Zach Davies
Zach Davies
26-Year-Old PitcherSP
Milwaukee Brewers
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Davies started 61 games for the Brewers across the 2016 and 2017 seasons, so it was thought that he would be a regular in the Brewers' rotation all last year. However, thanks to injuries and managerial decisions, he made just 13 starts, and only saw action in one postseason game. Davies' underlying numbers in 2018 weren't all that different than the year before -- he averaged 89 mph on his fastball, and his 4.43 FIP was just a tick higher than the 4.27 FIP he posted in 2017 -- so not much has changed with his profile. Davies will head into spring training as a favorite to come away with a spot in the team's rotation to open the regular season. He accumulated 28 wins across 2016 and 2017 for teams not as talented as the current Brewers' version, so he could be a sneaky producer in that category should he stay healthy in 2019. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a one-year, $2.6 million contract with the Brewers in January of 2019, avoiding arbitration.
Stifles Dodgers
PMilwaukee Brewers
April 14, 2019
Davies (2-0) picked up the win in Saturday's 4-1 victory over the Dodgers, allowing one run on eight hits over seven innings while striking out six.
A Cody Bellinger solo shot in the fourth inning was all the offense L.A. could muster against the right-hander. Davies now boasts a 1.53 ERA, but his 13:6 K:BB through 17.2 innings is less than dominant. He'll face off against the Dodgers in a rematch back in Milwaukee on Thursday.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .267 571 96 56 133 27 6 16
Since 2017vs Right .278 599 90 26 155 22 4 14
2019vs Left .296 32 2 4 8 0 0 1
2019vs Right .231 41 11 2 9 1 0 1
2018vs Left .263 133 25 16 30 8 2 2
2018vs Right .274 147 24 5 37 4 1 6
2017vs Left .265 406 69 36 95 19 4 13
2017vs Right .285 411 55 19 109 17 3 7
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
ERA on Road
ERA at Home
ERA at Home
ERA on Road
Since 2017Home 5.24 1.49 146.0 10 11 0 6.2 2.8 1.1
Since 2017Away 2.51 1.18 129.0 11 5 0 5.9 2.5 0.8
2019Home 0.00 1.24 5.2 1 0 0 1.6 3.2 1.6
2019Away 2.25 1.33 12.0 1 0 0 9.0 3.0 0.8
2018Home 4.70 1.30 46.0 1 4 0 7.2 2.5 1.0
2018Away 4.95 1.40 20.0 1 3 0 5.4 3.6 1.4
2017Home 5.82 1.60 94.1 8 7 0 6.0 3.0 1.1
2017Away 2.04 1.11 97.0 9 2 0 5.7 2.2 0.7
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Stat Review
How does Zach Davies compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
88.3 mph
Strand %
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Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Zach Davies
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Double the Fun
5 days ago
Todd Zola's weekly pitcher rankings feature a number of solid two-start options, including Washington's Stephen Strasburg, who faces two the league's weakest lineups.
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5 days ago
Ozzie Albies, hitting against lefty Jason Vargas, should hit leadoff and has a .367 wOBA on the heels of a .384 number against lefties last year.
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11 days ago
Mike Clevinger may be not be as dominant as Max Scherzer, but he should be just as solid on Sunday facing a struggling Blue Jays offense.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: AL Cy Young Contenders Lead Pack
12 days ago
Todd Zola has last year's AL Cy Young nominees atop this week's pitcher rankings, including Tampa Bay's Blake Snell, who's velocity was up in his second start.
Weekly Pitcher Rankings: Sale Looks to Bounce Back
19 days ago
Todd Zola ranks the starting pitching for the first full week of the season. Should we be worried about Chris Sale after his Opening Day pounding?
Past Fantasy Outlooks
Davies struggled throughout the first half of 2017, as he gave up a surprisingly high number of homers (1.39 HR/9) and also missed bats at a significantly lower clip than he did in 2016, with his strikeout rate falling from 7.4 K/9 to 5.8. Fortunately for the Brewers, he was much more effective in the second half, lowering his ERA by more than two full runs (2.87) despite similar strikeout and walk rates thanks to a big step forward with the long ball. For the season, Davies improved his groundball rate (50.2 percent), and managed to reduce his home-run rate from 2016 in a year where the league-wide surge in homers pushed most pitchers in the other direction. The lack of overpowering stuff and a low swinging-strike rate (7.2 percent) make a spike in strikeouts unlikely, and widen the range of outcomes for him as he's very dependent on the defense behind him. Davies commands his arsenal well, and he should remain a fixture in the Milwaukee rotation throughout 2018.
For the second straight season, the rail-thin righty turned in an above-average performance out of Milwaukee's rotation. Davies may not have big velocity (89.3 mph average fastball), but he can change speeds and use his offspeed pitches to close out counts when he gets ahead. It was also impressive to see Davies respond positively after an utterly atrocious start. He allowed five runs over just 2.1 innings in his first start April 17 and finished April with an 8.78 ERA in three starts. He went on to allow more than three runs just four times in his final 25 starts, going 11-4 with a 3.54 ERA in 150 innings over that span. His lack of dominant stuff limits his ceiling, but Davies is already looking like a solid mid-rotation pitcher -- at just 24 years old no less.
Davies earned six starts after rosters expanded in September and steadily improved throughout his stint, as he posted three consecutive quality starts to finish off the season, including two starts of at least six shutout innings. Davies is rail-thin, listed at 6-feet and 160 pounds, and his fastball averaged just under 90 mph. But he induced an extreme amount of groundballs (57.6%) and was just crafty enough to keep the ball in the yard, as he surrendered just two home runs. His changeup looked particularly nasty, as hitters swung and missed at more than one in every four he threw, and he picked up 13 of his 25 strikeouts with the pitch. Davies will have to remain crafty without a big fastball, but he has the diverse repertoire necessary to succeed in the majors, even if he lacks a top-end ceiling.
More Fantasy News
Earns first win
PMilwaukee Brewers
April 7, 2019
Davies (1-0) gave up no earned runs on five hits with two walks while striking out one through 5.2 innings in a win over the Cubs on Sunday.
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Fans six in no-decision
PMilwaukee Brewers
April 1, 2019
Davies didn't factor into the decision in Monday's 4-3 win over the Reds, allowing two runs on four hits and four walks over five innings while striking out six.
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Earns rotation spot
PMilwaukee Brewers
March 21, 2019
Davies will make the Brewers' starting rotation, Todd Rosiak of the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel reports.
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Mechanical adjustment goes awry
PMilwaukee Brewers
March 18, 2019
Davies attempted a small mechanical tweak in his spring start Sunday, according to the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel, and was tagged for six earned runs over 2.2 innings.
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Posts another strong outing
PMilwaukee Brewers
March 7, 2019
Davies allowed one run on four hits and a walk and struck out two over four innings Thursday against the White Sox.
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