Caleb Smith
27-Year-Old PitcherSP
2019 Fantasy Outlook
His season was ended prematurely by lat and shoulder injuries which required surgery, but during his time on the field Smith flashed an impressive skill set. In 77.1 innings with the big-league team, he posted a 27.0% strikeout rate. Despite below-average fastball velocity, Smith was highly successful in challenging hitters with the fastball, as he ranked among the league leaders on swings and misses in the strike zone with the four-seamer. He was also able to get swings out of the zone with the slider later in counts, but further development of the changeup will be necessary if Smith is to make it as a starter long term. The lefty is an extreme flyball pitcher (50.8 FB%, 28.4 GB%), which makes him a nice fit in Marlins Park but dicey away from home (5.18 ERA on the road last year). Health provided, Smith should be starting every fifth day for Miami, and there is some upside here, but it's best to stream him carefully early on. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
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$Signed a contract with the Yankees in 2013 that includes an $100,000 signing bonus.
No support in loss
PMiami Marlins
May 14, 2019
Smith (3-1) allowed two runs on four hits and two walks over 5.1 innings, taking the loss in Tuesday's 4-0 loss to the Rays. He struck out eight batters.
ANALYSIS
The Marlins were unable to string any offense together in support of their ace, as Smith suffered his first loss of the season. His ERA rises slightly to 2.25 over 48 innings this season. Smith has yet to allow more than three runs in a start this year, and will look to keep that run going in Detroit next Tuesday.
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Pitching Stats
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Left/Right Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-25%
BAA vs RHP
2019
 
 
-17%
BAA vs LHP
2018
 
 
-33%
BAA vs RHP
2017
 
 
-33%
BAA vs RHP
BAA Batters K BB H 2B 3B HR
Since 2017vs Left .261 172 46 14 41 7 0 3
Since 2017vs Right .197 422 124 43 73 20 2 17
2019vs Left .156 51 15 6 7 1 0 1
2019vs Right .189 131 49 8 23 6 1 5
2018vs Left .287 92 25 5 25 3 0 2
2018vs Right .191 234 63 28 38 13 1 8
2017vs Left .360 29 6 3 9 3 0 0
2017vs Right .240 57 12 7 12 1 0 4
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Home/Away Pitching Splits
Since 2017
 
 
-46%
ERA at Home
2019
 
 
-36%
ERA at Home
2018
 
 
-40%
ERA at Home
2017
 
 
-51%
ERA at Home
ERA WHIP IP W L SV K/9 BB/9 HR/9
Since 2017Home 2.85 1.08 75.2 5 3 0 10.5 3.1 1.0
Since 2017Away 5.27 1.30 68.1 3 5 0 10.8 4.1 1.6
2019Home 1.84 0.89 29.1 3 1 0 11.7 2.5 0.6
2019Away 2.89 0.96 18.2 0 0 0 12.5 2.9 1.9
2018Home 3.13 1.21 37.1 2 2 0 10.1 3.1 0.7
2018Away 5.18 1.28 40.0 3 4 0 10.4 4.5 1.6
2017Home 5.00 1.22 9.0 0 0 0 8.0 5.0 3.0
2017Away 10.24 2.07 9.2 0 1 0 9.3 4.7 0.9
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Stat Review
How does Caleb Smith compare to other starting pitchers?
This section compares his stats with all starting pitcher seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 120 innings). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
K/BB
4.57
 
K/9
12.0
 
BB/9
2.6
 
HR/9
1.1
 
Fastball
92.4 mph
 
ERA
2.25
 
WHIP
0.92
 
BABIP
.252
 
GB/FB
0.83
 
Strand %
84.2%
 
Advanced Pitching Stats
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Defensive Stats
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Stats Vs Today's Lineup
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5 days ago
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2018 Fantasy Outlook
Smith is a name worth knowing primarily because he's a member of the Marlins' organization. The 26-year-old lefty has just 18.2 major-league innings to his name, in which he's posted a 7.71 ERA. But for a Marlins team which lacks depth in the starting rotation (or really anywhere on the team), Smith could easily end up making double-digit starts. He's been a solid performer in his minor-league career, recording a 3.19 ERA with 8.5 K/9 and 3.2 BB/9 in five seasons. That's not impressive enough for him to project as a real weapon in 2018, but it's enough to make him relevant in NL-only leagues. With Wei-Yin Chen and Dan Straily both injured to start the season, a rotation spot has opened up for Smith.
More Fantasy News
Marlins-Mets postponed
PMiami Marlins
May 12, 2019
Smith won't make his scheduled start Sunday against the Mets after the contest was postponed due to inclement weather in New York.
ANALYSIS
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Strong in tough matchup
PMiami Marlins
May 7, 2019
Smith allowed two earned runs on five hits and three walks while striking out 11 across 6.2 innings Tuesday against the Cubs. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Fans eight to grab third win
PMiami Marlins
May 1, 2019
Smith (3-0) picked up the win Wednesday, giving up one run on four hits and two walks over seven innings while striking out eight in a 4-2 victory over Cleveland.
ANALYSIS
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Shuts down Phillies
PMiami Marlins
April 25, 2019
Smith allowed one earned run on three hits and a walk while striking out eight across six innings Thursday against the Phillies. He did not factor into the decision.
ANALYSIS
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Tosses another gem
PMiami Marlins
April 19, 2019
Smith (2-0) picked up the win after allowing one run on five hits while striking out eight over six innings Friday against the Nationals.
ANALYSIS
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