Tyreek Hill
Tyreek Hill
25-Year-Old Wide ReceiverWR
Kansas City Chiefs
2018 Fantasy Outlook
People were puzzled when the Chiefs released their No. 1 outside receiver Jeremy Maclin last year. Now we know why. Despite playing with a QB known more for avoiding errors than generating big plays down the field, Hill led the NFL with nine catches of 40-plus yards on only 105 total targets (T-29th). Not surprisingly, he also led the league with 11.3 YPT and was sixth with 15.8 YPC. At 5-10, 185, Hill is small but lightning quick, as dangerous as any player in the league in open space, and reportedly ran a blistering 4.24 40 at his college pro day, i.e., he's arguably the fastest player in the NFL. The downside for Hill is his lack of red-zone work - only four of his targets came from that area, so he has to do his damage from distance. While he managed seven TDs on a modest target total, there's far more variance when you're reliant on 40-yard TDs than when you post up at the goal line for short tosses. Accordingly, unless the Chiefs target him more from in close - something that's unlikely, given the presence of elite TE Travis Kelce and other bigger receivers like newly signed Sammy Watkins - Hill could range anywhere from four to 10 scores in 2018, the same way DeSean Jackson has during his career. Hill might see a slight boost to his stats as a gadget-play rusher, though last year (17 carries for 59 yards) he was far less successful in that role than in 2016 (24-267-3). Of course, the biggest wild card for Hill is the loss of QB Alex Smith, who despite his reputation for caution took advantage of Hill's skills. Second-year man Pat Mahomes is less polished, but he'll buy extra time with his athleticism, and he has a cannon for an arm, making Hill a good bet to lead the league in big plays again in 2018. Just don't expect a spike in volume, as Watkins will almost certainly see more targets than the departed Albert Wilson. Read Past Outlooks
$Signed a four-year, $2.59 million contract with the Chiefs in May of 2016.
Banned indefinitely from team
WRKansas City Chiefs
April 26, 2019
The Chiefs announced Thursday that Hill has been banned indefinitely from all team activities after an audio recording surfaced in which the receiver's fiancee accused him of abusing their three-year-old son, Adam Teicher of ESPN.com reports. "We were deeply disturbed by what we heard [on the recorded conversation]," general manager Brett Veach said. "We were deeply concerned. Now obviously we have great concern for [Hill's fiancee] Crystal [Espinal]. We are greatly concerned for Tyreek. But our main focus, our main concern, is with the young child."
ANALYSIS
KCTV in Kansas City aired a portion of the 11-minute audio file shortly before the start of the NFL Draft on Thursday, with Veach commenting on behalf of the Chiefs after the conclusion of the first round. The recording was made public one day after Johnson County (Kan.) District Attorney Stephen M. Howe ruled that charges wouldn't be filed against the 25-year-old after police investigated two incidents in March that occurred at Hill's Overland Park home. After Veach's announcement, Hill is no longer able to participate in the Chiefs' voluntary offseason workouts, and it's unclear when or if the team-imposed ban might be lifted. Commissioner Roger Goodell also said Thursday the league is in the midst of its own investigation into the March incidents, so it's possible that Hill could be assessed punishment from the NFL if it's determined that he violated the personal conduct policy.
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NFL Stats
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Fantasy/Red Zone Stats
See red zone opportunities inside the 20, 10 and 5-yard lines along with the percentage of time they converted the opportunity into a touchdown.
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Advanced NFL Stats
How do Tyreek Hill's 2018 advanced stats compare to other wide receivers?
This section compares his advanced stats with players at the same position. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that metric and it would be considered average. The longer the bar, the better it is for the player.
  • Air Yards Per Game
    The number of air yards he is averaging per game. Air yards measure how far the ball was thrown downfield for both complete and incomplete passes. Air yards are recorded as a negative value when the pass is targeted behind the line of scrimmage. All air yards data is from Sports Info Solutions and does not include throwaways as targeted passes.
  • Air Yards Per Snap
    The number of air yards he is averaging per offensive snap.
  • % Team Air Yards
    The percentage of the team's total air yards he accounts for.
  • % Team Targets
    The percentage of the team's total targets he accounts for.
  • Avg Depth of Target
    Also known as aDOT, this stat measures the average distance down field he is being targeted at.
  • Catch Rate
    The number of catches made divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Drop Rate
    The number of passes he dropped divided by the number of times he was targeted by the quarterback.
  • Avg Yds After Catch
    The number of yards he gains after the catch on his receptions.
Air Yards Per Game
126.7
 
Air Yards Per Snap
2.23
 
% Team Air Yards
40.6%
 
% Team Targets
24.3%
 
Avg Depth of Target
14.8 Yds
 
Catch Rate
63.5%
 
Drop Rate
6.6%
 
Avg Yds After Catch
6.3
 
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Snap Distribution / Depth Chart
Kansas City ChiefsChiefs 2018 WR Snap Distribution See more data like this
% of Team Snaps

1023
0
882
0
590
0
431
0
45
0
36
0
36
0
26
0
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Receiving Alignment Breakdown
See where Tyreek Hill lined up on the field and how he performed at each spot.
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Tyreek Hill
Mock Draft Musings: Standard Edition
5 days ago
Logan Larson couldn't pass on the upside of getting Todd Gurley at No. 10 overall, but Logan does wonder what might've been if he'd taken a slightly different approach.
NFL Draft: The Leftovers
16 days ago
Jerry Donabedian takes a look at undrafted players from the 2019 rookie class, hoping to find the next Phillip Lindsay, Gus Edwards or Robert Foster.
Dynasty Watch: Post-Draft Rankings
22 days ago
It's rare to find a rookie class where a quarterback warrants the top overall spot, but Kyler Murray offers stability in a class otherwise lacking it.
NFL Draft: Day 2 Fantasy Fallout
24 days ago
John McKechnie offers his analysis on the receivers and running backs taken on Day 2. Mecole Hardman could be one of Patrick Mahomes' top targets, his stock among rookies soaring.
Mario Mock
Mario Mock
31 days ago
31 days ago
The popular theory of the moment is that Duke's Daniel Jones will go ahead of Ohio State's Dwayne Haskins, but this mock rejects the possibility.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2017
2016
The cautionary comp here is Cordarrelle Patterson, a dynamic, versatile rookie that turned out to be everything except a competent wide receiver. Apparently, coach Andy Reid isn't concerned -- this spring he said he'd like to get Hill more targets, and why not? Hill scored 12 times despite totaling only 107 touches from scrimmage last season, and while almost all of his pass-catching opportunities came on short throws, he impressively hauled in 61 of his 83 targets (73 percent, 6th). Hill also had 24 carries for 267 yards and three touchdowns, with another trio of scores as a return man. At 5-10, 185, Hill is small but reportedly ran a 4.24 40 at his Pro Day, and he's as quick as anyone in the league. The Chiefs apparently have high hopes for the second-year speedster, who likely will take over as the team's No. 1 wide receiver after Jeremy Maclin was cut in June. TE Travis Kelce could be the primary pass catcher, and fellow wideout Chris Conley also figures to benefit, but Maclin's release still speaks volumes about Kansas City's confidence in Hill. And while his size might serve to limit his red-zone opportunities, Hill did draw 15 targets in the area last season, though he converted only three into touchdowns. The only downside is that his role on special teams likely will be scaled back.
Character issues led to a big drop in the NFL Draft but Hill ran a blazing self-reported 4.24 40-yard dash at his Pro Day and has impressed early in camp. The rookie was listed as the team’s top punt returner on the initial depth chart release, but seems unlikely to see consistent playing time on offense this season.
More Fantasy News
Won't be charged
WRKansas City Chiefs
April 24, 2019
Johnson County (Kan.) District Attorney Steve Howe ruled Wednesday that neither Hill nor his fiancee will be charged with a crime in connection with a pair of domestic incidents involving their son, the Associated Press reports.
ANALYSIS
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Showing up for voluntary workouts
WRKansas City Chiefs
April 15, 2019
Hill will be present Monday for the beginning of the Chiefs' voluntary offseason program, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports.
ANALYSIS
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Still under investigation
WRKansas City Chiefs
March 26, 2019
Coach Andy Reid said the Chiefs' legal counsel has advised him not to speak with Hill about the ongoing investigation for alleged battery of a juvenile at the 25-year-old's home, Terez Paylor of Yahoo Sports reports.
ANALYSIS
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Being investigated for alleged battery
WRKansas City Chiefs
March 15, 2019
Hill is under investigation for alleged battery, Brooke Pryor of The Kansas City Star reports.
ANALYSIS
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Working toward extension
WRKansas City Chiefs
March 5, 2019
Hill has opened negotiations for a long-term contract with the Chiefs, Ian Rapoport of NFL Network reports.
ANALYSIS
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