J.D. Davis
J.D. Davis
25-Year-Old Third Baseman3B
New York Mets
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Davis came to the plate 113 times in 2018 but didn't do much to justify the opportunities, hitting a miserable .175/.248/.223 with just a single home run. Those struggles were completely out of line with his performance in 85 games for Triple-A Fresno, where he hit an excellent .342/.406/.583. Those minor-league numbers could earn him more chances this season, but Davis will turn 26 in late April, so he's running out of time to show something at the big-league level. There are reasons to believe that he could hit better if given a chance this season, as his line was held down by a .233 BABIP, and Statcast's expected slugging percentage was a full 168 points better than his actual number. Still, that would leave him slugging a modest .391, not nearly good enough for a player limited to the corners defensively. A trade to the Mets gives him a slightly clearer path to playing time, but don't expect more than deep-league value. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
#711
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$Signed a contract with the Astros in June of 2014. Traded to the Mets in January of 2019.
Hitting fifth Wednesday
3BNew York Mets
April 17, 2019
Davis will start at third base and bat fifth Wednesday against the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
It's the fifth consecutive start for Davis, marking his longest streak of the season. The 25-year-old has earned more playing time by posting a .960 OPS through the Mets' first 17 games, but his pathway to steady action could close up quickly once Brandon Nimmo (neck) rejoins the lineup and Todd Frazier (oblique) is activated from the 10-day injured list. Both injured players could be back in the fold by the weekend.
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Batting Stats
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
1
5
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
4
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+50%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+90%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+38%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+48%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .836 85 16 5 6 0 .240 .329 .507
Since 2017vs Right .558 151 10 3 11 1 .199 .272 .287
2019vs Left 1.394 17 5 2 2 0 .308 .471 .923
2019vs Right .732 38 4 1 3 0 .273 .368 .364
2018vs Left .568 42 5 0 1 0 .231 .286 .282
2018vs Right .413 71 4 1 4 0 .141 .225 .188
2017vs Left .960 26 6 3 3 0 .217 .308 .652
2017vs Right .647 42 2 1 4 1 .231 .262 .385
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+13%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+107%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+56%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+19%
OPS at Home
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .709 90 10 4 5 1 .222 .289 .420
Since 2017Away .625 146 16 4 12 0 .208 .295 .331
2019Home 1.479 16 3 2 2 0 .417 .563 .917
2019Away .716 39 6 1 3 0 .235 .333 .382
2018Home .348 42 4 0 0 0 .105 .190 .158
2018Away .543 71 5 1 5 0 .215 .282 .262
2017Home .830 32 3 2 3 1 .290 .281 .548
2017Away .697 36 5 2 4 0 .161 .278 .419
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Stat Review
How does J.D. Davis compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.90
 
BB Rate
16.4%
 
K Rate
18.2%
 
BABIP
.303
 
ISO
.239
 
AVG
.283
 
OBP
.400
 
SLG
.522
 
OPS
.922
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
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Mets Depth Chart
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring J.D. Davis
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12 days ago
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26 days ago
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71 days ago
James Anderson wraps up his look at American League systems and thinks workload could be the only thing holding Forrest Whitley back in 2019.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
Davis hit just .226 and struck out 29.4 percent of the time in his big-league debut, but wielded so much power (four home runs, .258 ISO) that he was still a league-average hitter (100 wRC+) over 68 plate appearances. Of course, league average won't cut it at an infield corner or at DH for the loaded Astros, and they have superior options at every position he could conceivably handle. Five years ago a player with his power potential could bring back a quality arm in a trade, but now almost every team has a player of Davis' caliber either in their lineup, on their bench or at Triple-A. The Astros are so loaded that not only do they have similar or better options on their bench, but they may even have a better third-base prospect at Triple-A in Colin Moran. Davis slugged .652 with three home runs in 26 MLB plate appearances against southpaws, which is in line with the righty's minor-league production and points to his future role as a bench bat who destroys opposite-handed pitching.
The 75th overall pick in the 2014 draft has always hit in the minor leagues, but his fairly high strikeout rates, below-average defense and a host of superior players ahead of him on Houston's organizational depth chart has led to Davis flying somewhat under the radar. While he has played some outfield and first base in the upper levels of the minors, the bulk of his starts still come at third base, where he has a strong arm and little else. There is no denying he has plus raw power, as he has never posted an ISO lower than .213 as a pro, but the strikeouts and favorable minor-league hitting environments make it difficult to project a high batting average. He might be Mike Napoli at third base, or he might be a Quadruple-A hitter who gets a very brief chance to prove he can hit with the Astros before being relegated back to an organizational depth role.
Davis, the 75th overall pick in 2014, spent last season with High-A Lancaster hitting in the friendly confines of the California League. The 22-year-old third baseman finished the year sixth in the league in home runs (26) and second in RBI (101) while hitting .289 in 120 games with the JetHawks. It will be all about adjustments as he moves up the organizational ladder, as he can get away with a 28.4% strikeout rate in the lower levels of the minors, but that rate could spike once he starts facing Double-A pitchers who can command a breaking ball. Still, the case can be made that the Cal State Fullerton product has already established himself as a top-100 prospect for dynasty leagues.
More Fantasy News
Socks solo shot
3BNew York Mets
April 14, 2019
Davis went 1-for-2 with a home run and a walk in Sunday's 7-3 loss to Atlanta.
ANALYSIS
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Hits two home runs
3BNew York Mets
April 6, 2019
Davis went 3-for-3 with two solo home runs and a walk in Saturday's 6-5 win over the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Hitting cleanup Sunday
3BNew York Mets
March 31, 2019
Davis will start at third base and bat cleanup Sunday against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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Trending toward roster spot
3BNew York Mets
March 23, 2019
Davis looks on track to make the Mets' Opening Day roster following Saturday's round of cuts, Anthony DiComo of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Big day at plate
3BNew York Mets
March 10, 2019
Davis went 3-for-4 with a run scored in Saturday's Grapefruit League game against the Red Sox.
ANALYSIS
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