder a greater scoring burden for a rebuilding Magic squad early last season, Redick averaged 15.1 points and 4.4 assists while shooting a healthy 45 percent from the field before he was traded to the Bucks at the deadline. Redick struggled to replicate the production he showed with the Magic while playing behind top backcourt scorers Brandon Jennings and Monta Ellis, but he looks to be a better fit with the Clippers after he was acquired by the team in a sign-and-trade in the offseason. Working as a complement on the wing to a true point guard in Chris Paul, Redick won't be asked to be anything more than a specialist with the Clippers, serving as the team's designated sharpshooter. The threat of Paul as a penetrator should afford Redick plenty of open looks while opposing defenses scramble to help out on Paul, thus boosting Redick's shooting percentages from the field and three-point land. Expect a dip in his minutes and his counting statistics as a result of the increased level of talent surrounding him, but Redick figures to be more efficient than ever since he won't be asked to be a primary perimeter scorer.
Though it might have gotten lost in all the hysteria surrounding the Dwight Howard trade talks, Redick put together the best season of his career in 2010-11, scoring 11.6 points to go along with 2.5 assists and 2.3 rebounds per game. As always, Redick’s success was predicated on his much-ballyhooed shooting stroke, as he turned in marks of 41.8 percent from three and 91.1 percent from the free-throw line. With Howard now finally traded, Redick looks like one of the few salvageable pieces on a rebuilding roster that includes expendable veterans such as Al Harrington, Hedo Turkoglu and Quentin Richardson. Working against Redick’s favor is the presence of Arron Afflalo, another player the Magic will attempt to build around but a player that shares the same position as Redick. As a result, Redick will most likely come off the bench, a role he’s probably best suited for. That won’t necessarily equate to a decline in the 27.2 minutes per game he received last season, however. The hapless Magic will probably be trailing on most nights and will need someone to shoot them back into games, a scenario in which Redick would almost certainly receive extended time. It’s well within his ability to bring a team back on certain nights, though it won’t happen nearly often enough to offset the other deficiencies in his game, particularly on defense.
Redick started his offseason with abdominal surgery in May, although he’s fully recovered. Redick has established himself as a solid NBA player and can do more than simply stroke the three. He has displayed an ability to put the ball on the floor and attack the hoop on occasion, and he needs to keep doing this to create more space on the perimeter. After posting a solid 10.1 points per game off the bench last year, Redick will be the first wing off the bench and contribute similarly this year.
Redick has actually done a kind of commendable thing in his four-year NBA career – which is not only to accept a considerably smaller role than his college stardom would've prepared him for, and not only to deal with receiving considerably fewer minutes in his second season than in his first, but actually to fashion himself into a decent NBA role player along the way. By almost every measure, 2009-10 was Redick's best in the NBA, as the guard set career highs with 9.6 points per game, 1.4 treys, a 40.5 three-point percentage, and so on. Were he to receive something like starter's minutes, there's a possibility that he could be rosterable. Of course, with his defensive shortcomings and incumbent shooting guard Vince Carter ahead of him on the depth chart in Orlando, the likelihood of that happening is low.
Redick is coming off the most-productive season of his career. He saw action in 64 games and even started five of those. Redick will be the best shooter on Orlando's roster this season, so expect him to get some playing time in most games. Redick can hit some threes and will always have an above-average free throw percentage, but he won't provide much in the other fantasy categories.
Redick just can't seem to find a way off Orlando's bench, mainly because Van Gundy has said that Redick won't see playing time until his defense improves. Orlando's other shooting guards are better defensively than Redick, so don't expect him to play much.
Redick struggled through his rookie season, battling injuries and not seeing much playing time. However, as he did in college, he worked hard in the offseason to improve his game. He isn't very quick and isn't a very good defender, but there aren't many guys in the league with a better long-range shot. If he plays about 25 minutes a game, he could score at least 10 points per game and put up good three-point numbers and percentages. A lot of his numbers will depend on if he starts or comes off the bench, which the Magic have yet to determine.
A prolific college scorer, but can his game translate well to the NBA game? His size could be a problem, but don't count him out yet. He worked extremely hard his senior year on creating his own shot, and is deadly if given any room to shoot.
More Fantasy News
Drops team-high 24 points Sunday
GPhiladelphia 76ers
December 2, 2018
Redick compiled 24 points (9-17 FG, 3-6 3Pt, 3-3 FT), and three rebounds in 30 minutes during Sunday's 103-95 victory over the Grizzlies.
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Lights out in easy win
GPhiladelphia 76ers
November 29, 2018
Redick had 24 points (10-14 FG, 4-6 3Pt), two rebounds, and two assists in 26 minutes during Wednesday's 117-91 victory over the Knicks.
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Scores 23 in loss Friday
GPhiladelphia 76ers
November 23, 2018
Redick finished with 23 points (5-11 FG, 4-8 3Pt, 9-9 FT) and four assists across 27 minutes in Friday's 121-112 loss to the Cavaliers.
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Drops 23 in OT win over Hornets
GPhiladelphia 76ers
November 18, 2018
Redick scored 23 points (9-17 FG, 5-11 3Pt) while adding one rebound, one assist and one block in 30 minutes during Saturday's 122-119 overtime win over the Hornets.
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Scores team-high 22 in loss to Magic
GPhiladelphia 76ers
November 15, 2018
Redick scored 22 points (8-13 FG, 4-7 3Pt, 2-2 FT) while adding six assists and four rebounds in 33 minutes during Wednesday's 111-106 loss to the Magic.
ANALYSIS
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