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TheSix Fantasy Soccer: Saturday Premier League Value Plays

Andrew M. Laird

Andrew M. Laird, the 2017 FSWA Soccer Writer of the Year, is RotoWire's Senior Soccer Editor and a fantasy football contributor. He is also a two-time finalist for the FSWA's Football Writer of the Year Award.

MATCHES (EST)

7:30 a.m: Arsenal v. Tottenham
10:00 a.m: Leicester City v. Manchester City
10:00 a.m: Liverpool v. Southampton
10:00 a.m: West Brom v. Chelsea
10:00 a.m: Bournemouth v. Huddersfield
10:00 a.m: Burnley v. Swansea City
10:00 a.m: Crystal Palace v. Everton
12:30 p.m: Manchester United v. Newcastle

PLAYER RECOMMENDATIONS


STRIKER

Joshua King, BOU v. HUD (€8M):
King did not play for Norway over the international break, but he appears to be over his latest back issue and should slot into the Cherries' starting XI. While he's averaging only 43.20 touches per 90 minutes this season, his 8.23 duels won per 90 give him a nice fantasy floor that he should be able to add to against a Huddersfield side that's failed to score while allowing five goals in their last three away matches.

Marcus Rashford, MUN v. NEW (€9M): Romelu Lukaku (€10M) has the best goal-scoring odds among the Manchester United attackers, and his price is certainly attractive enough to take advantage. Meanwhile, Rashford has been taking more set pieces of late and could find himself on the ball more than usual. With United expected to handle Newcastle, you could even make a case for starting both players because their prices aren't too high.

MIDFIELDER

N'Golo Kante, CHE at WBA (€7M): Kante's price is depressed because he missed over a month due to injury, but he's an elite defensive midfielder who should be able to move up in the attack Saturday against West Brom, who are likely to cede possession to the Blues. With a price that's normally above €12M, fantasy owners should take advantage of needing to pay just more than half that this weekend.

Marouane Fellaini, MUN v. NEW (€7M): Fellaini returned from injury just before the international break, and his absence in October has pushed his price down nicely for us to take advantage in his return. Paul Pogba (€3M) is reportedly not quite ready to return from his own injury yet, though he'd make for the best value on the day if he's able to start (unfortunately, lineup lock is before we'll know for sure). Fellaini is likely to start in Pogba's place after some rough performances by Ander Herrera (€12M), which means we'll get exposure to a player averaging 72.43 touches, 37.27 accurate passes and 11.02 duels won per 90 minutes this season.

Renato Sanches, SWA at BUR (€6M): Sanches is primed to return to the starting XI after being sidelined with a thigh injury, and his role as a box-to-box midfielder allows him to get plenty of touches on the ball, complete plenty of passes and win enough duels to easily make value on this price. Burnley have been one of the better defensive sides this season, but they don't dominate possession, giving Sanches more time on the ball to rack up fantasy points.

Ilkay Gundogan, MCI at LEI (€6M): Manchester City will be without center-back Nicolas Otamendi (€14M) due to a yellow card suspension, which could force Fernandinho (€15M) to move back from his regular defensive midfield spot, thereby opening up a starting spot for Gundogan. His playing time has been very limited this season, mostly due to injury, but Gundogan is averaging a ridiculous 136.07 completed passes per 90 minutes, and even half of that would blow away his paltry salary. Add in that he'll be in the center of the best attack in the Premier League and the only reason to fade Gundogan is that he isn't guaranteed to start (a big risk, certainly).

DEFENDER

Andreas Christensen, CHE at WBA (€7M):
Christensen performed very well in Chelsea's 1-0 win over Manchester United just before the international break, and given his strong presence on the pitch, he looks set for another start ahead of David Luiz (€10M). Christensen doesn't get involved in the attack much, but with Chelsea likely to dominate possession there should be no shortage of passes and touches to go around.

Dejan Lovren, LIV v. SOU (€7M): Lovren has had his struggles this season, but manager Jurgen Klopp seems more confident in his defense when Lovren is on the pitch. Liverpool have allowed just one goal at Anfield this term, and with Southampton scoring just three while playing away (only two sides have scored fewer), there shouldn't be too much of a concern that Lovren's occasional defensive lapses will hurt his solid touch and pass-based fantasy floor.

Danilo, MCI at LEI (€4M): Otamendi's absence could also pave the way for Danilo to start at center-back, a position that has been quite fruitful this season at Manchester City. The Brazilian hasn't started a Premier League match since Sept. 9, but he showed well during City's Champions League match at Napoli on Nov. 1 and would certainly be a great fantasy option at his price with City expected to dominate possession.

GOALKEEPER

Simon Mignolet, LIV v. SOU (€8M):
Liverpool have been excellent defensively at home this season, allowing just one goal in five matches. Meanwhile, Southampton have scored just thrice in their four away affairs, which came at Huddersfield, Crystal Palace, Stoke and Brighton. Needless to say, a match at Anfield should be a much tougher go, while Mignolet is lined up well well for a clean sheet.

The author(s) of this article may play in daily fantasy contests including – but not limited to – games that they have provided recommendations or advice on in this article. In the course of playing in these games using their personal accounts, it's possible that they will use players in their lineups or other strategies that differ from the recommendations they have provided above. The recommendations in this article do not necessarily reflect the views of RotoWire. Andrew M. Laird plays in daily fantasy contests using the following accounts: FanDuel: kingmorland, DraftKings: andrewmlaird, Yahoo: Lairdinho, TheSix: Lairdinho.