Nathan Eovaldi
Nathan Eovaldi
29-Year-Old PitcherRP
Boston Red Sox
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Returning from his second Tommy John surgery, Eovaldi posted his lowest ERA since 2013 while churning out several career bests, including an 8.2 K/9, 4.4 BB% and 10.7% swinging-strike rate. Earlier in his career, the right-hander failed to pair Ks with high-end velocity, but he tapped into a greater strikeout punch in 2018 as the Rays helped him embrace his cutter and he started throwing four-seamers higher in the zone. Plus, he synced up his release points for better tunneling. Even after his pristine 1.61 postseason ERA, the 29-year-old's fantasy draft price won't likely climb too much due to concerns with season-long durability. He returned to the Red Sox on a four-year, $67.5 million deal and projects to open the season as the team's No. 3 starter. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a four-year, $67.5 million contract with the Red Sox in December of 2018.
Struggles in first start since May
PBoston Red Sox
August 18, 2019
Eovaldi allowed five runs on three hits with three walks and one strikeout across two innings during a no-decision against the Orioles on Sunday.
ANALYSIS
The Red Sox were planning to limit Eovaldi to 60 pitches, but he struggled to get through two frames while throwing only 43 pitches. Eovaldi has pitched well out of the bullpen lately, but he owns a 7.43 ERA in five starts this season. Overall, Eovaldi is 1-0 with a 6.82 ERA, 1.63 WHIP and 30 strikeouts in 34.1 innings during 2019. Boston doesn't have many appealing alternatives on hand for the rotation, so Eovaldi is in line to stick in a starting role and make his next turn Saturday versus the Padres in San Diego, per Chris Cotillo of The Springfield Republican.
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-3%
BAA vs LHP
2019
 
 
-22%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-6%
BAA vs RHP
2017
No Stats
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .252 301 60 23 68 13 3 12
Since 2017vs Right .260 319 76 15 78 17 0 10
2019vs Left .246 72 13 8 15 4 0 5
2019vs Right .317 93 22 10 26 7 0 3
2018vs Left .254 229 47 15 53 9 3 7
2018vs Right .239 226 54 5 52 10 0 7
2017vs Left 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017vs Right 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-29%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-37%
ERA on Road
2018
 
 
-60%
ERA at Home
2017
No Stats
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 3.66 1.14 64.0 4 1 0 9.3 2.4 1.1
Since 2017Away 5.18 1.33 83.1 3 6 0 7.6 2.3 1.5
2019Home 8.44 1.94 16.0 0 0 0 9.6 6.2 2.3
2019Away 5.31 1.38 20.1 1 0 0 8.0 3.1 1.8
2018Home 2.06 0.88 48.0 4 1 0 9.2 1.1 0.8
2018Away 5.14 1.32 63.0 2 6 0 7.4 2.0 1.4
2017Home 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2017Away 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
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Stat Review
How does Nathan Eovaldi compare to other relievers?
This section compares his stats with all relief pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 30 innings)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity, Barrels/BBE %, Balls Hit 95+ MPH %, and Spin Rate are benchmarked against this season's data (min 20 IP). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • K/BB
    Strikeout to walk ratio.
  • K/9
    Average strikeouts per nine innings.
  • BB/9
    Average walks per nine innings.
  • HR/9
    Average home runs allowed per nine innings.
  • Fastball
    Average fastball velocity.
  • ERA
    Earned run average. The average earned runs allowed per nine innings.
  • WHIP
    Walks plus hits per inning pitched.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many balls in play against a pitcher go for hits.
  • GB/FB
    Groundball to flyball ratio. The higher the number, the more likely a pitcher is to induce groundballs.
  • Left On Base
    The percentage of base runners that a pitcher strands on base over the course of a season.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Barrels/BBE
    The percentage of batted ball events resulting in a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
  • Spin Rate
    Spin Rate is the rate of spin on a baseball after it is released. It is measured in revolutions per minute (rpm).
  • Balls Hit 95+ MPH
    The percentage of batted balls hit that met or exceeded the 95 MPH threshold.
  • Swinging Strike
    The percentage of pitches that result in a swing and a miss.
K/BB
1.94
 
K/9
8.7
 
BB/9
4.5
 
HR/9
2.0
 
Fastball
97.5 mph
 
ERA
6.69
 
WHIP
1.62
 
BABIP
.328
 
GB/FB
1.44
 
Left On Base
64.9%
 
Exit Velocity
91.2 mph
 
Barrels/BBE
9.1%
 
Spin Rate
2131 rpm
 
Balls Hit 95+ MPH
40.9%
 
Swinging Strike
9.4%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Nathan Eovaldi
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11 days ago
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Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
Tommy John surgery in August of 2016 knocked Eovaldi out for the entirety of 2017. He did make a couple rehab appearances late in the year in the International League championship series, putting him on track to compete for a spot in the Rays' rotation in spring training. Any pitcher coming back from reconstructive elbow surgery is an unknown, but that's especially true with Eovaldi, whose calling card has always been premium velocity. He hadn't been able to generate many whiffs before going down with the injury despite the impressive velo -- Eovaldi has never posted a K/9 over 7.0 at the big-league level. Eovaldi will need to not only return to form, but find a new level to his game, in order to become a trustworthy option in standard fantasy leagues. That seems unlikely coming off TJS considering many pitchers struggle with control and command in their first year back.
After a rough first half of the season, Eovaldi moved to the bullpen for a brief period in July. He found a good deal of success in the new role, tossing 7.2 scoreless innings, but that success was short lived. He was diagnosed a partially torn UCL and fully torn flexor tendon in his right arm in August, which required season-ending Tommy John surgery. As a result, Eovaldi will miss the entirety of the 2017 season. He was non-tendered by the Yankees in the offseason, and given his lackluster results as a starter so far in his career, it seems like he'll move to the bullpen full-time once he's healthy if the Rays decide to hang onto him for another season.
Eovaldi improved in 2015, but it didn’t really show up in his results. Actually, it kind of did as he somehow posted a 14-3 record, but no one is looking at his ERA or WHIP and thinking that he took steps forward. The big change was the development of his splitter, which helped him neutralize lefties over the second half. Through his first 13 starts he had a 5.12 ERA, due in large part to the fact that lefties mangled him for a 1.008 OPS. In his final 14 starts, he had a 3.43 ERA and cut that lefty OPS down to .587 as the splitter turned into a weapon and was key to a 56 percent groundball rate. Unfortunately, his season ended in early September with elbow concerns, but with health this is still a budding profile primed for a surge: insane velocity, a quality breaking ball, and now a way to stifle lefties. He doesn’t allow homers, he’s gotten his walks in check the last two years, and he has strikeout upside. Buy.
An up-and-down ride in 2014 saw Eovaldi on the verge of a breakout campaign before an increased workload appeared to wear on him down the stretch. Eovaldi tossed a career-high 199.2 innings pitched, but his September struggles (0-4, 5.53 ERA, 1.63 WHIP) dragged his overall line to a mediocre 4.37 ERA and 1.33 WHIP to go along with a 4-16 record. The 25-year-old right-handed hurler improved his control in 2014, slicing his walk rate down to just 5.0% after posting a 8.9 BB% in the previous year. Still, Eovaldi was unable to translate his powerful, upper-90s fastball into a significant strikeout total. A career-best 142:43 K:BB ratio that translated a solid 3.37 FIP presents plenty of reason for optimism as Eovaldi looks to break through 200-inning threshold in 2015. He'll have less margin for error this time around after being traded to the Yankees in December.
After missing the first two-and-a-half months of the season with a shoulder injury, Eovaldi cobbled together a solid campaign for Miami, tossing 106.1 innings with a 3.39 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Eovaldi works primarily off of his 96-mph fastball, mixing in a two-seamer, slider, curveball and the occasional changeup. His strikeout totals are regularly underwhelming despite the plus velocity, but he did an excellent job keeping the ball in the yard last season, allowing just seven home runs in 18 starts. Entering his age-24 season, there is plenty of reason to think that Eovaldi still has room to grow, but unless he can pick up that strikeout rate, he figures to be little more than a middle-of-the-road option.
After a short stint in the big leagues in 2011, Eovaldi got his first real chance to be a major league starter in 2012 with the Dodgers, replacing an injured Ted Lilly in the starting rotation in late May. He posted medicore results including a 4.15 ERA and 1.47 WHIP over his first 56.1 innings pitched before being shipped to Miami in the Hanley Ramirez trade. Eovaldi showed flashes over the second half with the Marlins, but struggled with his command to the tune of a 44:27 K:BB that accompanied a 4.43 ERA and 1.54 WHIP for his new club. Working with a nice 94 mph fastball, Eovaldi will need to improve on the 3.5 BB/9 that he posted last season if he is to find success in the middle of the Marlins' rotation in 2013.
It was a breakout season of sorts for Eovaldi in 2011, as after 103 Double-A innings (2.62 ERA, 8.65 K/9IP), injuries led to his big league debut in August. He fared well in five of his six starts, ultimately posting a 3.63 ERA to go with a below-average 23:20 K:BB in 34.2 innings. With the Dodgers having filled out their rotation in free agency this winter, Eovaldi will open the season in the minors, but he's on the short list once an injury strikes.
Contract purchased by the Dodgers in August 2011.
More Fantasy News
Will have pitch limit Sunday
PBoston Red Sox
August 17, 2019
Eovaldi is expected to throw 60 pitches when he starts Sunday against the Orioles, Chris Cotillo of MassLive.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Could start Sunday
PBoston Red Sox
August 16, 2019
Eovaldi will start Sunday against the Orioles if he doesn't pitch during Friday's contest, Bill Koch of The Providence Journal reports.
ANALYSIS
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Needed for relief Wednesday
PBoston Red Sox
August 15, 2019
Eovaldi (1-0) picked up the win Wednesday after throwing two scoreless innings of relief against the Indians.
ANALYSIS
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Could start over weekend
PBoston Red Sox
August 14, 2019
Eovaldi is a candidate to start against the Orioles over the weekend, Ian Browne of MLB.com reports.
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Not opening Wednesday
PBoston Red Sox
August 13, 2019
Eovaldi won't open Wednesday's game against the Indians after appearing out of the bullpen Tuesday, Bill Koch of The Providence Journal reports.
ANALYSIS
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