Danny Green, SAN at DEN ($12): With so many question marks in San Antonio right now, Green makes for a great value at this price. The Spurs are tough to trust on back-to-backs, but Green is usually one of the only sure bets to play in those circumstances. LaMarcus Aldridge and Kawhi Leonard have already been ruled out, while the likes of Tony Parker, Dejounte Murray and Pau Gasol may be rested in this situation. Green is averaging 26 fantasy points per game across his last five outings.
Yogi Ferrell, DAL vs. SAC ($10): This is one of the most shocking prices on the board, as Ferrell is much more of a $20 player than a minimum-priced one. The last 16 games are where his role really has changed, as he's averaging 32.3 minutes per game in that span. That's a huge role from a minimum player, and it doesn't even take into consideration the fact that he's had at least 29 fantasy points in seven of those games.
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Guard to Avoid
Kyle Lowry, TOR vs. MIA ($30): Lowry is in a huge slump right now and using him against an elite defense like the Heat is too risky for my liking. Lowry has only surpassed 30 fantasy points only once in his last five games, as he's averaging 27 fantasy points per game in that span. That's not good enough from a $30 player, as he faces a Miami defense that ranks third in total defense. Lowry also hasnít played more than 27 minutes in any of those aforementioned five games.
Harrison Barnes, DAL vs. SAC ($24): Barnes is in a minor slump right now, but it's lowered his price to this attractive number. A player priced at $24 would typically be averaging about 25 fantasy points per game, but Barnes is averaging over 30 fantasy points per game. He leads this team in scoring, shots taken and minutes played. The best part about this play may be the matchup, with the Kings ranking 29th in total defense.
Davis Bertans, SAN at DEN ($10): With LaMarcus Aldridge already ruled out, Bertans should be in for a big game. Not only did he start on Monday in this same circumstance,but he could also benefit from other veterans being rested Tuesday on the second half of a back-to-back. Bertans has been great when given the minutes, averaging nearly 20 fantasy points per game over his last 20 outings, while playing nearly 24 minutes a game in that span.
Forward to Avoid
Taj Gibson, MIN vs. HOU ($21): Gibson is as solid as any player in the league, but his ceiling is too limited to trust in DFS. Gibson hasnít surpassed 26 fantasy points in six straight games, despite playing 32 minutes per game in that span. That's a poor fantasy-point-to-minutes-played ratio, and it could become even tougher against a Rockets defense that allows the fewest fantasy points to opposing power forwards.
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Clint Capela, HOU at MIN ($32): Capela is in the best stretch of his career right now, and his price has yet to rise to where it should be. Not only is he coming off a career-best 58 fantasy points two games ago, but Capela is averaging 43 fantasy points per game across his last seven outings. That directly correlates with Chris Paul and James Harden both being healthy, as those two run the best pick-and-roll in the NBA with Capela getting easy basket after easy basket.
Dewayne Dedmon, ATL at MIL ($15): Dedmon regained the starting center job in his most recent game and promptly dropped 47 fantasy points in his second-best game of the year, production-wise. He is now averaging 23.4 fantasy points per game for the season, which is an outlandish number for a $15 player.
Center to Avoid
Pau Gasol, SAN at DEN ($20): Gasol is always a favorite to be rested in the second half of a back-to-back set and the fact that heís scored 24 or fewer fantasy points in four of his last five games is more reason to avoid him Tuesday. Gasol erupted for a 15-point, 15-rebound double-double Monday night, but using Dedmon at $15 is a much better bet in my mind.