29-Year-Old Pitcher – Seattle Mariners
2018 Fantasy Baseball Outlook
When healthy, Paxton pitched like an ace for the Mariners in 2017, posting an ERA under 3.00 for the first time as a full-time member of the big-league rotation. The changes were fueled by an adjustme...
James Paxton Contract Information:
Agreed to a one-year, $4.9 million deal with the Mariners in January of 2018, avoiding arbitration.
The Mariners are listing Paxton (back) as their probable starter for Tuesday's game against the Giants, Greg Johns of MLB.com reports.
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|Today's Projections||Subscribe now to see Today's projected stats for James Paxton|
|Next 7 Days||Subscribe now to see our Next 7 Days projections for James Paxton|
|Rest Of Season||Subscribe now to see our Rest Of Season projections for James Paxton|
|Preseason||Subscribe now to see our 2018 projections for James Paxton||3-Year Averages||19||19||0||108.0||104||41||8||109||30||7||5||0||0||0||3.42||1.24|
|Career (View All)||94||94||1||541.3||486||203||47||564||159||38||24||0||–||–||3.38||1.19|
Age is determined on July 1st of each season. Jump To: ▼ Advanced StatsNo No No
|Last 14 Games (Team)
3 Games Pitched: Avg. 5.2 IP/G
|Last 30 Games (Team)
6 Games Pitched: Avg. 5.0 IP/G
|Last 60 Games (Team)
12 Games Pitched: Avg. 6.0 IP/G
James Paxton Split Stats (View Full Split Stats)
|Year||Age||Lg||Tm||G||GS||IP||K/9||BB/9||K/BB||HR/9||GB/FB Ratio||Strand %||Fastball||ERA||FIP||BABIP|
|Next 7 Days||0||1||5.8||8.85||2.32||3.81||0.52||–||75.3%||–||2.94||2.76||.311|
|Rest Of Season||0||13||76.0||9.68||2.33||4.15||0.79||–||74.7%||–||3.20||2.96||.314|
|Preseason||Subscribe now to see our 2018 projections for James Paxton||3-Year Averages||19||19||108.0||9.08||2.50||3.63||0.67||–||73.8%||–||3.42||2.98||.329|
James Paxton Defensive Stats
|Pos||Year||Inn||DRS (?)||Pos Rank||Range & Pos (?)||OF Arm (?)||GFP/DME (?)||GDP (?)||Bunts (?)||Catcher SB (?)||Pitcher SB (?)||Adj ERA (?)||Strike Zone(?)|
2018 Stat Review for James Paxton As compared to the top 100 starting pitchers in 2016 (min 130 in)
A collection of stats that measure different skills.
A few general measures of a pitcher's effectiveness.
Balls in play avg. and % of runners left stranded.
Seattle Mariners Roster
MajorsAltavilla, Dan (P)
AABishop, Braden (OF)
A+Brigman, Bryson (SS)
AAndrade, Greifer (2B)
RookieCarlson, Sam (P)
James Paxton: Past News Updates ( ▲ View most recent update )
RotoWire's Preseason Outlooks
Paxton used to have a distinct delivery, in which he leaned back during his stride and pointed his glove high toward the sky. It was an aspect of his mechanics for years, but he made a major adjustment that improved his balance by largely eliminating the lean-back in his delivery, and the glove came down in conjunction. With these improved upper-body mechanics, Paxton was able to better line up the gears of rotation for his fastball, and the result was the fastest average heater (97.3 mph) of his career by nearly two full ticks. Overall, he threw his most pro innings since 2013, trimmed the walks and maintained nearly a strikeout per inning. The 28-year-old Paxton is beyond the point where we can call him a post-hype sleeper, but the improvements that he made last year appear to be legit, giving him significant upside that may still be lurking under the radar.
Paxton made the rotation out of spring training the last two years and both years missed nearly four months with an injury. In 2014, it was a lat strain. Last season, it was a strained middle finger tendon sustained in late May. He finally returned in mid-September but tore a fingernail in his third start back and was shut down for the season. When healthy, he was effective -- 12 of his 29 earned runs came in two games, leaving him with a 2.63 ERA in his other 11 starts. A groundball pitcher, Paxton has a 94-95 mph fastball, a plus curve and a good changeup. But for the second year in a row, he struggled with control (3.90 BB/9). Inconsistency has limited his K:BB to an ugly sub-2.00, and better command would likely improve his 7.5 K/9. Paxton will be back in the rotation this year as long as he's healthy, but he's 27 now and needs to take the next step with his control and command to fulfill his potential.
Paxton earned a rotation job last season after a solid spring, but just two starts into the year he suffered a lat strain that sidelined him the next four months. When he returned, he justified his prospect status, allowing two runs or fewer in nine of 11 starts. A nine-run, six-walk disaster against the Blue Jays in late September ruined his final numbers, but overall he had a promising season. Paxton's fastball averaged 94.8 mph, and his curveball proved to be the plus pitch that was expected. A groundball pitcher, Paxton needs to continue to improve his control. The Mariners would like to add another starting pitcher this season, but Paxton should still have a place in the rotation.
Paxton had an up-and-down year at Triple-A Tacoma, but it only took him four September starts with Seattle to show that he belongs in the 2014 rotation. Small sample size, yes, but the left-hander pitched two scoreless outings, including a four-hit, 10-strikeout, seven-inning shutout of the Royals in his final start. Paxton is a groundball pitcher with a mid-90s fastball. When he keeps the ball down, he's tough to hit, as right-handers found out to the tune of a .141 BAA last year. He gets into trouble when he loses command of the fastball, which is what caused his headaches in Tacoma last year, but he did not show any command issues with Seattle last season. His curveball is a potential plus-pitch, and he mixes in an effective changeup. Whether Paxton actually makes the rotation depends on various factors – the team's offseason moves, spring training, etc. But there's little doubt he is ready.
Paxton's path to the majors was a bit steeper last year than perhaps first thought heading into spring training. A knee injury caused him missed time and problems early in the year. He struggled with control and saw his command within the strikezone lacking as well, unable to consistently hit his spots. Once he got healthy, though, he looked every bit the top-prospect pitcher most expected. In the second half, he posted a a 58:22 K:BB ratio over 11 starts with a 2.40 ERA at Double-A Jackson. Paxton overpowers batters with a mid-90s fastball, but it was the development of his curve and changeup last season that really impressed. He heads to spring training this season with a legitimate chance of making the big-league rotation. The Mariners, though, have plenty of in-house options, which likely will leave Paxton at Triple-A waiting for his chance in Seattle.
One of the organization's top prospects, Paxton made his pro debut last season at Low-A Clinton and blew away the competition with 80 strikeouts in 56 innings. He then made a seamless transition from the Midwest League to Double-A Jackson in July, totaling 51 strikeouts in 39 innings with a 1.85 ERA. The 23-year-old lefty has a strong fastball/curveball combination and induces his share of groundballs, posting a 1.53 GO/AO last season. Paxton enters 2012 with a shot at the major league rotation in spring training. The Mariners likely will let him percolate at Triple-A Tacoma to at least start the year. Don't be surprised, though, if he's in Seattle by summer. Keep track of his progress and get ready to pounce, as the 6-foot-4 Paxton has tremendous upside.