Trevor Story
Trevor Story
26-Year-Old ShortstopSS
Colorado Rockies
2019 Fantasy Outlook
While 2016 may have been Story's breakout, 2018 was the season everything came together. He hit for a career-high average while greatly reducing his strikeout rate and expanding his power at the plate. The volume of stolen bases was a huge surprise that nobody forecasted in draft season and a bonus. His home-run total went up despite a small drop in his flyball rate. More hard contact allowed his HR/FB to get up to 20% and helped fuel the homer surge. There are two causes for concern moving forward, though: Story had an elbow scare near the end of the season that nearly put him on the surgeon's table, so that bears watching. Secondly, he ended the season with a 64-point split between his actual slugging percentage of .567 and his expected slugging percentage (.503). He is more likely to slide back to 30 homers than to challenge for 40 in 2019. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $5 million contract with the Rockies in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Hits 17th home run of season
SSColorado Rockies
June 16, 2019
Story went 2-for-6 with a solo home run in Sunday's 14-13 loss to the Padres.
ANALYSIS
Story recorded his third consecutive multi-hit performance, including an opposite-field home run in the sixth inning. He enjoyed a productive series against San Diego, totaling seven runs scored, four RBI, two home runs and one stolen base across four games. Story will look to continue his strong form in the next series on the road against the Diamondbacks.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
27
1
13
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
21
7
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+27%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+7%
OPS vs RHP
2018
 
 
+25%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+55%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left 1.012 437 69 27 80 11 .317 .380 .632
Since 2017vs Right .799 1094 151 51 158 35 .254 .318 .480
2019vs Left .867 94 16 3 9 6 .326 .362 .506
2019vs Right .926 226 48 14 39 6 .276 .358 .568
2018vs Left 1.069 193 30 14 43 4 .326 .389 .680
2018vs Right .852 463 58 23 65 23 .277 .330 .521
2017vs Left 1.034 150 23 10 28 1 .301 .380 .654
2017vs Right .668 405 45 14 54 6 .216 .281 .386
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+28%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+46%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+34%
OPS at Home
2017
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .963 784 130 50 155 20 .294 .355 .609
Since 2017Away .751 747 90 28 83 26 .250 .316 .435
2019Home 1.074 164 41 11 32 6 .336 .402 .671
2019Away .737 156 23 6 16 6 .246 .314 .423
2018Home 1.043 339 50 26 71 11 .306 .366 .678
2018Away .780 317 38 11 37 16 .276 .328 .452
2017Home .805 281 39 13 52 3 .256 .313 .492
2017Away .723 274 29 11 30 4 .220 .303 .420
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Stat Review
How does Trevor Story compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against this season's data (min 100 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.32
 
BB Rate
8.4%
 
K Rate
26.6%
 
BABIP
.358
 
ISO
.257
 
AVG
.292
 
OBP
.359
 
SLG
.549
 
OPS
.908
 
wOBA
.392
 
Exit Velocity
91.0 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
47.1%
 
Barrels/PA
5.1%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Trevor Story
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Sunday Picks
Yesterday
Chris Morgan spent a while perfecting Nick Margevicius's surname, so it's your duty to grab a few Rockies' bats - including Trevor Story - versus the struggling Padres' hurler.
FanDuel MLB: Saturday Breakdown
2 days ago
The Dodger’s Walker Buehler is in a pitching groove and makes for a stable pick against the Cubs, says Chris Bennett.
DraftKings MLB: Saturday Picks
2 days ago
With Glenn Sparkman scheduled to start for the Royals, Mike Barner doesn't mind endorsing a few Twins hitters - including Max Kepler - against the struggling righty.
Yahoo DFS Baseball: Saturday Picks
2 days ago
Among his daily suggestions, Sasha Yodashkin offers a bargain pitching pick with recently-reinstated starter Michael Wacha on the road to face the Mets.
FanDuel MLB: Friday Breakdown
3 days ago
Adam Zdroik prefers a Brewers stack Friday against Drew Pomeranz and the Giants.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2013
Story was in the conversation for NL Rookie of the Year honors in 2016 before a thumb ligament injury ended his season, but he was unable to repeat that success in 2017. He stumbled out of the gates, batting .180/.289/.396 over his first 34 games. Story hit .255 with 18 homers and 67 RBI in 112 games after his return from a shoulder injury in May, but he continued to swing and miss at a high rate, fanning in one-third of his plate appearances over the remainder of the year. The strikeouts are not as much of a problem in today's game, and that's especially true when a player hits the ball as hard as Story does -- his 40.3 percent hard-hit rate ranked 18th among qualified hitters. Story will likely continue to be a batting-average liability with his current approach, even while playing half his games at Coors Field, but his prolific power and splash of speed at the shortstop position give him appeal at what will be a significantly discounted price from a year ago.
Story was given an opportunity in the starting role from Day 1 last season, replacing the suspended Jose Reyes. The rookie took off from the get-go, seemingly tearing down every rookie record in the book. Through the first month of the season, he already had 10 home runs, 20 RBI, and a massive 1.019 OPS. Understandably, he wasn't able to sustain this ridiculously torrid pace, but he managed to put up a .908 OPS, 27 home runs and 72 RBI prior to a thumb injury that cut his season short by two months. Story's 130 strikeouts are a concern, as that number could grow as pitchers figure out his tendencies, and his home/road splits were very different as one would expect for a Coors Field batter (1.086 home OPS vs. .747 road OPS). That being said, Story cemented himself as the shortstop of the future for the Rockies, and he looks to be an excellent source of power at the shortstop position playing half of his games in the thin Colorado air.
Story was a consensus top-100 prospect prior to the 2013 season, but his stock crashed to the point that he didn’t crack any industry top-100 lists in 2014 or 2015. That streak will come to a screeching halt this offseason, as Story made a big statement, abusing Double-A and Triple-A pitchers alike. He slashed .279/.350/.514 with 20 home runs and 22 steals (on 25 attempts) in 130 games, splitting time evenly between the two levels. Story remains age appropriate for his level, as he should debut in the majors early on in his age-23 campaign. Jose Reyes appears to stand in Story’s way, but Reyes’ performance was below replacement level in 47 games with Colorado last season, and he has serious off-field issues that could also cut into his availability. Look for Story to be starting every day at shortstop for the Rockies sooner rather than later in 2016, making him a worthy late-round flier in mixed leagues.
Forced to repeat High-A Modesto after striking out in 33 percent of his plate appearances in 2013, Story shined in his second go-around, slashing .332/.436/.582 while showing noticeable growth in his plate discipline. The improvements earned Story a midseason promotion to Double-A Tulsa. Just as was the case in the California League, he scuffled in his initial exposure to the new level. His strikeout rate hiked up to 34.6% and his on-base percentage sank to .302 over 237 plate appearances, dimming the impact of the rare power/speed package he offers at shortstop. Story’s ongoing contact issues leave scouts divided on whether or not he’ll become a viable big league regular, but it could simply be a matter of the 22-year-old needing more time to adjust to advanced pitching. The Rockies are of no mind to rush Story to the majors while Troy Tulowitzki is around, so he’ll have ample opportunity to refine his swing at the Double-A level and assert his standing as the team’s top middle infield prospect.
Story’s age-19 season was a promising one, as he exhibited a nice combination of power (18 homers), speed (15 steals) and on-base skills (.361 OBP). Story is not without a few flaws, however. It should be noted that his numbers came in the friendly hitting confines of the South Atlantic League, and his high strikeout totals could become more problematic as he advances in the minors. Story will likely move on to another hitters’ paradise in the California League this season, so it is possible we will not know the full extent of his batting skills until he reaches the upper levels of the minors.
More Fantasy News
Racks up three hits
SSColorado Rockies
June 16, 2019
Story (forehead) went 3-for-4 with a double, a pair of walks, two runs and an RBI in Saturday's 14-8 win over the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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Returns to action Saturday
SSColorado Rockies
June 15, 2019
Story (forehead) is starting at shortstop and batting second Saturday versus the Padres.
ANALYSIS
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Exits with trainer
SSColorado Rockies
Forehead
June 14, 2019
Story had to exit Friday's game against the Padres after taking a grounder off his head, Thomas Harding of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Breaks power drought in win
SSColorado Rockies
June 13, 2019
Story went 1-for-5 with a two-run home run in a win against San Diego on Thursday.
ANALYSIS
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Scores three times Wednesday
SSColorado Rockies
June 6, 2019
Story went 2-for-3 with two walks, a double, three runs and an RBI in Wednesday's 9-8 loss to the Cubs.
ANALYSIS
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