Marcell Ozuna
Marcell Ozuna
28-Year-Old OutfielderOF
St. Louis Cardinals
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Compared to former outfield mates Christian Yelich and Giancarlo Stanton, Ozuna didn't make as much of a splash in his first year outside Miami. Ozuna eventually found his swing after a slow start to his Cardinals career, slashing .299/.346/.482 with 20 home runs from May 21 onward. It still marked a step back from the .924 OPS and 37 long balls he supplied in 2017, though regression was always coming after he needed a 23.4% HR/FB -- nearly nine points above his career rate -- to achieve that production. Moreover, Ozuna battled a sore right shoulder for a good portion of the second half that later required offseason arthroscopic surgery, further explaining the power downturn on some level. There's always a risk that such a procedure continues to sap his slugging output, but the improved contact skills Ozuna has displayed the last few years coupled with his guaranteed spot in the heart of the order give him a fairly dependable four-category floor. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $12.25 million contract with the Cardinals in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Sitting for series finale
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
September 25, 2019
Ozuna is not in Wednesday's lineup against the Diamondbacks.
ANALYSIS
Ozuna is one of multiple starters sitting for the Cardinals on Wednesday. The outfielder played all 19 innings during Tuesday's 3-2 loss, going 0-for-6 with a pair of walks. Tyler O'Neill is starting in left field and hitting fifth in his stead.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
102
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
27
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+1%
OPS vs RHP
2019
 
 
+8%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+25%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+19%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .828 382 53 18 61 0 .287 .348 .480
Since 2017vs Right .833 1473 189 71 240 16 .279 .344 .489
2019vs Left .752 89 14 6 20 0 .217 .270 .482
2019vs Right .814 460 66 23 69 12 .249 .341 .473
2018vs Left .895 149 20 9 26 0 .314 .362 .533
2018vs Right .716 478 49 14 62 3 .270 .314 .402
2017vs Left .804 144 19 3 15 0 .305 .382 .422
2017vs Right .955 535 74 34 109 1 .313 .374 .581
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+10%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+12%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+22%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .873 897 118 48 161 7 .297 .362 .511
Since 2017Away .794 958 124 41 140 9 .266 .329 .465
2019Home .777 279 37 13 49 6 .240 .326 .451
2019Away .831 270 43 16 40 6 .247 .333 .498
2018Home .803 298 35 13 51 1 .299 .342 .460
2018Away .718 329 34 10 37 2 .263 .310 .408
2017Home 1.023 320 46 22 61 0 .344 .413 .611
2017Away .837 359 47 15 63 1 .284 .343 .494
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Stat Review
How does Marcell Ozuna compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.54
 
BB Rate
11.3%
 
K Rate
20.8%
 
BABIP
.257
 
ISO
.231
 
AVG
.241
 
OBP
.328
 
SLG
.472
 
OPS
.800
 
wOBA
.350
 
Exit Velocity
91.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
48.1%
 
Barrels/PA
8.2%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Marcell Ozuna
Games Played By Position: 2020 Eligibility Notes
2 days ago
Clay Link looks at appearances by position and makes note of multi-position eligibility and lost eligibility for 2020.
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3 days ago
Chris Bennett looks over Tuesday's slate as Dakota Hudson and the Cardinals try to stave off elimination.
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4 days ago
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FanDuel MLB: Monday NLCS Breakdown
4 days ago
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FanDuel MLB: League Championship Series Breakdown
6 days ago
Chris Bennett notes Masahiro Tanaka’s struggles against lefties suggest Yordan Alvarez is an obvious play, and the price point is great as well.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
Ozuna had shown flashes of greatness in the past, but few could have predicted his monster 2017. As a 25-year-old, Ozuna exceeded his home-run total from the previous two seasons combined while adding nearly 50 points to his batting average. He finished with a 142 wRC+ (15th among qualified hitters) and .388 wOBA, and the numbers from Statcast were generally encouraging; Ozuna had a .357 xwOBA and 90.7 mph average exit velocity, which ranked 15th among 237 players with at least 250 at-bats. He added to his walk rate, boosting it to a career-high 9.4 percent, but his BABIP was slightly inflated at .355 and it's possible Ozuna's average will settle closer to the .270s in the years to come. A .270 batter with 30-plus homers and 100 RBI isn't as rare as it used to be, but it's still plenty valuable. With Ozuna leaving Miami for St. Louis in a December trade, we feel even better about his chances for another $20-plus season.
Ozuna rebounded from a disappointing 2015 campaign to essentially match his breakout 2014 season, showing latent skills growth in the process. The 26-year-old's future is back on the upswing. He walked more and whiffed significantly less than in the previous season. It's the improved contact rate that's most intriguing. The only negative last season was a 20-point drop in BABIP for the second straight year. Assuming a great deal of that is variance, if Ozuna maintains most or all his contact gains, what looks to be a stable average in the .265 range could head north quickly with a BABIP reversion. While the power drop in 2015 can't be ignored, it can be discounted meaning there could be a buying opportunity if the market doesn't similarly adjust. Plus, Ozuna is lofting a few more flyballs away from challenging the 30-homer mark, and he's at an age where this often occurs. Don't hesitate to cast a line toward him.
The power Ozuna showed in 2014 dissipated in 2015, as he hit just 10 home runs in 494 plate appearances and saw his slugging percentage dip below .400 for the second time in three years. Ozuna’s performance was so poor that the Marlins stashed him in the minors for 33 games, likely in an extremely Marlins attempt to game his service time clock. Giving up on Ozuna at this point would be a grave overreaction, however; he was a 24-year-old playing in one of the most difficult parks for power hitters in the game’s recent history. Slumps will happen. Counting the minor leagues, Ozuna has four 20-homer seasons in the past six years, and he’s far too young to give up on. His strikeout rates are concerning — he has yet to post one below 19.6 percent — but if the power he showed in 2014 and in the minors resurfaces, everybody will forget all about that right quick.
A surprise offensive breakout player during his 2013 rookie campaign, Ozuna managed to sneak up on us once again in 2014 as he made significant strides in most every aspect of his game. The 24-year-old outfielder re-discovered the power stroke he displayed throughout the minors and socked 23 home runs to go along with 26 doubles and five triples while tallying 83 RBI over 153 games during his first full season in the majors. Ozuna continued to swing and miss with regularity (26.8 K%), but also showed a slight increase in walk rate (6.7% in 2014 compared to 4.5% as a rookie). He continues to provide steady defense in the outfield and has settled in as the full-time center fielder after the team tried to mix and match defensive alignments early on. Ozuna should be fully recover from the ankle injury that cost him the last two weeks in September by the time camp rolls around, and he'll enter the season with ample RBI opportunities while batting in the middle of the Marlins’ order.
Ozuna turned heads when he got the nod over some of the Marlins' more accomplished outfield prospects in late May and perhaps his presence on the 40-man roster played a role. Ozuna did, however, make the most of his opportunity, putting together a BABIP-fueled tear where he batted .336 over his first 33 games with the Marlins. More of a power prospect than a contact hitter -- Ozuna popped one home run every 20.9 at-bats in minors with a strikeout rate hovering around 20% -- it was no surprise to see his line dip to .265/.303/.389 before he was finally shut down with a thumb injury that required surgery in late July. Despite struggling during the end of his run in Miami, Ozuna gained some valuable experience as an everyday player, contributing solid defense in the outfield and showing the ability to handle right-handed pitching at the major league level. He is not quite of the Christian Yelich/Jake Marisnick ilk, but with a reduced strikeout rate, improved patience at the plate and some more authoritative contact, Ozuna could threaten 20 home runs annually as he hits his prime. Heading into the spring, Ozuna looks to be the favorite to earn the starting job in center field with Miami as he enters his sophomore season.
Ozuna spent his 2012 season at High-A Jupiter and followed up his fine season the previous year with more of the same. He continues to flash plus power, slugging 24 home runs over 489 at-bats last season while posting a strong .804 OPS. Ozuna has mashed 69 home runs over three minor league seasons and appears ready to take a jump to the next level in 2013. Though his 116 strikeouts in 129 games last season lend doubt to the notion that he will ever provide positive value in terms of batting average, his power is absolutely for real. Keeper league owners should invest now, as he'll likely spend his 2013 season at Double-A Jacksonville.
Ozuna is no Mike Stanton, but the 21-year-old has plus-power and began to develop other aspects of his game in 2011, upping his walk rate, cutting back on the strikeouts and stealing an impressive 17 bases in 19 attempts at Low-A. The plate discipline is still a work in progress, and Jupiter can be a tough place to hit so don't be shocked if his numbers at High-A take a bit of a tumble, but he's a legitimate prospect who would be among the best in the Marlins system even if it weren't depleted.
More Fantasy News
On base four times in win
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
September 24, 2019
Ozuna went 2-for-3 with two doubles, two walks and a run in a win over the Diamondbacks on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Blasts 29th home run
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
September 21, 2019
Ozuna went 1-for-4 with a two-run homer in a 9-8 victory over the Cubs on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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Sole run producer in win
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
September 17, 2019
Ozuna went 2-for-4 with a two-run, ground-rule double and a two-run home run in a win over the Nationals on Monday.
ANALYSIS
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Smacks 27th homer
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
September 12, 2019
Ozuna went 1-for-3 with two walks, a solo home run and two runs scored Thursday against the Rockies.
ANALYSIS
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Breaks 0-for-13 stretch with homer
OFSt. Louis Cardinals
September 7, 2019
Ozuna went 1-for-3 with a home run, three RBI, three runs and two walks during a 10-1 victory against the Pirates on Saturday.
ANALYSIS
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