Ozzie Albies
Ozzie Albies
22-Year-Old Second Baseman2B
Atlanta Braves
2019 Fantasy Outlook
The performance of young players after the break is often considered telling. If that’s the case, why is Albies getting a pass, despite a huge second half swoon? Albies posted a .834 OPS and 120 wRC+ before the break compared to a .624 OPS and 67 wRC+ after. His strikeout rate rose 1.5%, but that’s not enough to account for the disparity. The culprit was a 32-point dip in BABIP, fueled by a drop in hard-hit rate. Medium-hits balls carry the lowest BABIP and 60 percent of Albies' second-half contact was of that variety. Accordingly, his 14.7% first-half HR/FB plummeted to 5.6% post-break. Conveniently omitted is Albies isn’t just young, he did this as a 21-year-old sophomore. Albies' overall game remains impressive at his age, but he could be in danger of hitting lower in the Braves' order if he doesn’t get off to a fast start, depriving him of some counting stat volume. The power/speed combo is enticing, just beware it’s not risk-free. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a seven-year, $35 million contract extension with the Braves in April of 2019. Contract includes $7 million team options for 2026 and 2027.
Swats 24th homer
2BAtlanta Braves
September 25, 2019
Albies went 3-for-4 with a double, a two-run home run and a second run scored in Tuesday's 9-6 loss to the Royals.
ANALYSIS
He took Kansas City closer Ian Kennedy deep in the ninth inning for his 24th homer of the year, tying the career high he established last year. Albies is slashing .364/.405/.662 through 20 games in September, and the heater has the 22-year-old on the brink of hitting .300 for the season.
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Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
18
46
1
1
18
11
25
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
11
16
1
6
3
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+32%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+41%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+30%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+20%
OPS vs LHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .982 413 68 21 61 6 .355 .386 .596
Since 2017vs Right .744 1217 173 33 125 31 .253 .314 .430
2019vs Left 1.099 157 29 11 33 3 .389 .414 .685
2019vs Right .778 545 73 13 53 12 .267 .334 .444
2018vs Left .905 196 28 8 20 2 .335 .357 .548
2018vs Right .696 488 77 16 52 12 .231 .283 .412
2017vs Left .926 60 11 2 8 1 .327 .407 .519
2017vs Right .773 184 23 4 20 7 .273 .337 .436
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Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+1%
OPS at Home
2019
 
 
+11%
OPS at Home
2018
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+8%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .808 807 124 22 81 15 .284 .341 .467
Since 2017Away .803 823 117 32 105 22 .275 .324 .479
2019Home .898 337 53 12 37 9 .310 .359 .539
2019Away .809 365 49 12 49 6 .282 .345 .464
2018Home .729 337 55 9 32 5 .267 .318 .412
2018Away .783 347 50 15 40 9 .256 .292 .491
2017Home .779 133 16 1 12 1 .261 .353 .426
2017Away .845 111 18 5 16 7 .314 .355 .490
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Stat Review
How does Ozzie Albies compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances)*. The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.

* Exit Velocity and Barrels/PA % are benchmarked against 2019 data (min 400 PA) and Hard Hit Rate is benchmarked against last season's data (min 400 PA). See here for more exit velocity/barrels stats plus an explanation of current limitations with that data set.
  • BB/K
    Walk to strikeout ratio
  • BB Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a walk.
  • K Rate
    The percentage of plate appearances resulting in a strikeout.
  • BABIP
    Batting average on balls in play. Measures how many of a batter’s balls in play go for hits.
  • ISO
    Isolated Power. Slugging percentage minus batting average. A computation used to measure a batter's raw power.
  • AVG
    Batting average. Hits divided by at bats.
  • OBP
    On Base Percentage. A measure of how often a batters reaches base. Roughly equal to number of times on base divided by plate appearances.
  • SLG
    Slugging Percentage. A measure of the batting productivity of a hitter. It is calculated as total bases divided by at bats.
  • OPS
    On base plus slugging. THe sum of a batter's on-base percentage and slugging percentage.
  • wOBA
    Weighted on-base average. Measures a player's overall offensive contributions per plate appearance. wOBA combines all the different aspects of hitting into one metric, weighting each of them in proportion to their actual run value.
  • Exit Velocity
    The speed of the baseball as it comes off the bat, immediately after a batter makes contact.
  • Hard Hit Rate
    A measure of contact quality from Sports Info Solutions. This stat explains what percentage of batted balls were hit hard vs. medium or soft.
  • Barrels/PA
    The percentage of plate appearances where a batter had a batted ball classified as a Barrel. A Barrel is a batted ball with similar exit velocity and launch angle to past ones that led to a minimum .500 batting average and 1.500 slugging percentage.
BB/K
0.48
 
BB Rate
7.7%
 
K Rate
16.0%
 
BABIP
.325
 
ISO
.205
 
AVG
.295
 
OBP
.352
 
SLG
.500
 
OPS
.852
 
wOBA
.367
 
Exit Velocity
88.9 mph
 
Hard Hit Rate
42.3%
 
Barrels/PA
4.7%
 
Advanced Batting Stats
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Additional Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Ozzie Albies
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4 days ago
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14 days ago
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Postseason Cheatsheet
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17 days ago
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Jeff Erickson's quick postseason ranks.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
Albies got the call to the majors on Aug. 1 and hit the ground running, flashing the well-rounded skill set that made him a top prospect in baseball. At 20 years old, the switch-hitting Albies displayed advanced plate skills, posting a .347 wOBA in 244 plate appearances. He's not an imposing presence in the batter's box at 5-foot-9, 160 pounds, but Albies has excellent bat speed and he used that to generate above-average game power (.171 ISO, 33.2 percent hard-hit rate). He also went 8-for-9 on the basepaths, and when it was all said and done, Albies was worth roughly two wins above replacement in just 57 games. Albies' ability to make consistent contact gives him a solid floor in batting average, and he runs at a time when stolen bases are on the decline league-wide. The power is just the cherry on top. He could end up being a significant bargain in drafts and auctions, even with spring helium.
Regardless of how well he has hit or how many bases he has stolen, the most impressive thing about Albies has always been his age relative to the players he is playing against. In 2014, he was a 17-year-old hitting .356 in the Appalachian League. The next year he finished fourth in the Sally League with a .310 average while being the fourth youngest player in the league. This past season he was the youngest player at Double-A, but that didn't stop him from winning the Southern League batting title by hitting .321, earning a 56-game run at Triple-A as a 19-year-old. Indeed, the word "advanced" sufficiently sums up Albies' game. The Braves chose Dansby Swanson as the shortstop of the future, meaning Albies' future is at the keystone. He will likely start 2017 with Triple-A Gwinnett -- an absurd reality for a player who turned 20 in January, but even more ridiculous is the fact that his time there may be brief.
The diminutive shortstop continued to gain acclaim in prospect circles last year, slashing .310/.368/.404 with 29 steals on 37 attempts, while posting an impressive 56:36 K:BB in 439 plate appearances as an 18-year-old with Low-A Rome. In addition to an excellent hit tool and plus speed, he also projects to be a plus defender at shortstop. These attributes will push Albies into the top-25 of most real-life prospect lists, but dynasty league owners should pump the brakes. The first knock on Albies is that he offers low single-digit home run power. The second strike against him is that he is three years away from the big leagues. His upside is that of Elvis Andrus, who has been a fine fantasy shortstop, but by no means a building block on teams that win dynasty leagues. Albies' 2015 season was cut short after he suffered a hairline fracture in his thumb in August, but he should be ready for the start of the season.
Albies, a native of Curacao, hit .364/.446/.444 with 22 stolen bases in 27 attempts in 57 games between the Gulf Coast League and the Appalachian League as a 17-year-old in 2014. The power isn't there, and his slight frame (5-foot-9, 150 pounds) doesn't lend a whole lot of hope to him developing much in time, but he has a plus hit tool and an advanced eye at the plate for his age (28:23 BB:K last season). It remains to be seen how aggressively the Braves will push him through the system, but Albies is likely several years away from reaching the majors regardless, and it's possible his future could be with another organization, with the tandem of Andrelton Simmons and Jose Peraza expected to hold down the middle-infield spots in Atlanta for years to come.
More Fantasy News
Sitting in second straight
2BAtlanta Braves
September 22, 2019
Albies is not in the lineup for Sunday's game against the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Could be out again Sunday
2BAtlanta Braves
September 21, 2019
Albies may be out of the lineup Sunday against the Giants, Mark Bowman of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
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Takes seat on bench
2BAtlanta Braves
September 21, 2019
Albies is not in the lineup for Saturday's game against the Giants.
ANALYSIS
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Posts three hits
2BAtlanta Braves
September 13, 2019
Albies went 3-for-4 with a solo home run and a walk during a 5-0 victory against the Nationals on Friday.
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Cranks 22nd homer
2BAtlanta Braves
September 12, 2019
Albies went 2-for-4 with a two-run home run, a double and a walk in Thursday's loss to the Phillies.
ANALYSIS
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