Matt Kemp
Matt Kemp
34-Year-Old OutfielderOF
Cincinnati Reds
2019 Fantasy Outlook
Kemp rewarded those who gave him another chance coming off a career-worst level of offensive production, quite nicely finishing the season 22% above the league average offensively. While his 21 home runs and 147 runs-plus-RBI do not look special on paper, Kemp was dirt cheap during draft season coming off five consecutive seasons of declining production and his bounce back was a nice windfall for owners. The rebound came from him getting more loft to his swing, as his groundball-to-flyball ratio improved from 1.7 to 0.9 last season. He is big, old and slowing, so groundballs give him zero chance for hits while he still has the power in the bat to get to and over the fence. Now with the Reds following a December trade, Kemp is looking like a short-end platoon player unless the Reds turn around and flip him to an American League team that can allow Kemp to become the DH he really should be to finish off his career. Read Past Outlooks
RANKSFrom Preseason
Add To Watchlist
$Signed an eight-year, $160 million contract extension with the Dodgers in November of 2011 that runs through the 2019 season. Traded to the Padres in December of 2014. Traded to the Braves in July of 2016. Traded to the Dodgers in December of 2017. Traded to the Reds in December of 2018.
Batting cleanup Monday
OFCincinnati Reds
April 15, 2019
Kemp is starting in left field and batting cleanup Monday against the Dodgers' Clayton Kershaw, Mark Sheldon of MLB.com reports.
ANALYSIS
Kemp is one of eight right-handed hitters in the lineup to face Kershaw. He's hitting a paltry .162/.162/.243 so far this season, with 14 strikeouts and no walks, though he did homer last week against the Marlins.
Read More News
Batting Stats
Loading Batting Stats...
MLB Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Scoring
FanDuel
DraftKings
Yahoo DFS
FantasyDraft
Head2Head
Loading Batting Game Log...
Minor League Game Log
Calculate Stats Over Time
Just click on any two dates.
Loading Minor League Batting Game Log...
Batting Order Slot Breakdown
vs Right-Handed Pitchers
vs RHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
3
1
5
vs Left-Handed Pitchers
vs LHP
#1
#2
#3
#4
#5
#6
#7
#8
#9
1
Left/Right Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+1%
OPS vs LHP
2019
 
 
+276%
OPS vs LHP
2018
 
 
+2%
OPS vs LHP
2017
 
 
+18%
OPS vs RHP
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017vs Left .791 313 30 15 45 0 .269 .326 .465
Since 2017vs Right .784 704 82 26 108 0 .284 .321 .463
2019vs Left 1.286 7 1 1 3 0 .429 .429 .857
2019vs Right .342 38 2 0 1 0 .158 .158 .184
2018vs Left .828 197 23 11 32 0 .273 .320 .508
2018vs Right .812 309 39 10 53 0 .301 .350 .462
2017vs Left .684 109 6 3 10 0 .250 .330 .354
2017vs Right .808 357 41 16 54 0 .284 .314 .494
More Splits View More Split Stats
Home/Away Batting Splits
Since 2017
 
 
+10%
OPS on Road
2019
 
 
+4%
OPS on Road
2018
 
 
+7%
OPS on Road
2017
 
 
+12%
OPS on Road
OPS PA R HR RBI SB AVG OBP SLG
Since 2017Home .747 487 48 19 62 0 .265 .312 .435
Since 2017Away .822 530 64 22 91 0 .293 .332 .490
2019Home .481 27 2 1 3 0 .185 .185 .296
2019Away .500 18 1 0 1 0 .222 .222 .278
2018Home .789 252 26 11 38 0 .275 .321 .468
2018Away .848 254 36 10 47 0 .306 .354 .493
2017Home .732 208 20 7 21 0 .264 .317 .415
2017Away .820 258 27 12 43 0 .286 .318 .502
More Splits View More Split Stats
Stat Review
How does Matt Kemp compare to other hitters?
This section compares his stats with all batting seasons from the previous three seasons (minimum 400 plate appearances). The bar represents the player's percentile rank. For example, if the bar is halfway across, then the player falls into the 50th percentile for that stat and it would be considered average.
BB/K
0.00
 
BB Rate
0.0%
 
K Rate
31.1%
 
BABIP
.267
 
ISO
.089
 
AVG
.200
 
OBP
.200
 
SLG
.289
 
OPS
.489
 
Advanced Batting Stats
Loading Advanced Batting Stats...
Additional Stats
Games By Position
Defensive Stats
Loading Games Played by Position...
Loading MLB Defensive Stats...
Stats Vs Upcoming Pitchers
Want more matchup stats?
Loading Matchup Stats...
Reds Depth Chart
Our full team depth charts are reserved for RotoWire subscribers.
Subscribe Now
Recent RotoWire Articles Featuring Matt Kemp
Minor League Barometer: Risers & Fallers
Yesterday
Jesse Siegel returns with a new list of young hotshots, including a potential future stud at the hot corner for the Cardinals.
NL FAAB Factor: Waiver Pickups of the Week
24 days ago
Jan Levine kicks off the 2019 NL FAAB festivities with a thorough look at possible options, including an intriguing battle for bullpen supremacy in Arizona.
Farm Futures: NL West: 112 Prospects You Need To Know
48 days ago
James Anderson wraps up his look at farm systems around MLB and warns that Fernando Tatis Jr. may not be an overnight sensation in San Diego.
Baseball Draft Kit: Injury Analysis
57 days ago
Certified Athletic Trainer Jeff Stotts provides his expert opinion on several key players coming off injuries in his article for the 2019 RotoWire Fantasy Baseball Guide.
Baseball Draft Kit: Joe Sheehan's Picks and Pans
57 days ago
Joe Sheehan shows his hand, detailing the players he likes and those he doesn't in his article for the 2019 RotoWire Fantasy Baseball Guide.
Past Fantasy Outlooks
2018
2017
2016
2015
2014
2013
2012
2011
2010
2009
2008
2007
2006
If your league format values defense, Kemp is pretty much undraftable. By Statcast measures, no outfielder was worse than Kemp last season. Kemp is still hitting for power, but he maintains an impatient approach at the plate (5.8 walk percentage last season) and in his current form, is a replacement-level real-life player. Here is the kicker: Kemp is due another $43,000,000 over the next two seasons. Forty-three million. He is a designated hitter trapped in the National League and new GM Alex Anthopoulus will have his work cut out for him trying to trade Kemp to an American League team while getting said team to assume any part of that deal. Kemp as a DH is intriguing in 2018 as it would allow him to focus on hitting and forget about being a lawn ornament in the outfield. If he sticks in the National League, do not pay full price.
It was a tale of two seasons for Kemp in 2016. The San Diego version hit a surprising number of home runs, but an abysmal May (.186/.189/.333) hurt his overall numbers. He went into the break with a .254/.275/.448 line and two weeks later was sent packing to Atlanta. The move east saw him improve his approach at the plate and hit .287/.339/.567 for the rest of the season. The running game is completely gone, as he only attempted one steal all season. He also has this odd Saberhagen-metrics thing going on where he has a strong slugging season followed by a very weak one, dating back to 2012. He remains a free-swinging player who doesn't walk much, strikes out quite a bit, but hits for a lot of pop in even years. Despite the fact that this is an odd year, most projection systems will still peg him as a solid bet for 25 homers and decent contributions in runs and RBI.
It was a tale of two halves for Kemp, who hit a brutal .250/.291/.382 before the All-Star break, but was back to his old self in the second half behind a .286/.339/.528 line and 15 of his 23 home runs. The late surge helped Kemp reach 100 RBI and 10 stolen bases for the first time in five years. Kemp did not seem particularly affected by Petco Park, as his line at home (.288/.335/.487) was actually far superior to his road numbers (.241/.288/.398). He managed to stay healthy and play in 150 games for a second straight year after missing at least 50 games in both 2012 and 2013, a great sign for the 31-year-old. Kemp's season was a far cry from his best years, but his second half was All-Star caliber, and if he can carry that forward, he can be the engine for the Padres' lineup.
Through April and May of 2014, Kemp appeared to be a broken-down version of the superstar who fell just one home run short of reaching the 40-40 plateau in 2011, as he hit just .248/.306/.418 with five home runs over his first 47 games. From June 1 on, he looked like an MVP candidate, hitting .303/.363/.545 with 20 homers and 74 RBI -- numbers that pace out to 32 homers and 117 RBI over a full 162-game slate. Perhaps most importantly, Kemp finished with 150 games played last season, his highest total since the aforementioned 2011 campaign. Given the nature of the injuries that derailed him throughout 2012 and 2013, it should come as little surprise that his stolen-base total (eight) was low even with the significantly increased volume of playing time. The Dodgers also moved Kemp to left field, and he made just two appearance in center over the final four months, but the shift to the corner should help reduce the wear and tear on his legs. While his days as a five-category stud appear to be over, Kemp's steady batted ball profile and ability to make consistent hard contact should enable him to be an excellent power source again in 2015. After being traded to the Padres in December, Kemp will head south down I-5 as part of a completely rebuilt offense in San Diego.
Kemp suffered a second consecutive injury-plagued season in 2013, playing in just 73 games due to hamstring and ankle injuries. Pile on offseason shoulder surgery, and Kemp enters 2014 with a lot to prove. Kemp's 2014 will be his age-29 season, so in theory he could have another 2011 ahead of him, but the recent track record of injuries make it easy to be pessimistic. Kemp by all accounts is a hard worker, so he could come to camp 100 percent, play in 155 games, and go 30/30, but don't pay a premium to find out if he's still capable of reaching that level.
Kemp saw a four-year run of 600-plus at-bats come to an end in 2012 as hamstring and shoulder injuries limited him to 403 at-bats. His slash line took a dip from 2011's near-MVP levels, as Kemp finished at .303/.367/.538. He also stole just nine bases, a number that we can probably safely say was also impacted by the hamstring even when he was in the lineup. Kemp had offseason shoulder surgery (on his non-throwing shoulder) that turned out to be more extensive than originally thought, but he's still expected to be ready for Opening Day. Assuming he makes it through spring training without a setback, Kemp should remain one of the first outfielders off the board on draft day.
Kemp may have lost out on the MVP to Ryan Braun, but he also netted himself an eight-year, $160 million contract despite the Dodgers' financial concerns. Kemp batted .324/.399/.596 with 39 home runs and 40 stolen bases while at the same time increasing his walk rate from eight percent to 11 percent of plate appearances. Kemp appears focused and ready to make a run at 40/40 this year. He's a clear top-three fantasy pick in most formats, as we can't say with certainty that we've seen his best.
Other than power, there wasn't a facet of Kemp's game that did not regress in 2010 - poor defense, less success on the basepaths (19-for-34 in stolen base attempts), more strikeouts and a loss of 48 points of batting average. On the plus side, the tools are still there and Kemp will be entering his age 26 season. With his skill set and upside, Kemp could actually be a good buy-low guy in the early rounds of 2011 drafts.
Kemp finished 10th in the NL MVP race, batting .297/.352/.490 with 26 home runs, 101 RBI and 34 stolen bases. He also won a Gold Glove for his work in center field, and at 25, it's likely there's more to come. A 30/30 season is well within reach this year, and after batting just .224 after August 31, improvement down the stretch would likely result in a .300-plus batting average. Kemp will likely find himself among the top three fantasy outfielders in this year's drafts.
The projected breakout didn't come, but Kemp acquitted himself well in his first full season, batting .290/.340/.459 with 18 home runs, 76 RBI, and 35 stolen bases. The steals and massive upside leave Kemp as a borderline top-20 fantasy outfielder headed into 2009, though to truly fulfill his potential however, Kemp will have to improve his contact rate (153 strikeouts). At this point, consider the risk of Kemp losing at-bats to Juan Pierre and/or Andruw Jones to be minimal.
After getting 154 at-bats in his first big league trial the year prior, Kemp came into his own in 2007, batting .342/.373/.521 in 292 at-bats. Kemp's skill set is impressive and his ceiling seemingly unlimited, leading some to predict he could be the organization's best offensive prospect since Mike Piazza. Of some concern is Kemp's plate discipline (16:66 BB:K in 2007), though he should be able to improve there with more experience. It is possible that the Dodgers' outfield situation will be crowded again in 2008, but it's difficult to imagine anything other than a full-time job for Kemp. There's the potential here for 30 homers and 20 stolen bases as early as this year.
Kemp's overall tool set has earned lofty (and unfair) comparisons to the likes of Dave Winfield and Manny Ramirez, and he was well on his way for the Dodgers last year, hitting seven homers in his first 17 games since being promoted from Double-A. Then reality set in and Kemp hit just .177 in 62 at-bats after June 30. Kemp had some difficulties with breaking pitches and though he seemed to remedy that in Triple-A, hitting .368/.428/.560, the team signed Luis Gonzalez to a one-year deal, allowing Kemp to get further seasoning. Expect him to spend at least half a year in Triple-A unless the big league club suffers injuries.
The 21 year-old Kemp is currently the team's best outfield prospect after a breakout 2005 in High-A. The 6'4", 210 lb. Kemp hit .306 with 27 HRs and a .918 OPS. He drew just 25 walks in over 450 plate appearances, so he's still a bit raw. Look for Kemp sometime in 2007.
More Fantasy News
Goes deep for first time in 2019
OFCincinnati Reds
April 9, 2019
Kemp went 2-for-3 with a three-run homer and two runs in a 14-0 victory against the Marlins on Tuesday.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Filling in for Puig
OFCincinnati Reds
April 9, 2019
Kemp will start in left field and will bat third in Tuesday's game against the Marlins.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Gets first hit of 2019
OFCincinnati Reds
April 3, 2019
Kemp got his first hit as a Red in Wednesday's loss to the Brewers with a single in the ninth inning.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Draws start Sunday
OFCincinnati Reds
March 31, 2019
Kemp will start in left field and bat fifth Sunday against the Pirates, Rob Biertempfel of The Athletic reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.
Gets first start of 2019
OFCincinnati Reds
March 30, 2019
Kemp will start in left field and hit fifth Saturday against the Pirates, Bobby Nightengale of The Cincinnati Enquirer reports.
ANALYSIS
Subscribe now to instantly reveal our take on this news.